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Forecast

Mandurah (32.533°S, 115.7325°E, 3m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 15° 20°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:47am WST 7:14am WST 5:18pm WST 5:45pm WST
    NOW
    16.1° Feels Like: 15.6°
    Relative Humidity: 88%
    Dew: 14.2°
    Wind: E 9km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.8mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Mandurah
    Now
    16.5°c
    Feels Like:
    15.1°
    Wind:
    ESE 17km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    96%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    15°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Today in Mandurah
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the west, medium chance elsewhere, clearing during the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 20.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    12°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Sunny. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mandurah

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the west, medium chance elsewhere, clearing during the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 20.

    Forecast for Mandurah (32.533°S, 115.7325°E, 3m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Showers
    Minimum 15° 12° 12° 13° 15° 14° 12°
    Maximum 20° 21° 21° 21° 21° 19° 17°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 5% 70% 90% 90% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE N ENE NNW NE N NE N NE NW WSW SW SW SW
    Relative humidity 80% 60% 59% 48% 59% 49% 59% 59% 76% 79% 79% 71% 73% 66%
    Dew point 14°C 12°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 8°C 12°C 13°C 17°C 13°C 12°C 10°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mandurah Rain Forecast


    Mandurah 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    8
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    HIGH
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 June to 16 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 10 July to 14 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 June to 22 June, and 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 June to 16 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 10 July to 14 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mandurah Rain Forecast


    Mandurah 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2020
    2021
    3
    4
    5
    6
    5
    7
    8
    8
    7
    7
    1
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mandurah Rain Forecast


    Mandurah 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    8
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    HIGH
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 June to 16 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 10 July to 14 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 June to 22 June, and 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 June to 16 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 10 July to 14 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mandurah Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jun 02
    11.1 °C 20.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 03
    12.5 °C 21.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 04
    13.4 °C 23.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jun 05
    15.7 °C 24.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jun 06
    16.9 °C 21.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mandurah minimum temp history (32.533°S, 115.7325°E, 3m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.1° 05/06/2020 Coldest this month 11.1° 02/06/2020
    Hottest on record 25.3 01/06/2009 Coldest on record 4.9 25/06/2010
    Hottest this year 40.1° 04/02/2020 Coldest this year 8.6° 10/05/2020
    Long term average 18.6° Long term average 11.5°
    Average this month 21.6° Average this month 13.6°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.7° 2015 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 10.0° 2006
    Mandurah rainfall history (32.533°S, 115.7325°E, 3m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/06/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 119.2mm 14.9 days Wettest June on record 227.6mm 2005
    Driest on record 19.0mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Mandurah Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 292.5mm 45.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 108.4mm 28.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 109.2mm 21.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 17.0mm May25
    Lowest Temperature 8.6°C May10
    Highest Temperature 40.1°C Feb 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mandurah Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.5 29.8 27.8 24.1 21.1 18.6 17.4 18.1 19.0 21.9 24.8 27.0 23.3
    Mean Min (°C) 19.0 19.4 18.1 15.8 13.5 11.5 10.6 11.0 11.7 13.5 15.6 17.1 14.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 15.5 13.0 17.3 40.2 87.3 119.2 113.3 91.3 67.8 30.7 24.7 16.4 626.5
    Mean Rain Days 3.1 2.4 4.0 8.3 12.3 14.9 17.9 16.3 15.1 8.6 5.9 3.9 102.3