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Forecast

Dwellingup (32.7144°S, 116.062°E, 257m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 11° 20°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:37am WST 5:04am WST 6:59pm WST 7:26pm WST
    NOW
    12.8° Feels Like: 10.5°
    Relative Humidity: 80%
    Dew: 9.4°
    Wind: WSW 11km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1010.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Dwellingup
    Now
    17.7°c
    Feels Like:
    12.5°
    Wind:
    SW 26km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    59%
    Clearing shower
     
    11°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Today in Dwellingup
    Medium chance of showers in the early morning. Sunny afternoon. Winds SW 25 to 35 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching around 20.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching 21 to 26.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Dwellingup

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Medium chance of showers in the early morning. Sunny afternoon. Winds SW 25 to 35 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching around 20.

    Forecast for Dwellingup (32.7144°S, 116.062°E, 257m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 10° 11° 11° 12° 12°
    Maximum 20° 21° 25° 29° 29° 30° 32°
    Chance of rain 40% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 28
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW WSW ENE WSW SSE SW ESE SSW SE SW ESE SE E SSE
    Relative humidity 51% 33% 45% 41% 56% 36% 54% 27% 47% 27% 52% 24% 46% 25%
    Dew point 4°C 3°C 4°C 7°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 9°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Dwellingup Rain Forecast


    Dwellingup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    HIGH
    Dec 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 November to 28 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 6 December to 10 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 30 November to 4 December, and 4 December to 8 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Dwellingup Rain Forecast


    Dwellingup 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    6
    4
    7
    8
    5
    5
    6
    4
    4
    5
    9
    3
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Dwellingup Rain Forecast


    Dwellingup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    HIGH
    Dec 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 November to 28 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 6 December to 10 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 30 November to 4 December, and 4 December to 8 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Dwellingup Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Nov 15
    14.2 °C 35.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 16
    15.2 °C 38.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 17
    13.7 °C 30.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 18
    14.4 °C 32.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    14.5 °C 24 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Dwellingup minimum temp history (32.7144°S, 116.062°E, 257m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.0° 16/11/2019 Coldest this month 6.4° 05/11/2019
    Hottest on record 38.0 11/11/2003 Coldest on record 0.2 02/11/1988
    Hottest this year 39.9° 20/01/2019 Coldest this year -0.7° 19/05/2019
    Long term average 24.0° Long term average 10.8°
    Average this month 27.9° Average this month 11.1°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.9° 2010 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 8.7° 1971
    Dwellingup rainfall history (32.7144°S, 116.062°E, 257m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 17.6mm 02/11/2019 Total This Month 33.8mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 46.2mm 8.0 days Wettest November on record 150.8mm 2010
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Dwellingup Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 1211.3mm 134.4 day(s)
    Total For 2019 875.4mm 120.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 1230.8mm 129.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 43.0mm Aug17
    Lowest Temperature -0.7°C May19
    Highest Temperature 39.9°C Jan20
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Dwellingup Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.1 29.9 27.2 22.6 18.8 16.1 15.1 15.8 17.4 20.3 24.0 27.7 22.0
    Mean Min (°C) 14.6 15.0 13.3 10.6 8.0 6.6 5.6 5.6 6.7 8.3 10.8 13.0 9.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 15.8 21.8 26.4 66.0 158.4 237.4 234.9 193.5 131.9 79.0 46.2 20.7 1230.3
    Mean Rain Days 3.4 3.4 4.9 9.6 16.0 19.6 21.4 19.6 16.3 12.2 8.0 4.7 137.8