Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Fire Weather Warning
for Swan Inland North, Swan Inland South, Geographe, Capes and Brockman fire weather districts
Issued at 03:13 AM WST on Tuesday 19 March 2024
Weather Situation
Fresh and gusty southeasterly winds combined with dry conditions are resulting in extreme fire dangers.
For the rest of Tuesday 19 March:
Extreme Fire Danger for the following areas:
Swan Inland North, Swan Inland South, Geographe, Capes and Brockman
The Department of Fire and Emergency Services advises you to:
Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through your local radio station, www.emergency.wa.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.dfes.wa.gov.au.
No further warnings will be issued for this event, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings issued if necessary.
Forecast
Dwellingup (32.7144°S, 116.062°E, 257m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW11° 27° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:55am WST 6:19am WST 6:27pm WST 6:51pm WST NOW17.8° Feels Like: 10.1° Relative Humidity: 41% Dew: 4.4° Wind: E 33km/h Gust: 48km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1024.7hPa -
Today Weather
DwellingupNow21.8°cFeels Like:17.1°Wind:SE 19km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:34%11°Min27°MaxToday in DwellingupSunny. Winds E 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30. Wind gusts up to 75 km/h over the hills and foot hills in the morning.Tomorrow11°Min27°MaxSunny. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h turning SE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds E 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30. Wind gusts up to 75 km/h over the hills and foot hills in the morning.
Forecast for Dwellingup (32.7144°S, 116.062°E, 257m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 11° 13° 13° 12° 13° 13° 13° Maximum 27° 28° 27° 26° 27° 29° 31° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating High High Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 25
(km/h)17
(km/h)18
(km/h)15
(km/h)26
(km/h)23
(km/h)23
(km/h)23
(km/h)18
(km/h)13
(km/h)13
(km/h)11
(km/h)13
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction E E ENE ESE E ESE E E E ESE ENE NW ENE WNW Relative humidity 52% 25% 50% 29% 65% 34% 64% 33% 64% 31% 45% 27% 39% 24% Dew point 6°C 4°C 8°C 8°C 11°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 11°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Dwellingup Rain Forecast
Dwellingup 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Dwellingup Rain Forecast
Dwellingup 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025845445627817105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Dwellingup Rain Forecast
Dwellingup 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Dwellingup Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1518.7 °C 28.3 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1616.0 °C 32.9 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1715.2 °C 31.4 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 1815.0 °C 26.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Mar 1910.7 °C 24.7 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Dwellingup minimum temp history (32.7144°S, 116.062°E, 257m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 35.0° 07/03/2024 Coldest this month 8.7° 09/03/2024 Hottest on record 40.6 03/03/1961 Coldest on record 1.1 10/03/1989 Hottest this year 41.6° 01/02/2024 Coldest this year 8.7° 09/03/2024 Long term average 27.3° Long term average 13.4° Average this month 29.1° Average this month 15.6° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.6° 2011 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 11.0° 1968 Dwellingup rainfall history (32.7144°S, 116.062°E, 257m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.8mm 09/03/2024 Total This Month 1.0mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 27.0mm 5.2 days Wettest March on record 113.1mm 1960 Driest on record 0.0mm 2011 -
Year to Date
Dwellingup Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 65.5mm 11.9 day(s) Total For 2024 38.2mm 5.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 18.8mm 3.0 day(s) Wettest Day 36.0mm Jan17 Lowest Temperature 8.7°C Mar 9 Highest Temperature 41.6°C Feb 1 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Dwellingup Climatology
Dwellingup Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.2 30.0 27.3 22.7 18.8 16.2 15.2 15.9 17.5 20.4 24.2 27.9 22.1 Mean Min (°C) 14.7 15.0 13.4 10.7 8.0 6.6 5.7 5.6 6.8 8.4 10.9 13.1 9.8 Mean Rain (mm) 16.9 21.6 27.0 66.3 155.1 232.2 233.4 192.9 129.3 78.1 45.2 20.3 1219.4 Mean Rain Days 3.3 3.4 5.2 10.2 16.7 20.5 22.4 20.5 17.2 12.8 8.1 4.8 145.0