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Forecast

Garden Island (32.2258°S, 115.6864°E, 18m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 14° 26°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:55am WST 6:20am WST 6:29pm WST 6:53pm WST
    NOW
    27.1° Feels Like: 22.0°
    Relative Humidity: 27%
    Dew: 6.5°
    Wind: SE 22km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1021.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Garden Island
    Now
    26.5°c
    Feels Like:
    19.2°
    Wind:
    E 30km/h
    Gusts:
    39km/h
    Humidity:
    22%
    Sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Garden Island
    Sunny. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h turning E 30 to 45 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 24 to 29.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    15°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds E 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31. Wind gusts up to 75 km/h over the Perth hills and foot hills in the morning.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h turning E 30 to 45 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 24 to 29.

    Forecast for Garden Island (32.2258°S, 115.6864°E, 18m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 14° 15° 18° 18° 17° 18° 18°
    Maximum 26° 28° 28° 28° 27° 27° 28°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High High High High
    Fire Danger Rating High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 25
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE ESE ENE E ENE SSE E ESE E E E ESE NE W
    Relative humidity 47% 26% 47% 27% 45% 32% 52% 29% 55% 29% 52% 31% 41% 31%
    Dew point 6°C 5°C 8°C 7°C 10°C 10°C 12°C 9°C 11°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 8°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Garden Island Rain Forecast


    Garden Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Garden Island Rain Forecast


    Garden Island 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2024
    2025
    8
    4
    5
    4
    4
    5
    6
    2
    7
    8
    1
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Garden Island Rain Forecast


    Garden Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Garden Island Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 15
    21.1 °C 33.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 16
    20.6 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 17
    14.6 °C 25.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 18
    19.2 °C 23.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 19
    14.7 °C 27.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Garden Island minimum temp history (32.2258°S, 115.6864°E, 18m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 34.8° 06/03/2024 Coldest this month 14.6° 17/03/2024
    Hottest on record 41.8 22/03/2004 Coldest on record 10.2 28/03/2007
    Hottest this year 43.0° 18/02/2024 Coldest this year 14.0° 17/02/2024
    Long term average 27.1° Long term average 18.4°
    Average this month 28.9° Average this month 19.2°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.8° 2011 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 17.1° 2004
    Garden Island rainfall history (32.2258°S, 115.6864°E, 18m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.2mm 09/03/2024 Total This Month 2.6mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 17.0mm 4.6 days Wettest March on record 56.2mm 2003
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2011
  15. Year to Date

    Garden Island Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 44.8mm 9.0 day(s)
    Total For 2024 5.6mm 4.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 2.2mm 2.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 2.8mm Feb26
    Lowest Temperature 14.0°C Feb17
    Highest Temperature 43.0°C Feb18
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Garden Island Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.5 28.3 27.1 23.8 21.4 19.0 17.9 18.1 19.0 21.0 23.9 25.8 22.7
    Mean Min (°C) 19.0 19.4 18.4 16.0 13.8 12.1 11.4 11.2 12.0 13.6 15.7 17.4 15.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 12.3 15.5 17.0 38.5 73.8 115.5 125.7 93.3 62.4 29.1 20.0 9.2 612.5
    Mean Rain Days 2.3 2.1 4.6 8.6 11.4 15.7 19.7 17.2 15.0 9.4 6.1 3.5 115.0