Forecast
Port Welshpool (38.6999°S, 146.4649°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY13° 16° Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:10am EDT 5:42am EDT 8:36pm EDT 9:08pm EDT NOW13.0° Feels Like: 10.9° Relative Humidity: 90% Dew: 11.4° Wind: SW 13km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1012.0hPa -
Today Weather
Port WelshpoolNow13.6°cFeels Like:9.0°Wind:W 26km/hGusts:37km/hHumidity:87%13°Min16°MaxToday in Port WelshpoolMostly cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower near Wilsons Promontory in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending W/SW in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 26.Tomorrow13°Min17°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 26. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Port Welshpool
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower near Wilsons Promontory in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending W/SW in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 26.
Forecast for Port Welshpool (38.6999°S, 146.4649°E, 1m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 13° 13° 13° 15° 15° 14° 14° Maximum 16° 17° 19° 22° 19° 20° 19° Chance of rain 20% 10% 5% 5% 5% 20% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 26
(km/h)35
(km/h)18
(km/h)15
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)16
(km/h)16
(km/h)16
(km/h)17
(km/h)22
(km/h)22
(km/h)24
(km/h)-
(km/h)Wind direction WNW W WSW WSW S SE ENE ENE WSW SW ENE E W - Relative humidity 86% 80% 84% 79% 84% 77% 80% 76% 82% 77% 82% 79% 75% n/a Dew point 12°C 13°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 14°C 15°C 13°C 15°C 15°C n/a -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Port Welshpool Rain Forecast
Port Welshpool 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
22
23
24
LOW25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
30
LOW31
Jan 1
2
LOW3
4
5
6
LOW7
8
9
10
11
12
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec14Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Port Welshpool Rain Forecast
Port Welshpool 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020356654754456105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Port Welshpool Rain Forecast
Port Welshpool 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
22
23
24
LOW25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
30
LOW31
Jan 1
2
LOW3
4
5
6
LOW7
8
9
10
11
12
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec14Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Port Welshpool Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Dec 1012.3 °C 16.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 119.8 °C 19.9 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 1212.1 °C 17.9 °C 0.2 mmFriday
Dec 1311.2 °C 16.9 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
Dec 1413.1 °C 18 °C 0.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Port Welshpool minimum temp history (38.6999°S, 146.4649°E, 1m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.2° 09/12/2019 Coldest this month 8.9° 02/12/2019 Hottest on record 37.1 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 2.8 07/12/1962 Hottest this year 38.1° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year 5.7° 20/08/2019 Long term average 18.8° Long term average 13.0° Average this month 16.5° Average this month 11.4° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.9° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 8.6° 1959 Port Welshpool rainfall history (38.6999°S, 146.4649°E, 1m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 8.2mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 19.2mm
8.0 daysLong Term Average 64.2mm 12.0 days Wettest December on record 185.4mm 2005 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for VIC
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Year to Date
Port Welshpool Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 1058.0mm 180.9 day(s) Total For 2019 927.4mm 165.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 1118.0mm 155.0 day(s) Wettest Day 45.8mm May29 Lowest Temperature 5.7°C Aug20 Highest Temperature 38.1°C Jan 4 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Port Welshpool Climatology
Port Welshpool Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 20.6 20.7 19.5 17.4 15.1 13.1 12.3 12.7 14.2 15.9 17.3 18.8 16.5 Mean Min (°C) 14.6 15.3 14.7 13.1 11.5 9.8 8.7 8.7 9.4 10.4 11.7 13.0 11.7 Mean Rain (mm) 51.8 46.8 69.7 83.9 114.0 120.5 123.2 121.9 98.6 92.2 71.2 64.2 1057.6 Mean Rain Days 9.9 9.1 12.1 14.9 17.8 18.9 19.4 19.6 17.7 16.1 13.4 12.0 178.3