Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Victoria
Issued at 04:40 PM EDT on Friday 15 November 2024
for the period until midnight EDT Saturday 16 November 2024
Wind Warnings for Friday 15 November
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
East Gippsland Coast
Wind Warnings for Saturday 16 November
Gale Warning for the following areas:
East Gippsland Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Central Coast and Central Gippsland Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:10 am EDT Saturday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Port Welshpool (38.6999°S, 146.4649°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW11° 28° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:22am EDT 5:52am EDT 8:09pm EDT 8:39pm EDT NOW16.0° Feels Like: 12.7° Relative Humidity: 71% Dew: 10.7° Wind: E 19km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1020.8hPa -
Today Weather
Port WelshpoolNow15.8°cFeels Like:11.3°Wind:E 22km/hGusts:32km/hHumidity:64%11°Min28°MaxToday in Port WelshpoolThe chance of fog in the early morning. Mostly sunny day. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then tending E/NE in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 32.Tomorrow11°Min28°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NE 25 to 35 km/h increasing to 40 km/h before turning W/NW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 27. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: The chance of fog in the early morning. Mostly sunny day. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then tending E/NE in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 32.
Forecast for Port Welshpool (38.6999°S, 146.4649°E, 1m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 11° 21° 12° 10° 9° 12° 14° Maximum 28° 21° 15° 15° 17° 20° 24° Chance of rain 80% 80% 50% 10% 10% 5% 40% Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)9
(km/h)18
(km/h)22
(km/h)26
(km/h)25
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)9
(km/h)15
(km/h)22
(km/h)25
(km/h)10
(km/h)-
(km/h)Wind direction NE NE NNW W W WSW WSW SW WSW S E ESE ENE - Relative humidity 69% 41% 74% 76% 69% 61% 69% 59% 70% 58% 66% 57% 64% n/a Dew point 13°C 14°C 16°C 11°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 11°C 11°C 13°C n/a -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Port Welshpool Rain Forecast
Port Welshpool 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025568775795745105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Oct 1
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Port Welshpool Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Nov 1111.1 °C 21.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Nov 1213.7 °C - 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 13- 19.2 °C -Thursday
Nov 1411.8 °C 17.4 °C 1.2 mmFriday
Nov 1510.7 °C 18.7 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Port Welshpool minimum temp history (38.6999°S, 146.4649°E, 1m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 31.7° 06/11/2024 Coldest this month 2.9° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 37.2° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year -1.3° 03/07/2024 Long term average 19.6° Long term average 11.0° Average this month 20.1° Average this month 10.1° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Port Welshpool rainfall history (38.6999°S, 146.4649°E, 1m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 1.2mm 14/11/2024 Total This Month 2.6mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 62.9mm 13.2 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 32.6mm 2020 -
Year to Date
Port Welshpool Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 735.7mm 171.3 day(s) Total For 2024 589.4mm 165.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 710.2mm 155.0 day(s) Wettest Day 55.6mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature -1.3°C Jul 3 Highest Temperature 37.2°C Mar10 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Port Welshpool Climatology
Port Welshpool Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.9 23.6 22.9 19.7 16.7 14.3 13.8 14.6 16.4 18.1 19.6 22.0 18.7 Mean Min (°C) 14.7 14.2 13.5 10.7 8.5 6.8 6.4 6.8 7.8 9.3 11.0 12.6 10.1 Mean Rain (mm) 50.7 32.0 38.9 55.8 89.3 82.5 78.6 86.2 79.1 79.7 62.9 61.6 789.8 Mean Rain Days 9.5 8.3 10.5 15.6 18.2 19.5 20.1 21.4 17.8 17.2 13.2 11.7 179.7