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Forecast

Wilsons Promontory (38.8301°S, 146.1742°E, 5m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 17° 21°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:22am EDT 6:50am EDT 8:05pm EDT 8:33pm EDT
    NOW
    17.6° Feels Like: 16.3°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 7.9°
    Wind: N 4km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1020.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Wilsons Promontory
    Now
    19.9°c
    Feels Like:
    22.5°
    Wind:
    E 2km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    91%
    Sunny
     
    17°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Wilsons Promontory
    Patchy fog early this morning. Mostly sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 31.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    16°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 27.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Wilsons Promontory

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Patchy fog early this morning. Mostly sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 31.

    Forecast for Wilsons Promontory (38.8301°S, 146.1742°E, 5m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Sunny Possible shower Possible shower Windy with showers Possible shower Cloudy Cloudy
    Minimum 17° 16° 17° 14° 13° 15° 14°
    Maximum 21° 20° 22° 18° 17° 18° 19°
    Chance of rain 20% 80% 70% 80% 60% 70% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    41
    (km/h)
    46
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE S SW SSW NE WNW W WSW W W WNW W WSW WSW
    Relative humidity 89% 79% 88% 80% 93% 84% 81% 68% 65% 69% 80% 77% 76% 74%
    Dew point 16°C 17°C 15°C 16°C 18°C 19°C 15°C 10°C 8°C 11°C 13°C 14°C 12°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Wilsons Promontory Rain Forecast


    Wilsons Promontory 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Wilsons Promontory Rain Forecast


    Wilsons Promontory 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    9
    6
    7
    4
    6
    7
    6
    5
    2
    6
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Wilsons Promontory Rain Forecast


    Wilsons Promontory 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Wilsons Promontory Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    13.9 °C 18.9 °C
    19.6 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    13.8 °C 18.7 °C
    5.4 mm
    Friday
    Feb 21
    12.2 °C 19.0 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    6.5 °C 21 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 23
    12 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Wilsons Promontory minimum temp history (38.8301°S, 146.1742°E, 5m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.9° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 11.7° 04/02/2020
    Hottest on record 42.0 07/02/2009 Coldest on record 7.2 10/02/1967
    Hottest this year 35.0° 30/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.7° 04/02/2020
    Long term average 20.7° Long term average 15.3°
    Average this month 19.3° Average this month 15.7°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.1° 1968 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 13.4° 1959
    Wilsons Promontory rainfall history (38.8301°S, 146.1742°E, 5m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 36.4mm 19/02/2020 Total This Month 72.2mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 46.8mm 9.1 days Wettest February on record 210.6mm 1939
    Driest on record 0.8mm 1892
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Wilsons Promontory Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 98.6mm 19.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 173.8mm 22.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 71.6mm 14.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 36.4mm Feb19
    Lowest Temperature 11.7°C Feb 4
    Highest Temperature 35.0°C Jan30
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Wilsons Promontory Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 20.6 20.7 19.5 17.4 15.1 13.1 12.3 12.7 14.2 15.9 17.3 18.8 16.5
    Mean Min (°C) 14.6 15.3 14.7 13.1 11.5 9.8 8.7 8.7 9.4 10.4 11.7 13.0 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 51.8 46.8 69.7 83.9 114.0 120.5 123.2 121.9 98.6 92.2 71.2 64.2 1057.6
    Mean Rain Days 9.9 9.1 12.1 14.9 17.8 18.9 19.4 19.6 17.7 16.1 13.4 12.0 178.3