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Forecast

Yanakie (38.8296°S, 146.2381°E, 27m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy with showers 15° 22°
    windy with showers
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:11am EDT 5:42am EDT 8:25pm EDT 8:56pm EDT
    NOW
    16.6° Feels Like: 14.9°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 15.6°
    Wind: E 18km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Yanakie
    Now
    15.8°c
    Feels Like:
    11.2°
    Wind:
    NE 32km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    94%
    Windy with showers
     
    15°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Yanakie
    Becoming cloudy. The chance of fog in the early morning. High chance of showers in the afternoon and early evening. The chance of a thunderstorm about the ranges in the early afternoon. Gusty winds in the early afternoon. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 45 km/h before shifting milder W 25 to 40 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 30.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    13°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower near Wilsons Promontory in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h tending SW 25 to 35 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Becoming cloudy. The chance of fog in the early morning. High chance of showers in the afternoon and early evening. The chance of a thunderstorm about the ranges in the early afternoon. Gusty winds in the early afternoon. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 45 km/h before shifting milder W 25 to 40 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 30.

    Forecast for Yanakie (38.8296°S, 146.2381°E, 27m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Windy with showers Windy Mostly sunny Windy Windy with showers Windy with showers Windy with showers
    Minimum 15° 13° 13° 13° 14° 12° 13°
    Maximum 22° 17° 17° 19° 19° 17° 18°
    Chance of rain 80% 20% 10% 40% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    39
    (km/h)
    46
    (km/h)
    39
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    44
    (km/h)
    48
    (km/h)
    41
    (km/h)
    41
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N W WSW WSW WNW W W W NE NNE W WNW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 67% 85% 61% 59% 65% 62% 73% 71% 81% 76% 73% 73% 76% 72%
    Dew point 15°C 16°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 11°C 13°C 13°C 15°C 8°C 12°C 11°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Yanakie Rain Forecast


    Yanakie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 December to 9 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 December to 9 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 23 December to 27 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 December to 9 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Yanakie Rain Forecast


    Yanakie 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2020
    2021
    7
    8
    8
    8
    7
    6
    9
    5
    7
    4
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 11

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is well underway in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters, with significant cooling observed during the last few months. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, increasing the confidence of La Niña influencing the outlook until at least the remainder of summer. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December or January, with all models predicting the event will last until January, 6 of 8 models to February and 5 of 8 to March. Given we have observed both the atmosphere and the oceans responding to La Nina, the models have strengthened the event, with around half of the models predicting a strong event. The 2010-2012 La Niña event is different to this year, due to the influence of a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in 2010-2012, which enhanced the rainfall across Australia. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is neutral, which is likely tocontinue through to at least autumn. Two of six international models indicate a negative IOD during November, before becoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. La Niña increases the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. The remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia, except for parts of western WA and western TAS, where normal precipitation is expected. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Yanakie Rain Forecast


    Yanakie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 December to 9 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 December to 9 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 23 December to 27 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 December to 9 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Yanakie Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Nov 26
    12.0 °C 18.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 27
    5.7 °C 28.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 28
    14.9 °C 20.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 29
    13.5 °C 18.4 °C
    10.8 mm
    Monday
    Nov 30
    7.1 °C 19.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Yanakie minimum temp history (38.8296°S, 146.2381°E, 27m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 30.8° 15/11/2020 Coldest this month 9.8° 08/11/2020
    Hottest on record 37.1 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 2.8 07/12/1962
    Hottest this year 35.0° 30/01/2020 Coldest this year 3.1° 05/08/2020
    Long term average 17.3° Long term average 11.7°
    Average this month 19.4° Average this month 13.5°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.9° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 8.6° 1959
    Yanakie rainfall history (38.8296°S, 146.2381°E, 27m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.8mm 13/11/2020 Total This Month 23.6mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 71.2mm 13.4 days Wettest December on record 185.4mm 1910
    Driest on record 4.7mm 1960
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Yanakie Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 993.8mm 168.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1041.4mm 176.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 902.4mm 152.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 51.6mm Aug22
    Lowest Temperature 3.1°C Aug 5
    Highest Temperature 35.0°C Jan30
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Yanakie Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 20.6 20.7 19.5 17.4 15.1 13.1 12.3 12.7 14.2 15.9 17.3 18.8 16.5
    Mean Min (°C) 14.6 15.3 14.7 13.1 11.5 9.8 8.7 8.7 9.4 10.4 11.7 13.0 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 51.8 46.8 69.7 83.9 114.0 120.5 123.2 121.9 98.6 92.2 71.2 64.2 1057.6
    Mean Rain Days 9.9 9.1 12.1 14.9 17.8 18.9 19.4 19.6 17.7 16.1 13.4 12.0 178.3