Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Fire Weather Warning
for Mallee, North Central and Central fire weather districts
Issued at 04:23 AM EDT on Sunday 05 January 2025
Weather Situation
Hot and dry with fresh and gusty northwesterly winds ahead of a cooler west to southwesterly change entering the west of the state in the late afternoon and evening.
For the rest of Sunday 05 January:
Extreme Fire Danger for the following areas:
Mallee, North Central and Central
Cancellation for the following areas:
Wimmera
The CFA advises that you:
Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through ABC Local Radio, commercial and designated community radio stations, or Sky News TV, www.emergency.vic.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.cfa.vic.gov.au.
No further warnings will be issued for this event, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings issued if necessary.
Forecast
Monbulk (37.8734°S, 145.4055°E, 244m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY
19° 39° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 5:32am EDT 6:03am EDT 8:45pm EDT 9:16pm EDT NOW32.2° Feels Like: 29.7° Relative Humidity: 16% Dew: 3.2° Wind: N 6km/h Gust: 11km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1012.0hPa -
Today Weather
MonbulkNow36.8°cFeels Like:33.3°Wind:N 13km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:15%
19°Min39°MaxToday in MonbulkPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.Tomorrow
16°Min22°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming S/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.
Forecast for Monbulk (37.8734°S, 145.4055°E, 244m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary 
Minimum 19° 16° 11° 11° 15° 17° 17° Maximum 39° 22° 25° 30° 31° 34° 35° Chance of rain 90% 80% 10% 10% 40% 60% 60% Likely amount 1-5mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm UV index Extreme Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating Extreme Moderate High Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)15
(km/h)9
(km/h)17
(km/h)14
(km/h)21
(km/h)4
(km/h)7
(km/h)13
(km/h)9
(km/h)5
(km/h)9
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)Wind direction NE N SW SW SSE SE ENE SSE NNE N W S NNE NNE Relative humidity 33% 14% 91% 82% 73% 48% 67% 38% 55% 38% 68% 37% 58% 33% Dew point 10°C 6°C 20°C 17°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 17°C 15°C 15°C 12°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Monbulk Rain Forecast
Monbulk 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2025202577664744567105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 10
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically leads to cooler temperatures northern Australia during summer, while producing higher temperatures for western/southwestern WA, Vic and western Tas. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been like a negative IOD, but it is too late in the year for this climate driver to develop. Once the monsoon establishes over northern Australia, the IOD has no impact on Australia’s weather. The Southern AnnularMode (SAM) is in a brief negative phase, having switched a positive phase in November. Forecasts predict it will become neural in mid-late December and become positive in January and February. A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over large parts of the country during summer, with closer to average conditions for the southwest corner of WA, southern SA and Vic, and central parts of Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Monbulk Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Jan 0110.8 °C 20.1 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Jan 029.0 °C 18.2 °C 0.2 mmFriday
Jan 037.0 °C 29.4 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Jan 0416.6 °C 32.9 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 0520.6 °C 35.1 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Monbulk minimum temp history (37.8734°S, 145.4055°E, 244m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 35.1° 05/01/2025 Coldest this month 7.0° 03/01/2025 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 35.1° 05/01/2025 Coldest this year 7.0° 03/01/2025 Long term average 24.2° Long term average 13.2° Average this month 27.1° Average this month 12.8° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Monbulk rainfall history (37.8734°S, 145.4055°E, 244m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.2mm 02/01/2025 Total This Month 0.2mm
1.0 daysLong Term Average 92.3mm 12.7 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 14.2mm 2013 -
Year to Date
Monbulk Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 92.3mm 12.7 day(s) Total For 2025 0.2mm 1.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2024 17.4mm 3.0 day(s) Wettest Day 0.2mm Jan 2 Lowest Temperature 7.0°C Jan 3 Highest Temperature 35.1°C Jan 5 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Monbulk Climatology
Monbulk Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.2 23.6 21.3 16.8 12.9 10.4 9.8 11.2 14.0 16.8 19.1 21.8 16.6 Mean Min (°C) 13.2 13.0 12.2 9.9 7.7 5.9 5.3 5.5 6.8 8.1 9.7 11.2 8.9 Mean Rain (mm) 92.3 62.3 82.8 128.6 124.6 127.3 123.0 120.7 99.7 137.6 121.6 99.8 1298.4 Mean Rain Days 12.7 10.0 13.8 15.4 19.2 19.9 20.7 20.9 17.4 18.1 15.9 14.4 196.2
