Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central and Central forecast districts
Issued at 10:22 AM EDT on Tuesday 07 January 2025
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central and Central forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North Central and Central forecast districts has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Ferny Creek (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY8° 21° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:34am EDT 6:05am EDT 8:45pm EDT 9:15pm EDT NOW18.4° Feels Like: 15.7° Relative Humidity: 65% Dew: 11.7° Wind: E 17km/h Gust: 24km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1084.7hPa -
Today Weather
Ferny CreekNow23.0°cFeels Like:21.8°Wind:SE 11km/hGusts:15km/hHumidity:54%8°Min21°MaxToday in Ferny CreekPartly cloudy morning, clearing to a mostly sunny day. Winds SE 25 to 40 km/h.Tomorrow10°Min25°MaxSunny. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy morning, clearing to a mostly sunny day. Winds SE 25 to 40 km/h.
Forecast for Ferny Creek (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 8° 10° 15° 16° 17° 17° 13° Maximum 21° 25° 27° 29° 31° 25° 24° Chance of rain 5% 10% 5% 30% 70% 90% 60% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)17
(km/h)1
(km/h)2
(km/h)8
(km/h)1
(km/h)1
(km/h)3
(km/h)8
(km/h)3
(km/h)5
(km/h)3
(km/h)3
(km/h)3
(km/h)Wind direction SE SE ENE SSE NNE NNW NNE SSW NNE NNE N N S SSW Relative humidity 82% 57% 72% 43% 62% 37% 68% 35% 66% 33% 83% 68% 89% 56% Dew point 11°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 13°C 10°C 16°C 11°C 17°C 12°C 17°C 17°C 13°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ferny Creek Rain Forecast
Ferny Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec20257776466151096105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 10
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically leads to cooler temperatures northern Australia during summer, while producing higher temperatures for western/southwestern WA, Vic and western Tas. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been like a negative IOD, but it is too late in the year for this climate driver to develop. Once the monsoon establishes over northern Australia, the IOD has no impact on Australia’s weather. The Southern AnnularMode (SAM) is in a brief negative phase, having switched a positive phase in November. Forecasts predict it will become neural in mid-late December and become positive in January and February. A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over large parts of the country during summer, with closer to average conditions for the southwest corner of WA, southern SA and Vic, and central parts of Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Ferny Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Jan 037.0 °C 29.4 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Jan 0416.6 °C 32.9 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 0520.6 °C 35.1 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 0614.2 °C 17.2 °C 5.0 mmTuesday
Jan 078.9 °C 18.7 °C 24.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ferny Creek minimum temp history (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 35.1° 05/01/2025 Coldest this month 7.0° 03/01/2025 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 35.1° 05/01/2025 Coldest this year 7.0° 03/01/2025 Long term average 24.2° Long term average 13.2° Average this month 25.5° Average this month 13.0° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Ferny Creek rainfall history (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 5.0mm 06/01/2025 Total This Month 5.2mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 92.3mm 12.7 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 14.2mm 2013 -
Year to Date
Ferny Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 92.3mm 12.7 day(s) Total For 2025 5.2mm 2.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2024 17.4mm 3.0 day(s) Wettest Day 5.0mm Jan 6 Lowest Temperature 7.0°C Jan 3 Highest Temperature 35.1°C Jan 5 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Ferny Creek Climatology
Ferny Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.2 23.6 21.3 16.8 12.9 10.4 9.8 11.2 14.0 16.8 19.1 21.8 16.6 Mean Min (°C) 13.2 13.0 12.2 9.9 7.7 5.9 5.3 5.5 6.8 8.1 9.7 11.2 8.9 Mean Rain (mm) 92.3 62.3 82.8 128.6 124.6 127.3 123.0 120.7 99.7 137.6 121.6 99.8 1298.4 Mean Rain Days 12.7 10.0 13.8 15.4 19.2 19.9 20.7 20.9 17.4 18.1 15.9 14.4 196.2