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Forecast

Ferny Creek (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Rain 14° 21°
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:23am EDT 5:53am EDT 8:19pm EDT 8:49pm EDT
    NOW
    22.0° Feels Like: 19.2°
    Relative Humidity: 39%
    Dew: 7.4°
    Wind: W 11km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.7hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Ferny Creek
    Now
    23.6°c
    Feels Like:
    21.5°
    Wind:
    S 13km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    46%
    Rain
     
    14°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Ferny Creek
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming S 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Rain
    14°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer N suburbs in the afternoon. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming S 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

    Forecast for Ferny Creek (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Rain Late shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible thunderstorm
    Minimum 14° 14° 15° 15° 9° 9° 11°
    Maximum 21° 22° 24° 21° 17° 21° 23°
    Chance of rain 50% 50% 60% 80% 60% 60% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High
    Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 3
    (km/h)     		2
    (km/h)     		2
    (km/h)     		1
    (km/h)     		4
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		4
    (km/h)     		3
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE SSW S S N N NNW WNW S SE ESE ESE NNE SSW
    Relative humidity 98% 85% 94% 71% 85% 67% 85% 73% 85% 69% 74% 60% 81% 62%
    Dew point 15°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 17°C 15°C 13°C 10°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 14°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ferny Creek Rain Forecast

    Ferny Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2024
    2025
    5
    6
    7
    6
    6
    5
    5
    7
    4
    6
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 18

    ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ferny Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Nov 19     		7.8 °C 15.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 20     		6.5 °C 19.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Nov 21     		8.5 °C 28.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 22     		17.5 °C 31.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 23     		23.9 °C 32.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Ferny Creek minimum temp history (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 32.4° 23/11/2024 Coldest this month 4.0° 02/11/2024
    Hottest on record Coldest on record
    Hottest this year 33.6° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year 1.3° 28/07/2024
    Long term average 19.0° Long term average 9.6°
    Average this month 21.4° Average this month 10.0°
    Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - -
    Ferny Creek rainfall history (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.4mm 14/11/2024 Total This Month 24.8mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 124.6mm 16.2 days Wettest - on record - -
    Driest on record 59.4mm 2019

  15. Year to Date

    Ferny Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 1223.5mm 184.3 day(s)
    Total For 2024 1272.8mm 177.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 1149.8mm 202.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 87.4mm Jul16
    Lowest Temperature 1.3°C Jul28
    Highest Temperature 33.6°C Mar10

  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Ferny Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.2 23.6 21.3 16.8 12.9 10.4 9.8 11.2 14.0 16.8 19.0 21.8 16.6
    Mean Min (°C) 13.2 13.0 12.2 9.9 7.7 5.9 5.3 5.5 6.8 8.1 9.6 11.2 8.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 92.3 62.3 82.8 128.6 124.6 127.3 123.0 120.7 99.7 137.6 124.6 99.8 1298.4
    Mean Rain Days 12.7 10.0 13.8 15.4 19.2 19.9 20.7 20.9 17.4 18.1 16.2 14.4 196.2

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