Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Fire Weather Warning
for Mallee, Wimmera, North Central, South West and Central fire weather districts
Issued at 04:04 PM EDT on Saturday 22 February 2025
Weather Situation
Hot and dry with fresh and gusty northerly winds. Winds remaining fresh and gusty overnight through central southern parts of the state. A milder, west to southwesterly wind change about far western parts this evening will extend into central parts during Sunday. Isolated high-based thunderstorm activity with dry lightning is also possible, most likely ahead of the change.
For the rest of Saturday 22 February:
Extreme Fire Danger for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, North Central, South West and Central
For Sunday 23 February:
Extreme Fire Danger for the following areas:
North Central and Central
The CFA advises that you:
Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through ABC Local Radio, commercial and designated community radio stations, or Sky News TV, www.emergency.vic.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.cfa.vic.gov.au.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EDT Sunday.
Forecast
Ferny Creek (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW
21° 28° possible shower Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 6:29am EDT 6:56am EDT 8:08pm EDT 8:35pm EDT NOW26.1° Feels Like: 23.8° Relative Humidity: 41% Dew: 11.8° Wind: NE 15km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1074.8hPa -
Today Weather
Ferny CreekNow30.6°cFeels Like:28.2°Wind:NE 19km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:36%
21°Min28°MaxToday in Ferny CreekPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe with damaging winds. Winds N 35 to 50 km/h shifting S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon.Tomorrow
21°Min28°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending S 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe with damaging winds. Winds N 35 to 50 km/h shifting S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon.
Forecast for Ferny Creek (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary 
Minimum 21° 10° 9° 12° 14° 14° 9° Maximum 28° 20° 24° 31° 26° 22° 21° Chance of rain 50% 10% 5% 5% 50% 30% 50% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Extreme Moderate High High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)10
(km/h)4
(km/h)7
(km/h)6
(km/h)4
(km/h)8
(km/h)4
(km/h)2
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)Wind direction N WSW WSW SW SSE S NNE WNW SSW SW WNW SW S SSW Relative humidity 62% 45% 82% 55% 83% 42% 66% 29% 86% 48% 80% 54% 78% 48% Dew point 15°C 13°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 13°C 10°C 14°C 13°C 13°C 11°C 9°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ferny Creek Rain Forecast
Ferny Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan20252026575466554764105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 14
ENSO status: La Niña-like conditions. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña-like pattern. Recent conditions show some atmosphere-ocean coupling, resulting in the US declaring a La Niña event has started. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia, while reducing rainfall over southern coastal Australia and western Tas. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and does not play a part in Australia's climate during this time of year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase. Recent forecasts show negative SAM is more likely to dominate for the remainder of summer, due to the polar vortex taking an unusually long time to recover from the stratospheric warming event in winter 2024. During summer, a negative SAM decreases rainfall over most of southeastern Australia, and increases rainfall for far southwest WA and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over large parts of the country during summer, with closer to average conditions for the southwest corner of WA, southern SA and Vic, and central parts of Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Ferny Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Feb 189.6 °C 19.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Feb 199.0 °C 14.3 °C 4.4 mmThursday
Feb 2010.0 °C 18.3 °C 0.2 mmFriday
Feb 217.9 °C 28.6 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Feb 2217.2 °C 32.0 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ferny Creek minimum temp history (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 35.3° 02/02/2025 Coldest this month 5.4° 16/02/2025 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 35.3° 27/01/2025 Coldest this year 5.4° 16/02/2025 Long term average 23.6° Long term average 13.0° Average this month 25.1° Average this month 13.5° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Ferny Creek rainfall history (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 20.0mm 16/02/2025 Total This Month 29.8mm
8.0 daysLong Term Average 62.3mm 10.0 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 4.6mm 2018 -
Year to Date
Ferny Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Feb 153.6mm 22.5 day(s) Total For 2025 107.6mm 18.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2024 217.6mm 23.0 day(s) Wettest Day 24.2mm Jan 7 Lowest Temperature 5.4°C Feb16 Highest Temperature 35.3°C Jan27 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Ferny Creek Climatology
Ferny Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.3 23.6 21.3 16.8 12.9 10.4 9.8 11.2 14.0 16.8 19.1 21.9 16.6 Mean Min (°C) 13.2 13.0 12.2 9.9 7.7 5.9 5.3 5.5 6.8 8.1 9.7 11.3 8.9 Mean Rain (mm) 91.3 62.3 82.8 128.6 124.6 127.3 123.0 120.7 99.7 137.6 121.6 98.8 1306.9 Mean Rain Days 12.5 10.0 13.8 15.4 19.2 19.9 20.7 20.9 17.4 18.1 15.9 14.4 196.2
