Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Victoria
Issued at 10:00 PM EDT on Tuesday 05 December 2023
for the period until midnight EDT Wednesday 06 December 2023
Wind Warnings for Tuesday 05 December
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Port Phillip
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 06 December
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Central Gippsland Coast and East Gippsland Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:10 am EDT Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Viewbank (37.7393°S, 145.0964°E, 60m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY13° 24° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:20am EDT 5:51am EDT 8:30pm EDT 9:01pm EDT NOW14.8° Feels Like: 16.2° Relative Humidity: 97% Dew: 14.3° Wind: N 0km/h Gust: 6km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1017.7hPa -
Today Weather
ViewbankNow15.8°cFeels Like:15.3°Wind:W 6km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:77%13°Min24°MaxToday in ViewbankPartly cloudy morning, clearing to a sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.Tomorrow14°Min26°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the NE suburbs, slight chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy morning, clearing to a sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.
Forecast for Viewbank (37.7393°S, 145.0964°E, 60m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 13° 14° 18° 15° 14° 16° 17° Maximum 24° 26° 31° 19° 23° 25° 27° Chance of rain 50% 60% 80% 90% 60% 40% 40% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Extreme - - - Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 5
(km/h)10
(km/h)2
(km/h)6
(km/h)17
(km/h)19
(km/h)8
(km/h)12
(km/h)10
(km/h)11
(km/h)5
(km/h)8
(km/h)5
(km/h)8
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SSW SSW S NNE NNE SW SSW SSW S SSW SSE NNW ENE Relative humidity 77% 41% 72% 49% 63% 46% 97% 80% 93% 70% 92% 61% 86% 56% Dew point 13°C 9°C 13°C 13°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 14°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 19°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Viewbank Rain Forecast
Viewbank 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
LOW7
MEDIUM8
HIGH9
HIGH10
MEDIUM11
LOW12
13
14
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16
17
18
19
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Jan 1
2
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CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 5Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2023-12-08, 2023-12-19 and 2024-01-01. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2023-12-16, 2023-12-22 and 2024-01-01. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2023-12-06, 2023-12-11 and 2023-12-16.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Viewbank Rain Forecast
Viewbank 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct2023202467565374456105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 5
ENSO status: El Niño, reached a strong event. IOD status: Positive IOD, starting to weaken. SAM status: Neutral, trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño, with all international models indicating this event will continue until at least April 2024. Ocean warming is continuing to occur in the eastern and central Pacific and has reached the threshold for a 'strong event'. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has reduced further and is comfortably below the El Niño threshold, especially over the last 90-days. El Niño only has a limited effect on rainfall during summer, drying Far North Qld, increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor, and having little effect elsewhere. El Niño also typically delays the first monsoon onset and reduces the number of tropical cyclones impacting Australia, but otherwise has little effect on Australia during January and February. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a positive phase but is weakening from its peak in late October. Winds areexpected to weaken with the current tropical activity, but generally SE wind near Jakarta should maintain the event The IOD typically takes 3-6 weeks to decay, so could persist into the start of 2024. However, the first monsoon onset over northern Australia will still sever its effect on Australia. A positive IOD greatly reduces the formation of northwest cloudbands, leading to reductions in spring rainfall over northern WA, central Aus, and the southeast. A positive IOD often has a compound effect with El Niño, reducing rainfall even further. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently neutral. It is expected to favour a positive event for the remainder of December. Longer-term, since negative SAM events become more likely during El Niño, models suggest it becoming strongly negative around February. A negative phase tends to increase cold front activity over southern Australia, increasing rainfall over southern Vic, western Tas, and southeast SA, while decreasing it for eastern NSW and Qld. The opposite occurs in a positive event, with easterly winds more likely, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, but reducing it in southern and Western Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting above average rainfall for eastern NSW & Qld, below average rainfall over the Tas and far northern Australia, and average elsewhere in December. Large rainfall deficits are expected over northern Australia from December, likely with a delayed initial monsoon onset. Rainfall is forecast to be above average in the NT and NSW during January, with average to slightly below average elsewhere, with drier than normal conditions forecast throughout in February.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Viewbank Rain Forecast
Viewbank 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
LOW7
MEDIUM8
HIGH9
HIGH10
MEDIUM11
LOW12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Jan 1
2
3
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 5Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2023-12-08, 2023-12-19 and 2024-01-01. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2023-12-16, 2023-12-22 and 2024-01-01. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2023-12-06, 2023-12-11 and 2023-12-16.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Viewbank Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Dec 0113.4 °C 24.6 °C 4.2 mmSaturday
Dec 0215.2 °C 17.2 °C 0.6 mmSunday
Dec 0313.4 °C 25.4 °C 8.0 mmMonday
Dec 0411.5 °C 32.6 °C 0.2 mmTuesday
Dec 0513.5 °C 29.4 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Viewbank minimum temp history (37.7393°S, 145.0964°E, 60m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.6° 04/12/2023 Coldest this month 11.5° 04/12/2023 Hottest on record 43.0 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 4.9 28/12/2010 Hottest this year 41.4° 17/02/2023 Coldest this year -1.3° 16/08/2023 Long term average 25.8° Long term average 12.7° Average this month 25.8° Average this month 13.4° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.8° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 10.8° 2001 Viewbank rainfall history (37.7393°S, 145.0964°E, 60m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 8.0mm 03/12/2023 Total This Month 13.0mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 65.8mm 10.8 days Wettest December on record 143.2mm 2003 Driest on record 11.4mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Viewbank Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 677.6mm 164.7 day(s) Total For 2023 625.8mm 143.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2022 807.2mm 164.0 day(s) Wettest Day 41.6mm Apr16 Lowest Temperature -1.3°C Aug16 Highest Temperature 41.4°C Feb17 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Viewbank Climatology
Viewbank Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.2 27.5 25.3 21.3 17.1 14.4 14.0 15.1 17.8 20.4 23.4 25.8 20.8 Mean Min (°C) 14.7 14.5 12.9 10.1 7.9 6.2 5.9 6.3 7.8 9.0 11.3 12.7 9.9 Mean Rain (mm) 45.0 43.6 44.2 64.4 55.2 55.9 46.0 56.8 54.7 71.0 75.0 65.8 674.5 Mean Rain Days 8.9 8.1 9.5 12.9 16.8 18.6 18.1 17.9 15.0 14.9 13.2 10.8 165.3