Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for Central forecast district
Issued at 05:37 PM EDT on Tuesday 19 March 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Central forecast district
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday morning. Areas likely to be affected include parts of the Central forecast district. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EDT Tuesday.
Forecast
Viewbank (37.7393°S, 145.0964°E, 60m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW12° 19° clearing shower Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:57am EDT 7:23am EDT 7:31pm EDT 7:57pm EDT NOW20.1° Feels Like: 20.3° Relative Humidity: 78% Dew: 16.1° Wind: S 9km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1010.2hPa -
Today Weather
ViewbankNow20.5°cFeels Like:20.6°Wind:S 9km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:74%12°Min19°MaxToday in ViewbankPartly cloudy. High chance of showers about the Dandenongs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h turning S 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.Tomorrow12°Min19°MaxMostly sunny. Winds SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers about the Dandenongs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h turning S 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.
Forecast for Viewbank (37.7393°S, 145.0964°E, 60m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 12° 9° 8° 12° 10° 11° 13° Maximum 19° 23° 25° 23° 23° 27° 20° Chance of rain 20% 5% 5% 20% 5% 40% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating High Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 15
(km/h)22
(km/h)4
(km/h)10
(km/h)1
(km/h)10
(km/h)4
(km/h)14
(km/h)5
(km/h)13
(km/h)5
(km/h)12
(km/h)7
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction WSW SW SE SSW N SW S SW W WSW NW WSW SW SSW Relative humidity 63% 40% 67% 36% 83% 38% 83% 46% 78% 42% 79% 36% 78% 41% Dew point 8°C 4°C 8°C 6°C 10°C 9°C 13°C 10°C 10°C 8°C 12°C 10°C 12°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Viewbank Rain Forecast
Viewbank 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Viewbank Rain Forecast
Viewbank 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025553654756677105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Viewbank Rain Forecast
Viewbank 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Viewbank Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1512.5 °C 30.0 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1612.0 °C 31.5 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1715.0 °C 31.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 1813.5 °C 32.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Mar 1917.1 °C 29.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Viewbank minimum temp history (37.7393°S, 145.0964°E, 60m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 38.3° 09/03/2024 Coldest this month 9.0° 05/03/2024 Hottest on record 39.9 08/03/2016 Coldest on record 2.8 26/03/2005 Hottest this year 38.3° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 7.4° 15/02/2024 Long term average 25.3° Long term average 12.9° Average this month 29.6° Average this month 14.4° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.6° 2017 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 11.1° 2005 Viewbank rainfall history (37.7393°S, 145.0964°E, 60m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 3.6mm 14/03/2024 Total This Month 3.6mm
1.0 daysLong Term Average 44.2mm 9.5 days Wettest March on record 77.8mm 2001 Driest on record 13.0mm 2004 -
Year to Date
Viewbank Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 135.4mm 26.5 day(s) Total For 2024 116.8mm 14.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 87.8mm 17.0 day(s) Wettest Day 41.0mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 7.4°C Feb15 Highest Temperature 38.3°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Viewbank Climatology
Viewbank Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.1 27.5 25.3 21.3 17.1 14.4 14.0 15.1 17.8 20.4 23.4 25.8 20.8 Mean Min (°C) 14.7 14.5 12.9 10.1 7.9 6.2 5.9 6.3 7.8 9.0 11.4 12.7 9.9 Mean Rain (mm) 47.6 43.6 44.2 64.4 55.2 55.9 46.0 56.8 54.7 71.0 73.6 65.7 674.6 Mean Rain Days 8.9 8.1 9.5 12.9 16.8 18.6 18.1 17.9 15.0 14.9 13.2 11.0 164.9