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Forecast

Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Increasing sunshine 5° 17°
    increasing sunshine
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:51am EST 7:19am EST 5:14pm EST 5:42pm EST
    NOW
    9.5° Feels Like: 7.3°
    Relative Humidity: 92%
    Dew: 8.3°
    Wind: N 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1030.4hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Melbourne
    Now
    8.8°c
    Feels Like:
    6.7°
    Wind:
    N 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    98%
    Increasing sunshine
     
    5°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Melbourne
    The chance of morning fog, clearing to a sunny afternoon. The chance of light morning frost in the NW suburbs. The chance of fog redeveloping in the late evening. Light winds.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    5°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    The chance of fog and frost in the morning. Sunny afternoon. Light winds.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: The chance of morning fog, clearing to a sunny afternoon. The chance of light morning frost in the NW suburbs. The chance of fog redeveloping in the late evening. Light winds.

    Forecast for Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Increasing sunshine Mostly sunny Sunny Showers Showers Showers Possible shower
    Minimum 5° 5° 7° 11° 11° 9° 7°
    Maximum 17° 18° 19° 18° 17° 15° 16°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 40% 60% 80% 20% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Slight Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)     		3
    (km/h)     		4
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE SSE NE ENE NE NE NE NNE NNW WSW NW NW N N
    Relative humidity 82% 59% 79% 53% 70% 52% 72% 71% 83% 73% 82% 59% 76% 60%
    Dew point 7°C 9°C 5°C 8°C 6°C 8°C 9°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 8°C 6°C 6°C 8°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Melbourne Rain Forecast

    Melbourne 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jun 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    HIGH
    20
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Melbourne Rain Forecast

    Melbourne 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2022
    2023
    8
    6
    6
    7
    7
    7
    7
    6
    4
    7
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 11

    ENSO status: La Niña, it is expected return to neutral state by early winter. IOD status: Neutral, models suggest it could enter a negative phase in the next month. SAM status: Positive and is expected to remain positive for the next month or so. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña phase and has not changed in strength during the past two weeks. La Niña events typically breaks down in autumn and while this current La Niña is persisting longer than usual, most models suggest it should end by early winter. However, one seasonal model operated by the U.S. National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) suggests that a La Niña-like signal could linger in the Pacific Ocean through the middle of the year and possibly remerge in the Southern Hemisphere’s spring. That being said, it is important to note that seasonal forecast models have lower accuracy at this time of year. This is called the autumn predictability barrier. The La Niña forecast will increase the likelihood of above-average rain in northern and eastern Australia during the remainder of Autumn, possibly into winter. Even as La Niña weakens it should continue to influence our climate. all five climate models suggest a negative phase will begin during late autumn or early winter. Climate models are forecasting strong negative IOD values by August, with the negative IOD event possibly lingering into spring. While a neutral IOD has little influence on our climate, a negative IOD increases the chance of above average autumn and winter rain for much of Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except southwest WA, parts of TAS and VIC. If a negative IOD does develop this winter, it will increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia, especially areas that had a wet summer and autumn.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Melbourne Rain Forecast

    Melbourne 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jun 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    HIGH
    20
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Melbourne Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    May 18     		10.8 °C 15.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 19     		8.9 °C 14.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    May 20     		10.4 °C 15.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 21     		4.6 °C 14.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    May 22     		6.8 °C 14.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Melbourne minimum temp history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.1° 02/05/2022 Coldest this month 4.6° 21/05/2022
    Hottest on record 28.7 07/05/1905 Coldest on record -1.1 29/05/1916
    Hottest this year 37.1° 01/01/2022 Coldest this year 4.6° 21/05/2022
    Long term average 16.8° Long term average 8.7°
    Average this month 17.0° Average this month 10.2°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.6° 1866 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 6.3° 1870
    Melbourne rainfall history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.2mm 17/05/2022 Total This Month 10.4mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 55.6mm 14.6 days Wettest May on record 142.5mm 1942
    Driest on record 3.8mm 1934

  15. Year to Date

    Melbourne Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 256.9mm 51.4 day(s)
    Total For 2022 223.6mm 38.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2021 249.6mm 51.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 38.6mm Jan29
    Lowest Temperature 4.6°C May21
    Highest Temperature 37.1°C Jan 1

  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Melbourne Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.0 25.8 23.9 20.3 16.8 14.1 13.5 15.0 17.3 19.7 22.0 24.2 19.9
    Mean Min (°C) 14.4 14.7 13.3 10.9 8.7 6.9 6.1 6.8 8.1 9.6 11.3 13.0 10.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 47.8 46.6 49.5 57.4 55.6 48.5 47.2 50.0 57.4 65.2 59.9 58.8 643.7
    Mean Rain Days 8.3 7.4 9.4 11.7 14.6 15.4 16.1 16.2 14.8 14.1 11.7 10.3 149.7

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