Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Frost Warning
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East and Central forecast districts
Issued at 04:46 PM EST on Tuesday 17 September 2024
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Please be aware
Temperatures at ground level can be many degrees lower than those recorded
by standard weather stations, especially in calm conditions with very clear skies.
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Frost Warning for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East and Central forecast districts
Frosts with temperatures down to -1 degrees are forecast for Wednesday morning in parts of the Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East and Central forecast districts.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW8° 20° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:49am EST 6:15am EST 6:13pm EST 6:40pm EST NOW9.8° Feels Like: 8.7° Relative Humidity: 72% Dew: 5.0° Wind: N 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1021.4hPa -
Today Weather
MelbourneNow11.4°cFeels Like:8.8°Wind:NE 7km/hGusts:7km/hHumidity:64%8°Min20°MaxToday in MelbourneMostly sunny. High chance of showers in the SE suburbs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h turning W 30 to 45 km/h in the afternoon.Tomorrow8°Min20°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers. Winds W 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the morning. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. High chance of showers in the SE suburbs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h turning W 30 to 45 km/h in the afternoon.
Forecast for Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 8° 9° 9° 11° 10° 9° 13° Maximum 20° 16° 17° 18° 16° 20° 23° Chance of rain 70% 70% 80% 30% 40% 20% 60% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm UV index High Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)23
(km/h)14
(km/h)22
(km/h)14
(km/h)18
(km/h)16
(km/h)19
(km/h)15
(km/h)15
(km/h)15
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction N WNW WNW W NW NW NW NW WNW W N NNW N NNW Relative humidity 52% 35% 62% 50% 59% 55% 60% 52% 60% 46% 58% 46% 51% 42% Dew point 3°C 4°C 5°C 5°C 5°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 5°C 4°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Melbourne Rain Forecast
Melbourne 12-month Rainfall ForecastSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug20242025766797653764105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Sep 9
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral. Favouring negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, and the 30-day SOI now above +7. While these are good signs that La Nina is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a positive IOD than to a negative phase, so there may be some minor reductions in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impacting Australia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is now neutral, having recovered from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) event over Antarctica in mid-July. However, another SW event is occurring in mid September that may further dampen the polar vortex. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events during September and October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during September and October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia from November. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-missfor most of Australia this spring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Melbourne Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Sep 1310.0 °C 15.6 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Sep 149.1 °C 10.8 °C 3.4 mmSunday
Sep 155.9 °C 13.0 °C 2.2 mmMonday
Sep 168.8 °C 14.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Sep 1710.2 °C 15.0 °C 1.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Melbourne minimum temp history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 24.5° 06/09/2024 Coldest this month 5.9° 15/09/2024 Hottest on record 31.4 28/09/1928 Coldest on record -0.5 16/09/1908 Hottest this year 37.6° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 1.0° 03/07/2024 Long term average 17.3° Long term average 8.1° Average this month 17.3° Average this month 10.2° Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.7° 2006 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 5.6° 1905 Melbourne rainfall history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 8.2mm 12/09/2024 Total This Month 25.0mm
11.0 daysLong Term Average 57.1mm 14.7 days Wettest September on record 201.6mm 1916 Driest on record 10.8mm 2023 -
Year to Date
Melbourne Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Sep 459.4mm 113.6 day(s) Total For 2024 415.0mm 100.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 385.4mm 103.0 day(s) Wettest Day 53.2mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 1.0°C Jul 3 Highest Temperature 37.6°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Melbourne Climatology
Melbourne Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.0 25.8 23.9 20.3 16.8 14.1 13.5 15.0 17.3 19.7 22.0 24.2 19.9 Mean Min (°C) 14.5 14.7 13.3 10.9 8.7 7.0 6.1 6.8 8.1 9.6 11.3 13.0 10.3 Mean Rain (mm) 48.0 46.3 49.2 58.1 55.3 48.4 47.1 49.9 57.1 65.8 59.9 58.7 643.6 Mean Rain Days 8.3 7.3 9.4 11.7 14.6 15.4 16.1 16.1 14.7 14.1 11.8 10.3 149.7