Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for Central forecast district
Issued at 11:01 AM EDT on Wednesday 20 November 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Central forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the Central forecast district has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY11° 29° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:26am EDT 5:56am EDT 8:17pm EDT 8:47pm EDT NOW23.3° Feels Like: 22.7° Relative Humidity: 59% Dew: 14.8° Wind: SW 11km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1018.5hPa -
Today Weather
MelbourneNow27.0°cFeels Like:23.0°Wind:S 20km/hGusts:22km/hHumidity:34%11°Min29°MaxToday in MelbourneMostly clear. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.Tomorrow15°Min34°MaxMostly sunny day, becoming cloudy in the evening. Light winds becoming N 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the early afternoon. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly clear. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.
Forecast for Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 11° 15° 23° 19° 17° 16° 13° Maximum 29° 34° 36° 23° 23° 20° 19° Chance of rain 5% 20% 50% 70% 70% 50% 30% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Very High High High Low Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate High Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)13
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)3
(km/h)7
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)8
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction NNE SW NE W NNE NNW SSW SSW SW SSW WSW SSW SSW SSW Relative humidity 77% 60% 51% 23% 31% 21% 70% 73% 82% 76% 79% 66% 64% 56% Dew point 11°C 15°C 13°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 15°C 17°C 16°C 17°C 14°C 13°C 9°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Melbourne Rain Forecast
Melbourne 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025567665574656105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Melbourne Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Nov 1719.9 °C 23.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Nov 1811.9 °C 18.9 °C 1.8 mmTuesday
Nov 1913.5 °C 17.1 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 2013.0 °C 17.8 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 2110.4 °C 25.4 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Melbourne minimum temp history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 33.6° 16/11/2024 Coldest this month 7.4° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 40.9 27/11/1894 Coldest on record 2.5 02/11/1896 Hottest this year 37.6° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 1.0° 03/07/2024 Long term average 22.0° Long term average 11.3° Average this month 22.5° Average this month 12.2° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.1° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 8.1° 1877 Melbourne rainfall history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 5.4mm 14/11/2024 Total This Month 12.8mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 59.9mm 11.8 days Wettest November on record 206.1mm 1954 Driest on record 6.5mm 1895 -
Year to Date
Melbourne Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 584.9mm 139.6 day(s) Total For 2024 502.6mm 124.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 472.8mm 126.0 day(s) Wettest Day 53.2mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 1.0°C Jul 3 Highest Temperature 37.6°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Melbourne Climatology
Melbourne Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.0 25.8 23.9 20.3 16.8 14.1 13.5 15.0 17.3 19.7 22.0 24.2 19.9 Mean Min (°C) 14.5 14.7 13.3 10.9 8.7 7.0 6.1 6.8 8.1 9.6 11.3 13.0 10.3 Mean Rain (mm) 48.0 46.3 49.2 58.1 55.3 48.4 47.1 49.8 57.0 65.7 59.9 58.7 643.6 Mean Rain Days 8.3 7.3 9.4 11.7 14.6 15.4 16.1 16.1 14.8 14.1 11.8 10.3 149.7