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Forecast

Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 15° 20°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:45am EST 6:11am EST 6:16pm EST 6:42pm EST
    NOW
    19.7° Feels Like: 17.2°
    Relative Humidity: 64%
    Dew: 12.7°
    Wind: N 17km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1005.1hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Melbourne
    Now
    18.2°c
    Feels Like:
    12.0°
    Wind:
    N 37km/h
    Gusts:
    54km/h
    Humidity:
    73%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    15°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Today in Melbourne
    Humid. Partly cloudy. High chance of showers during the morning and early afternoon, easing during the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon with gusty winds. Winds N/NW 25 to 35 km/h.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    12°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the southeast suburbs in the afternoon and evening. Gusty winds possible with showers or storms in the afternoon. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/NW 30 to 45 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Humid. Partly cloudy. High chance of showers during the morning and early afternoon, easing during the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon with gusty winds. Winds N/NW 25 to 35 km/h.

    Forecast for Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Showers increasing Possible shower Showers Showers easing Mostly sunny
    Minimum 15° 12° 10° 8° 9° 7° 9°
    Maximum 20° 18° 15° 15° 13° 14° 15°
    Chance of rain 70% 50% 60% 80% 90% 90% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		30
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NNW NNW WNW WNW W WNW NW NNE W SW SW WSW SW
    Relative humidity 71% 45% 60% 52% 63% 57% 63% 44% 77% 66% 74% 64% 69% 58%
    Dew point 11°C 7°C 8°C 7°C 6°C 5°C 4°C 2°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 6°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Melbourne Rain Forecast

    Melbourne 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, and eastern Australia.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 September to 3 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 24 October to 28 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 September to 1 October, 1 October to 5 October, and 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 September to 4 October, 18 October to 22 October, and 24 October to 28 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Melbourne Rain Forecast

    Melbourne 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    4
    7
    8
    7
    6
    7
    6
    5
    3
    6
    3
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Melbourne Rain Forecast

    Melbourne 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, and eastern Australia.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 September to 3 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 24 October to 28 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 September to 1 October, 1 October to 5 October, and 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 September to 4 October, 18 October to 22 October, and 24 October to 28 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Melbourne Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Sep 16     		7.1 °C 22.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 17     		11.8 °C 15.5 °C
    0.8 mm
    Friday
    Sep 18     		8.4 °C 18.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 19     		11.3 °C 26.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 20     		17.1 °C 22.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Melbourne minimum temp history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.3° 19/09/2020 Coldest this month 5.4° 10/09/2020
    Hottest on record 31.4 28/09/1928 Coldest on record -0.5 16/09/1908
    Hottest this year 42.9° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 1.7° 28/06/2020
    Long term average 17.2° Long term average 8.0°
    Average this month 19.0° Average this month 10.1°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.7° 2006 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 5.6° 1905
    Melbourne rainfall history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.8mm 13/09/2020 Total This Month 15.6mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 58.0mm 14.9 days Wettest September on record 201.6mm 1916
    Driest on record 12.0mm 2008

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Melbourne Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 463.2mm 114.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 603.8mm 108.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 281.6mm 103.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 54.6mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature 1.7°C Jun28
    Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan31

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Melbourne Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.9 25.8 23.9 20.3 16.7 14.1 13.5 15.0 17.2 19.7 22.0 24.2 19.8
    Mean Min (°C) 14.3 14.6 13.2 10.8 8.7 6.9 6.0 6.7 8.0 9.5 11.2 12.9 10.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 47.1 48.0 50.1 57.3 55.7 49.5 47.5 50.0 58.0 66.0 60.3 59.1 648.3
    Mean Rain Days 8.3 7.4 9.4 11.7 14.6 15.4 16.2 16.1 14.9 14.1 11.7 10.4 149.2

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