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Forecast

Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Rain 12° 17°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:34am EST 6:00am EST 6:22pm EST 6:48pm EST
    NOW
    13.0° Feels Like: 13.1°
    Relative Humidity: 83%
    Dew: 10.2°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Melbourne
    Now
    12.6°c
    Feels Like:
    10.9°
    Wind:
    NW 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    77%
    Rain
     
    12°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Melbourne
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely during the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N suburbs in the late morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    13°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely during the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N suburbs in the late morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning.

    Forecast for Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Rain Showers Showers Showers Showers increasing Showers Possible shower
    Minimum 12° 13° 13° 12° 11° 10° 10°
    Maximum 17° 20° 19° 19° 20° 18° 17°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 5
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE SE E ESE NNW SSW WSW SSW NE N N W W SW
    Relative humidity 81% 72% 82% 75% 83% 71% 86% 72% 86% 62% 76% 62% 81% 62%
    Dew point 10°C 11°C 13°C 14°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 12°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Melbourne Rain Forecast


    Melbourne 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    Oct 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 October to 9 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 29 October to 2 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October, 22 October to 26 October, and 29 October to 2 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 October to 9 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 28 October to 1 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Melbourne Rain Forecast


    Melbourne 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    6
    6
    8
    6
    8
    7
    6
    5
    3
    6
    3
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Melbourne Rain Forecast


    Melbourne 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    Oct 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 October to 9 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 29 October to 2 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October, 22 October to 26 October, and 29 October to 2 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 October to 9 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 28 October to 1 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Melbourne Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Sep 24
    11.0 °C 18.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 25
    7.1 °C 12.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 26
    5.0 °C 15.4 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Sep 27
    5.1 °C 19.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 28
    7.7 °C 23.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Melbourne minimum temp history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.1° 02/09/2021 Coldest this month 2.6° 27/09/2021
    Hottest on record 30.3 12/09/2009 Coldest on record -1.6 17/09/1949
    Hottest this year 40.7° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year -0.3° 08/07/2021
    Long term average 16.9° Long term average 6.8°
    Average this month 18.1° Average this month 7.9°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.2° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 5.4° 1958
    Melbourne rainfall history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 33.2mm 04/09/2021 Total This Month 65.6mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 48.1mm 14.3 days Wettest September on record 113.0mm 1960
    Driest on record 11.0mm 2008
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Melbourne Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 410.4mm 109.1 day(s)
    Total For 2021 419.6mm 118.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 562.6mm 120.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 37.4mm Jan30
    Lowest Temperature -0.3°C Jul 8
    Highest Temperature 40.7°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Melbourne Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.6 25.9 24.2 20.2 16.4 13.8 13.1 14.4 16.9 19.5 22.0 24.6 19.8
    Mean Min (°C) 13.8 14.0 12.6 10.0 7.9 6.0 5.5 5.8 6.8 8.4 10.2 12.0 9.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 44.1 44.8 39.1 56.6 48.5 40.0 42.2 47.0 48.1 56.9 57.1 51.3 568.8
    Mean Rain Days 7.4 7.3 9.0 11.4 13.5 14.6 15.7 15.9 14.3 12.8 11.6 10.0 142.0