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Forecast

Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Clearing shower 14° 18°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:39am EDT 7:06am EDT 7:58pm EDT 8:25pm EDT
    NOW
    22.3° Feels Like: 20.5°
    Relative Humidity: 62%
    Dew: 14.7°
    Wind: SW 17km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1005.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Melbourne
    Now
    23.5°c
    Feels Like:
    17.6°
    Wind:
    SSW 35km/h
    Gusts:
    39km/h
    Humidity:
    52%
    Clearing shower
     
    14°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Melbourne
    Mostly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, becoming less likely throughout the morning then clearing during the afternoon. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming SW 25 to 35 km/h before dawn then tending S in the morning.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    14°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Early morning fog in the outer suburbs. Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower at night. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SE 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, becoming less likely throughout the morning then clearing during the afternoon. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming SW 25 to 35 km/h before dawn then tending S in the morning.

    Forecast for Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Clearing shower Mostly cloudy Showers Showers Possible shower Possible shower Cloudy
    Minimum 14° 12° 13° 17° 17° 15° 15°
    Maximum 18° 21° 23° 24° 21° 21° 21°
    Chance of rain 20% 40% 50% 80% 70% 60% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SSW SSE S ENE SE SE WSW SW SSW SSW SSW SSE SSE
    Relative humidity 72% 56% 72% 57% 84% 72% 88% 76% 88% 74% 82% 71% 80% 60%
    Dew point 11°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 17°C 18°C 20°C 17°C 16°C 14°C 15°C 13°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Melbourne Rain Forecast


    Melbourne 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 1

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 March to 20 March, 26 March to 30 March, and 30 March to 3 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 March to 14 March, and 4 April to 8 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 March to 12 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 26 March to 30 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Melbourne Rain Forecast


    Melbourne 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    6
    6
    3
    6
    7
    4
    5
    2
    7
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Melbourne Rain Forecast


    Melbourne 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 1

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 March to 20 March, 26 March to 30 March, and 30 March to 3 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 March to 14 March, and 4 April to 8 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 March to 12 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 26 March to 30 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Melbourne Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Feb 26
    16.2 °C 19.2 °C
    4.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 27
    11.0 °C 19.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Feb 28
    13.1 °C 20.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 29
    14.7 °C 22.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 01
    13.2 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Melbourne minimum temp history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month - Coldest this month 13.2° 01/03/2020
    Hottest on record 41.7 11/03/1940 Coldest on record 2.8 17/03/1884
    Hottest this year 42.9° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 10.8° 05/02/2020
    Long term average 23.9° Long term average 13.2°
    Average this month - Average this month 13.2°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.9° 1940 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 10.1° 1945
    Melbourne rainfall history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/03/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 50.1mm 9.4 days Wettest March on record 190.7mm 1911
    Driest on record 3.7mm 1934
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Melbourne Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 145.2mm 25.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 191.4mm 20.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 29.8mm 9.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 44.0mm Jan21
    Lowest Temperature 10.8°C Feb 5
    Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Melbourne Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.9 25.8 23.9 20.3 16.7 14.1 13.5 15.0 17.2 19.7 22.0 24.2 19.8
    Mean Min (°C) 14.3 14.6 13.2 10.8 8.7 6.9 6.0 6.7 8.0 9.5 11.2 12.9 10.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 47.1 48.0 50.1 57.3 55.7 49.5 47.5 50.0 58.0 66.0 60.3 59.1 648.3
    Mean Rain Days 8.3 7.4 9.4 11.7 14.6 15.4 16.2 16.1 14.9 14.1 11.7 10.4 149.2