Forecast
Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW7° 15° Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:41am EST 7:08am EST 5:42pm EST 6:10pm EST NOW11.3° Feels Like: 10.2° Relative Humidity: 73% Dew: 6.6° Wind: N 2km/h Gust: 7km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1012.6hPa -
Today Weather
MelbourneNow10.2°cFeels Like:8.5°Wind:W 7km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:91%7°Min15°MaxToday in MelbournePartly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Light winds.Tomorrow7°Min15°MaxCloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers in E parts, grading to a high chance in the W. Showers most likely from the late morning. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Melbourne
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Light winds.
Forecast for Melbourne (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 7° 8° 9° 9° 8° 10° 6° Maximum 15° 15° 14° 15° 15° 14° 15° Chance of rain 60% 80% 80% 70% 90% 70% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 1
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)23
(km/h)20
(km/h)21
(km/h)14
(km/h)18
(km/h)10
(km/h)18
(km/h)20
(km/h)19
(km/h)14
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction E SSW W W WNW W W SW N N N NNW NNW WNW Relative humidity 84% 65% 87% 68% 78% 62% 89% 68% 84% 63% 80% 64% 77% 63% Dew point 7°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 6°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 8°C 6°C 7°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Melbourne Rain Forecast
Melbourne 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
MEDIUM16
MEDIUM17
HIGH18
HIGH19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
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31
Sep 1
2
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8
9
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Aug12Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 August to 14 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 10 August to 14 August.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Melbourne Rain Forecast
Melbourne 12-month Rainfall ForecastAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul20222023467887655364105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Aug 2
ENSO status: Neutral, However, some models suggest La Niña may re-form in spring. IOD status: Negative, all models suggest this event will continue until late spring. SAM status: Neutral, neutral to positive levels are forecast in August The 2021-22 La Nina event has ended according to BOM, however two out of seven models suggest a return of La Nina in late winter, with four in October and five in November. Even though this event officially has ended, a La Nina-like pattern is likely to persist for the remainder of 2022. However, new data released by the U.S. Climate Prediction Centre continues to point towards the prospect of a third consecutive La Niña later this year. Their predictions give La Niña a 62 percent chance of occurring by early spring and a 65 to 66 percent chance in late spring and early summer.Looking further ahead, the majority of forecast models predict that the La Niña pattern in the Pacific Ocean should break down towards the end of summer, most likely returning to a neutral state early in 2023. The Bureau of Meteorology has declared that a negative IOD event is underway to the northwest of Australia. This declaration comes after sea surface temperatures in the Indian Ocean have remained near or exceeded the negative IOD threshold for the last eight weeks. This is now the 2nd consecutive year to be declared a negative IOD year, following a relatively weak event in 2021. This is the first time we have seen two consecutive negative IOD years since reliable records of the IOD began in 1960. Unlike last year’s event, this year’s negative IOD is expected to be strong and last through the remainder of winter and spring. A negative IOD increases the chance of above average winter and spring rainfall and cloud across parts of southern Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except drier than average conditions are forecast in southwest WA and parts of TAS. During spring much of Australia isforecast to average to above average. Early indications of summer rainfall look average to above average for much of Australia, except TAS which looks drier. The negative IOD could increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia. With two La Niña seasons already in the bag and the prospect of a third La Niña now a looming possibility, this is likely to have a compounding effect that may exacerbate the impacts we normally see in Australia. So, while individual La Niña events usually cause more rain and flooding in northern and eastern Australia, any La Niña-fuelled rainfall this year will be falling onto already saturated ground and into full dams. This makes flooding a heightened risk, especially for areas that just had a wet summer and autumn.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Melbourne Rain Forecast
Melbourne 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
MEDIUM16
MEDIUM17
HIGH18
HIGH19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Sep 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Aug12Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 August to 14 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 10 August to 14 August.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Melbourne Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Aug 085.4 °C 13.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Aug 092.6 °C 12.4 °C 0.2 mmWednesday
Aug 103.6 °C 14.7 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Aug 115.4 °C 15.7 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Aug 1210.3 °C 15.3 °C 1.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Melbourne minimum temp history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 19.2° 03/08/2022 Coldest this month 2.6° 09/08/2022 Hottest on record 26.5 29/08/1982 Coldest on record -2.1 11/08/1863 Hottest this year 37.1° 01/01/2022 Coldest this year 0.8° 20/07/2022 Long term average 15.0° Long term average 6.8° Average this month 15.2° Average this month 7.9° Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.7° 1982 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 4.0° 1943 Melbourne rainfall history (37.8143°S, 144.9632°E, 8m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 3.8mm 06/08/2022 Total This Month 9.4mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 50.0mm 16.2 days Wettest August on record 110.8mm 1939 Driest on record 12.4mm 1903 -
Year to Date
Melbourne Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Aug 402.4mm 99.1 day(s) Total For 2022 335.4mm 84.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2021 357.8mm 90.0 day(s) Wettest Day 38.6mm Jan29 Lowest Temperature 0.8°C Jul20 Highest Temperature 37.1°C Jan 1 -
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Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Melbourne Climatology
Melbourne Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.0 25.8 23.9 20.3 16.8 14.1 13.5 15.0 17.3 19.7 22.0 24.2 19.9 Mean Min (°C) 14.4 14.7 13.3 10.9 8.7 7.0 6.1 6.8 8.1 9.6 11.3 13.0 10.3 Mean Rain (mm) 47.8 46.6 49.5 57.4 55.4 48.5 47.1 50.0 57.4 65.2 59.9 58.8 643.7 Mean Rain Days 8.3 7.4 9.4 11.7 14.6 15.4 16.1 16.2 14.8 14.1 11.7 10.3 149.7