Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Fire Weather Warning
for Mallee, Wimmera, North Central, South West and Central fire weather districts
Issued at 04:04 PM EDT on Saturday 22 February 2025
Weather Situation
Hot and dry with fresh and gusty northerly winds. Winds remaining fresh and gusty overnight through central southern parts of the state. A milder, west to southwesterly wind change about far western parts this evening will extend into central parts during Sunday. Isolated high-based thunderstorm activity with dry lightning is also possible, most likely ahead of the change.
For the rest of Saturday 22 February:
Extreme Fire Danger for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, North Central, South West and Central
For Sunday 23 February:
Extreme Fire Danger for the following areas:
North Central and Central
The CFA advises that you:
Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through ABC Local Radio, commercial and designated community radio stations, or Sky News TV, www.emergency.vic.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.cfa.vic.gov.au.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EDT Sunday.
Forecast
Essendon Airport (37.7248°S, 144.9026°E, 79m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW23° 33° Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:32am EDT 6:57am EDT 8:10pm EDT 8:36pm EDT NOW30.8° Feels Like: 25.8° Relative Humidity: 35% Dew: 13.6° Wind: N 32km/h Gust: 46km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1009.7hPa -
Today Weather
Essendon AirportNow29.7°cFeels Like:25.5°Wind:NE 26km/hGusts:35km/hHumidity:35%23°Min33°MaxToday in Essendon AirportPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe with damaging winds. Winds N 35 to 50 km/h shifting S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon.Tomorrow23°Min33°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending S 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe with damaging winds. Winds N 35 to 50 km/h shifting S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon.
Forecast for Essendon Airport (37.7248°S, 144.9026°E, 79m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 23° 14° 13° 14° 16° 16° 14° Maximum 33° 23° 27° 36° 28° 27° 24° Chance of rain 20% 20% 5% 5% 60% 5% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Extreme Moderate High High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 22
(km/h)24
(km/h)12
(km/h)23
(km/h)13
(km/h)20
(km/h)19
(km/h)16
(km/h)9
(km/h)19
(km/h)13
(km/h)26
(km/h)10
(km/h)23
(km/h)Wind direction NNW WSW WSW SSW S SSW N WSW SSW SSW W SSW SW SSW Relative humidity 52% 34% 72% 52% 73% 43% 55% 25% 80% 51% 68% 46% 71% 47% Dew point 14°C 13°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 16°C 15°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Essendon Airport Rain Forecast
Essendon Airport 12-month Rainfall ForecastFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan20252026575466554764105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 14
ENSO status: La Niña-like conditions. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña-like pattern. Recent conditions show some atmosphere-ocean coupling, resulting in the US declaring a La Niña event has started. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia, while reducing rainfall over southern coastal Australia and western Tas. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and does not play a part in Australia's climate during this time of year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase. Recent forecasts show negative SAM is more likely to dominate for the remainder of summer, due to the polar vortex taking an unusually long time to recover from the stratospheric warming event in winter 2024. During summer, a negative SAM decreases rainfall over most of southeastern Australia, and increases rainfall for far southwest WA and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over large parts of the country during summer, with closer to average conditions for the southwest corner of WA, southern SA and Vic, and central parts of Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Essendon Airport Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Feb 1811.9 °C 22.5 °C 0.2 mmWednesday
Feb 1913.4 °C 20.3 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Feb 2014.5 °C 21.2 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Feb 2110.2 °C 33.1 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Feb 2214.4 °C 37.0 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Essendon Airport minimum temp history (37.7248°S, 144.9026°E, 79m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 39.0° 02/02/2025 Coldest this month 9.0° 16/02/2025 Hottest on record 47.3 07/02/2009 Coldest on record 5.3 20/02/1963 Hottest this year 41.1° 27/01/2025 Coldest this year 9.0° 16/02/2025 Long term average 25.9° Long term average 14.1° Average this month 28.6° Average this month 16.1° Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.3° 2007 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 10.9° 1940 Essendon Airport rainfall history (37.7248°S, 144.9026°E, 79m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 24.6mm 03/02/2025 Total This Month 33.4mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 43.3mm 7.3 days Wettest February on record 195.5mm 1973 Driest on record 0.5mm 1965 -
Year to Date
Essendon Airport Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Feb 88.1mm 14.7 day(s) Total For 2025 102.6mm 14.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2024 96.6mm 12.0 day(s) Wettest Day 26.2mm Jan13 Lowest Temperature 9.0°C Feb16 Highest Temperature 41.1°C Jan27 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Essendon Airport Climatology
Essendon Airport Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.7 25.9 24.2 20.2 16.4 13.8 13.2 14.5 17.0 19.5 22.0 24.7 19.8 Mean Min (°C) 13.9 14.1 12.7 10.1 7.9 6.1 5.5 5.9 7.0 8.5 10.3 12.1 9.5 Mean Rain (mm) 44.8 43.3 38.7 57.7 48.1 39.9 42.1 46.6 47.8 58.7 57.4 51.4 569.9 Mean Rain Days 7.4 7.3 9.0 11.4 13.5 14.6 15.7 15.8 14.4 13.0 11.7 10.1 142.2