Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation Of Brown Rot Advice
for North East, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:27 AM EDT on Wednesday 04 December 2024
Cancellation of Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
North East, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
The Brown Rot Advice for the North East, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Maribyrnong (37.7722°S, 144.8861°E, 28m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW13° 34° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:21am EDT 5:50am EDT 8:32pm EDT 9:01pm EDT NOW21.0° Feels Like: 17.4° Relative Humidity: 62% Dew: 13.4° Wind: S 24km/h Gust: 35km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1016.4hPa -
Today Weather
MaribyrnongNow21.5°cFeels Like:20.1°Wind:S 13km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:61%13°Min34°MaxToday in MaribyrnongThe chance of fog in the early morning. Sunny day. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.Tomorrow13°Min34°MaxSunny morning. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/SW in the late afternoon then tending NW/NE in the evening. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: The chance of fog in the early morning. Sunny day. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.
Forecast for Maribyrnong (37.7722°S, 144.8861°E, 28m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 13° 17° 20° 12° 11° 12° 14° Maximum 34° 34° 29° 20° 23° 26° 25° Chance of rain 5% 70% 70% 10% 20% 60% 60% Likely amount < 1mm 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)14
(km/h)15
(km/h)17
(km/h)15
(km/h)25
(km/h)21
(km/h)25
(km/h)12
(km/h)18
(km/h)9
(km/h)18
(km/h)12
(km/h)23
(km/h)Wind direction NNE SW NNE WSW WNW WSW WSW SW SW SSW SSW SSW SW SSW Relative humidity 65% 27% 56% 45% 81% 63% 60% 45% 66% 43% 70% 46% 69% 42% Dew point 14°C 12°C 17°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 8°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Maribyrnong Rain Forecast
Maribyrnong 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct2024202567665574656105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Maribyrnong Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Nov 3019.1 °C 23.6 °C 2.2 mmSunday
Dec 0117.9 °C 25.6 °C 11.2 mmMonday
Dec 0214.6 °C - 1.8 mmTuesday
Dec 03- 32.5 °C -Wednesday
Dec 0411.6 °C 23.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Maribyrnong minimum temp history (37.7722°S, 144.8861°E, 28m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.5° 03/12/2024 Coldest this month 11.6° 04/12/2024 Hottest on record 44.0 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 4.0 03/12/1955 Hottest this year 38.4° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year -0.7° 19/06/2024 Long term average 24.6° Long term average 12.0° Average this month 27.2° Average this month 16.1° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.9° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.1° 1956 Maribyrnong rainfall history (37.7722°S, 144.8861°E, 28m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 11.2mm 01/12/2024 Total This Month 13.0mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 51.8mm 10.1 days Wettest December on record 152.7mm 1933 Driest on record 1.3mm 1972 -
Year to Date
Maribyrnong Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 577.1mm 143.9 day(s) Total For 2024 468.6mm 120.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 478.0mm 126.0 day(s) Wettest Day 50.8mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature -0.7°C Jun19 Highest Temperature 38.4°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Maribyrnong Climatology
Maribyrnong Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.7 25.9 24.2 20.2 16.4 13.8 13.2 14.5 17.0 19.5 22.0 24.6 19.8 Mean Min (°C) 13.9 14.1 12.7 10.1 7.9 6.1 5.5 5.9 7.0 8.5 10.3 12.0 9.5 Mean Rain (mm) 44.8 43.3 38.7 57.7 48.1 39.9 42.1 46.6 47.8 58.7 57.6 51.8 571.2 Mean Rain Days 7.4 7.3 9.0 11.4 13.5 14.6 15.7 15.8 14.4 13.0 11.7 10.1 142.4