Forecast
Doncaster East (37.7902°S, 145.1711°E, 112m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 21° Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:20am EDT 5:51am EDT 8:36pm EDT 9:07pm EDT NOW19.4° Feels Like: 15.9° Relative Humidity: 47% Dew: 7.8° Wind: SW 15km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1016.7hPa -
Today Weather
Doncaster EastNow17.9°cFeels Like:15.7°Wind:SW 11km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:58%9°Min21°MaxToday in Doncaster EastCloudy. Slight chance of a light shower this evening, mainly over southeastern suburbs. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day.Tomorrow13°Min25°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the southeast suburbs, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Doncaster East
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower this evening, mainly over southeastern suburbs. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day.
Forecast for Doncaster East (37.7902°S, 145.1711°E, 112m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 9° 13° 12° 14° 13° 17° 16° Maximum 21° 25° 27° 29° 36° 35° 34° Chance of rain 40% 20% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 10
(km/h)16
(km/h)12
(km/h)14
(km/h)6
(km/h)15
(km/h)6
(km/h)14
(km/h)4
(km/h)12
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)8
(km/h)19
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW WSW SW NW WSW WSW SSW ESE SSW NNE W WNW SSW Relative humidity 64% 51% 74% 50% 70% 31% 65% 36% 63% 25% 45% 17% 41% 26% Dew point 7°C 10°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 9°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 11°C 7°C 10°C 12°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Doncaster East Rain Forecast
Doncaster East 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT13
LOW14
15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
LOW31
MEDIUMJan 1
HIGH2
MEDIUM3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec13Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Doncaster East Rain Forecast
Doncaster East 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020556653644567105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Doncaster East Rain Forecast
Doncaster East 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT13
LOW14
15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
LOW31
MEDIUMJan 1
HIGH2
MEDIUM3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec13Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Doncaster East Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 0914.1 °C 38.8 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 1013.5 °C 19.5 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 1112.2 °C 20.5 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 1212.9 °C 20 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 1311 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Doncaster East minimum temp history (37.7902°S, 145.1711°E, 112m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 38.8° 09/12/2019 Coldest this month 9.1° 02/12/2019 Hottest on record 43.0 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 4.9 28/12/2010 Hottest this year 44.8° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -0.1° 30/08/2019 Long term average 25.8° Long term average 12.7° Average this month 23.0° Average this month 11.6° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.8° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 10.8° 2001 Doncaster East rainfall history (37.7902°S, 145.1711°E, 112m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 7.4mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 8.4mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 66.8mm 10.7 days Wettest December on record 143.2mm 2015 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for VIC
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Year to Date
Doncaster East Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 662.0mm 167.2 day(s) Total For 2019 503.2mm 156.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 528.6mm 114.0 day(s) Wettest Day 18.4mm Jun 3 Lowest Temperature -0.1°C Aug30 Highest Temperature 44.8°C Jan25 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Doncaster East Climatology
Doncaster East Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 27.8 27.6 25.4 21.3 17.2 14.4 13.9 15.2 17.7 20.4 23.5 25.8 20.9 Mean Min (°C) 14.5 14.6 12.9 10.1 7.9 6.3 6.0 6.4 7.8 8.9 11.3 12.7 10.0 Mean Rain (mm) 38.6 48.6 41.7 59.9 50.5 55.8 51.1 54.7 57.0 62.9 74.4 66.8 660.6 Mean Rain Days 9.2 8.2 9.3 13.4 16.9 18.9 18.8 18.1 16.1 15.2 12.4 10.7 153.2