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Forecast

Ben Nevis (37.3251°S, 142.9613°E, 289m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 5° 14°
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:15am EDT 6:42am EDT 7:46pm EDT 8:13pm EDT
    NOW
    12.6° Feels Like: 6.0°
    Relative Humidity: 52%
    Dew: 3.0°
    Wind: W 26km/h
    Gust: 41km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1012.1hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Ben Nevis
    Now
    8.6°c
    Feels Like:
    2.3°
    Wind:
    W 28km/h
    Gusts:
    44km/h
    Humidity:
    85%
    Showers
     
    5°
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Today in Ben Nevis
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely late this afternoon. Snow falling above 800 metres this morning. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon with possible hail. Gusty winds with showers and thunderstorms in the SW this morning. Winds W/NW 25 to 35 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 12 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    4°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the afternoon and early evening. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 35 to 50 km/h in the morning then turning W 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching around 17.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely late this afternoon. Snow falling above 800 metres this morning. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon with possible hail. Gusty winds with showers and thunderstorms in the SW this morning. Winds W/NW 25 to 35 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 12 and 15.

    Forecast for Ben Nevis (37.3251°S, 142.9613°E, 289m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Showers Late shower Possible shower Cloudy Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 5° 4° 4° 5° 5° 5° 9°
    Maximum 14° 19° 14° 17° 19° 23° 27°
    Chance of rain 70% 70% 60% 5% 5% 5% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High Very High - -
    Frost risk Slight Slight Slight Slight Slight Slight Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 24
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		33
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WSW N NW W W WSW SW SSW SSW NE NNW N NNW
    Relative humidity 82% 66% 79% 53% 74% 63% 83% 61% 85% 57% 74% 48% 60% 42%
    Dew point 6°C 7°C 7°C 10°C 4°C 6°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 8°C 11°C 9°C 12°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ben Nevis Rain Forecast

    Ben Nevis 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 7 November to 11 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 October to 29 October, 30 October to 3 November, and 7 November to 11 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ben Nevis Rain Forecast

    Ben Nevis 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    2
    4
    6
    7
    7
    6
    6
    4
    7
    5
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ben Nevis Rain Forecast

    Ben Nevis 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 7 November to 11 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 October to 29 October, 30 October to 3 November, and 7 November to 11 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ben Nevis Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Oct 13     		8.6 °C 23.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 14     		10.3 °C 22.5 °C
    0.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 15     		8.5 °C 12.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 16     		10.5 °C 19 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Oct 17     		7 °C -
    0.4 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Ben Nevis minimum temp history (37.3251°S, 142.9613°E, 289m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.0° 02/10/2019 Coldest this month -1.0° 01/10/2019
    Hottest on record 34.7 12/10/2006 Coldest on record -4.5 22/10/2006
    Hottest this year 42.0° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year -4.8° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 18.3° Long term average 6.1°
    Average this month 18.5° Average this month 7.0°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.1° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 3.3° 2006
    Ben Nevis rainfall history (37.3251°S, 142.9613°E, 289m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.0mm 08/10/2019 Total This Month 9.4mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 55.8mm 12.7 days Wettest October on record 201.6mm 2015

  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Ben Nevis Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 502.2mm 127.7 day(s)
    Total For 2019 471.2mm 81.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 368.4mm 83.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 39.0mm May10
    Lowest Temperature -4.8°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 42.0°C Jan 4

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Ben Nevis Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.0 27.1 24.0 19.6 15.5 12.4 11.8 13.0 15.2 18.3 21.6 24.7 19.1
    Mean Min (°C) 11.3 11.4 9.6 7.3 5.6 3.9 3.4 3.9 5.1 6.1 7.8 9.4 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 39.9 31.9 30.1 42.0 54.0 55.3 63.3 68.1 61.8 55.8 44.3 37.7 584.2
    Mean Rain Days 7.1 5.4 8.2 10.6 13.8 17.3 19.1 18.1 15.4 12.7 10.4 8.4 143.8

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