Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 04:51 AM EDT on Sunday 24 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Wimmera forecast district and parts of the Mallee, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Northern Country, North Central, North East and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts and parts of the East Gippsland forecast district are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EDT Sunday.
Forecast
Ben Nevis (37.3251°S, 142.9613°E, 289m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY15° 27° possible shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:34am EDT 6:04am EDT 8:27pm EDT 8:56pm EDT NOW18.6° Feels Like: 20.6° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 18.8° Wind: SW 6km/h Gust: 6km/h Rainfall since 9am: 6.4mm Pressure: 1016.7hPa -
Today Weather
Ben NevisNow18.1°cFeels Like:20.7°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:2km/hHumidity:96%15°Min27°MaxToday in Ben NevisCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the NE, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N during the morning and afternoon. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.Tomorrow15°Min28°MaxCloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds E/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the NE, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N during the morning and afternoon. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.
Forecast for Ben Nevis (37.3251°S, 142.9613°E, 289m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 15° 15° 16° 15° 9° 10° 13° Maximum 27° 28° 29° 23° 22° 27° 27° Chance of rain 60% 70% 90% 90% 40% 60% 50% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)10
(km/h)7
(km/h)6
(km/h)10
(km/h)13
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)21
(km/h)22
(km/h)14
(km/h)16
(km/h)13
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction SSW S SE SE NNE N NNW W SSE SSE E ENE NNE N Relative humidity 90% 62% 81% 48% 81% 57% 80% 70% 79% 58% 77% 55% 75% 53% Dew point 17°C 19°C 16°C 16°C 19°C 20°C 17°C 16°C 9°C 12°C 13°C 17°C 14°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ben Nevis Rain Forecast
Ben Nevis 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025578665674966105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Ben Nevis Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Nov 198.7 °C 21.3 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 207.1 °C 25.0 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 215.8 °C 32.3 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 229.9 °C 35.4 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Nov 2324.9 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ben Nevis minimum temp history (37.3251°S, 142.9613°E, 289m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 33.3° 16/11/2024 Coldest this month 0.0° 09/11/2024 Hottest on record 39.8 29/11/2012 Coldest on record -4.5 06/11/1977 Hottest this year 38.7° 28/02/2024 Coldest this year -5.0° 19/06/2024 Long term average 21.8° Long term average 7.9° Average this month 24.6° Average this month 7.6° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.1° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 5.5° 1991 Ben Nevis rainfall history (37.3251°S, 142.9613°E, 289m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 2.8mm 13/11/2024 Total This Month 5.8mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 45.2mm 10.5 days Wettest November on record 88.3mm 2010 Driest on record 11.2mm 1974 -
Year to Date
Ben Nevis Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 546.6mm 136.5 day(s) Total For 2024 371.3mm 109.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 419.8mm 122.0 day(s) Wettest Day 49.4mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature -5.0°C Jun19 Highest Temperature 38.7°C Feb28 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Ben Nevis Climatology
Ben Nevis Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 27.2 27.2 24.1 19.6 15.5 12.5 11.9 13.1 15.3 18.4 21.8 24.9 19.2 Mean Min (°C) 11.3 11.3 9.7 7.3 5.5 3.9 3.4 4.0 5.2 6.1 7.9 9.5 7.1 Mean Rain (mm) 41.2 29.8 29.7 43.0 54.1 57.3 61.8 67.3 60.1 57.1 45.2 37.5 586.2 Mean Rain Days 7.0 5.4 8.1 10.3 13.9 16.9 18.7 18.0 15.1 12.6 10.5 8.3 145.4