Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Wimmera and South West forecast districts
Issued at 04:43 AM EDT on Saturday 23 November 2024
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Wimmera and South West forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in parts of the Wimmera and South West forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity late in the day on Saturday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EDT Saturday.
Forecast
Ballarat (37.5633°S, 143.8637°E, 412m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY19° 33° late shower Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:30am EDT 6:00am EDT 8:23pm EDT 8:53pm EDT NOW23.5° Feels Like: 18.3° Relative Humidity: 37% Dew: 8.0° Wind: N 24km/h Gust: 32km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1017.0hPa -
Today Weather
BallaratNow25.8°cFeels Like:19.6°Wind:N 28km/hGusts:30km/hHumidity:29%19°Min33°MaxToday in BallaratPartly cloudy. High chance of rain in the W, medium chance elsewhere. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h shifting S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.Tomorrow15°Min23°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the W. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of rain in the W, medium chance elsewhere. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h shifting S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.
Forecast for Ballarat (37.5633°S, 143.8637°E, 412m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 19° 15° 13° 14° 11° 9° 9° Maximum 33° 23° 25° 26° 22° 21° 25° Chance of rain 80% 60% 80% 70% 90% 80% 70% Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating High No Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 28
(km/h)26
(km/h)14
(km/h)15
(km/h)12
(km/h)13
(km/h)18
(km/h)18
(km/h)21
(km/h)20
(km/h)25
(km/h)24
(km/h)19
(km/h)20
(km/h)Wind direction NNE NW SSW SSW E NE N N NNW WNW S SSE E ESE Relative humidity 35% 26% 85% 63% 78% 61% 81% 53% 81% 68% 77% 61% 72% 51% Dew point 9°C 10°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 15°C 10°C 12°C 10°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ballarat Rain Forecast
Ballarat 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025778665684845105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Ballarat Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Nov 188.1 °C 17.8 °C 1.2 mmTuesday
Nov 195.3 °C 19.8 °C 0.2 mmWednesday
Nov 207.8 °C 22.8 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 219.1 °C 30.9 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 2212.2 °C 34.1 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ballarat minimum temp history (37.5633°S, 143.8637°E, 412m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 33.7° 22/11/2024 Coldest this month 1.2° 09/11/2024 Hottest on record 37.3 24/11/1982 Coldest on record -1.0 01/11/1991 Hottest this year 36.9° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year -3.6° 19/06/2024 Long term average 19.9° Long term average 8.0° Average this month 23.1° Average this month 7.9° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.1° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 5.4° 1991 Ballarat rainfall history (37.5633°S, 143.8637°E, 412m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 1.8mm 13/11/2024 Total This Month 4.6mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 56.0mm 12.7 days Wettest November on record 131.1mm 1978 Driest on record 7.4mm 1911 -
Year to Date
Ballarat Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 634.2mm 157.5 day(s) Total For 2024 399.4mm 160.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 453.6mm 173.0 day(s) Wettest Day 46.8mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature -3.6°C Jun19 Highest Temperature 36.9°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Ballarat Climatology
Ballarat Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.6 25.4 22.6 18.2 13.9 11.1 10.3 11.7 13.9 16.9 19.9 22.9 17.7 Mean Min (°C) 11.4 11.6 10.1 7.5 5.6 3.9 3.1 3.5 4.7 6.2 8.0 9.6 7.1 Mean Rain (mm) 40.2 42.2 41.5 51.4 63.9 62.6 66.1 73.0 70.4 66.9 56.0 50.1 685.0 Mean Rain Days 7.7 7.1 9.5 12.7 16.8 18.5 20.3 19.8 16.9 15.5 12.7 10.9 168.0