Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 04:51 AM EDT on Sunday 24 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Wimmera forecast district and parts of the Mallee, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Northern Country, North Central, North East and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts and parts of the East Gippsland forecast district are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EDT Sunday.
Forecast
Stawell (37.0557°S, 142.7794°E, 253m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY17° 29° Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:35am EDT 6:05am EDT 8:27pm EDT 8:57pm EDT NOW18.8° Feels Like: 21.9° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 18.8° Wind: N 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 6.0mm Pressure: 1016.2hPa -
Today Weather
StawellNow18.9°cFeels Like:22.0°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:98%17°Min29°MaxToday in StawellCloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then tending S/SE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.Tomorrow16°Min28°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h early in the morning then becoming light in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then tending S/SE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
Forecast for Stawell (37.0557°S, 142.7794°E, 253m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 17° 16° 17° 16° 11° 11° 14° Maximum 29° 28° 29° 23° 22° 27° 26° Chance of rain 70% 50% 70% 60% 50% 80% 50% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate High No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 6
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)9
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)15
(km/h)21
(km/h)21
(km/h)24
(km/h)13
(km/h)20
(km/h)12
(km/h)17
(km/h)Wind direction S SSE SSE E NNE N NW W SSE SE E ENE NE NNE Relative humidity 92% 57% 77% 36% 78% 44% 73% 48% 70% 42% 72% 40% 68% 40% Dew point 19°C 19°C 15°C 11°C 18°C 15°C 14°C 11°C 9°C 8°C 12°C 11°C 13°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Stawell Rain Forecast
Stawell 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025787765676954105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Stawell Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Nov 199.1 °C 22.2 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 209.1 °C 25.7 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 216.1 °C 32.6 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 2212.5 °C 36.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Nov 2323.7 °C 34.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Stawell minimum temp history (37.0557°S, 142.7794°E, 253m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.5° 22/11/2024 Coldest this month 2.9° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 41.0 29/11/2012 Coldest on record 0.9 11/11/2001 Hottest this year 39.5° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year -2.6° 19/06/2024 Long term average 23.7° Long term average 9.9° Average this month 25.7° Average this month 9.6° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.7° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 7.9° 1996 Stawell rainfall history (37.0557°S, 142.7794°E, 253m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.8mm 08/11/2024 Total This Month 2.2mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 40.4mm 8.0 days Wettest November on record 98.2mm 2007 Driest on record 9.2mm 2013 -
Year to Date
Stawell Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 439.8mm 115.3 day(s) Total For 2024 266.6mm 94.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 340.8mm 110.0 day(s) Wettest Day 39.6mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature -2.6°C Jun19 Highest Temperature 39.5°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Stawell Climatology
Stawell Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.3 28.5 25.3 20.7 16.2 13.2 12.5 13.9 16.6 20.0 23.7 26.6 20.4 Mean Min (°C) 13.7 13.6 11.6 8.7 6.3 4.7 4.1 4.7 6.0 7.5 9.9 11.4 8.5 Mean Rain (mm) 34.9 25.9 19.5 29.7 40.1 54.2 53.6 54.2 47.7 39.6 40.4 34.1 479.1 Mean Rain Days 5.0 4.4 5.7 6.8 11.9 15.7 18.2 16.0 13.2 10.4 8.0 7.0 122.6