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Forecast

Scottsdale (41.1611°S, 147.5164°E, 162m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 13°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    7:05am EST 7:36am EST 4:48pm EST 5:20pm EST
    NOW
    11.6° Feels Like: 10.8°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 10.8°
    Wind: NW 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.8mm
    Pressure: 1006.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Scottsdale
    Now
    12.6°c
    Feels Like:
    8.9°
    Wind:
    NW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    88%
    Showers
     
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Scottsdale
    Cloudy. High chance of showers. Snow falling above 1500 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast. Winds NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 1300 metres. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 14.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Scottsdale

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers. Snow falling above 1500 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast. Winds NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 15.

    Forecast for Scottsdale (41.1611°S, 147.5164°E, 162m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Showers Showers Possible shower Possible shower Frost then sunny Possible shower Showers increasing
    Minimum
    Maximum 13° 13° 12° 12° 12° 14° 15°
    Chance of rain 80% 20% 40% 5% 10% 20% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Nil Slight Slight Nil Moderate Slight Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NNW SSE SE SW W W WSW SSE N ESE NNE ENE NNE
    Relative humidity 96% 92% 92% 85% 92% 72% 87% 66% 80% 71% 88% 84% 92% 86%
    Dew point 10°C 11°C 8°C 10°C 6°C 7°C 6°C 5°C 3°C 6°C 9°C 11°C 11°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Scottsdale Rain Forecast


    Scottsdale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    HIGH
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 June to 4 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 21 July to 25 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Scottsdale Rain Forecast


    Scottsdale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2021
    2022
    7
    5
    6
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    4
    8
    4
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, although during the past three weeks it has been negative. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral, which is predicted to continue until at least October. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. although the last 3 weekly values have been negative.The negative value would need to continue for another 5 weeks for a negative IOD to be declared. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly value may enhance rainfall across central and southern Australia. A negative IOD is forecast during winter or early spring by 3 out of 5 climate models. However, the confidence in the IOD forecast at this time of the year is low, specifically because the models are showing a range of outcomes from mid winter onwards. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The weekly negative IOD valuesmay be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from western TAS. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Scottsdale Rain Forecast


    Scottsdale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    HIGH
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 June to 4 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 21 July to 25 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Scottsdale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jun 20
    4.1 °C 13.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jun 21
    4.7 °C 11.2 °C
    -
    Tuesday
    Jun 22
    5.2 °C 12.7 °C
    0.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 23
    5.6 °C 11.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 24
    9.1 °C 11.7 °C
    4.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Scottsdale minimum temp history (41.1611°S, 147.5164°E, 162m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.9° 11/06/2021 Coldest this month -1.0° 05/06/2021
    Hottest on record 18.2 03/06/2014 Coldest on record -3.3 11/06/1972
    Hottest this year 30.9° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year -1.0° 05/06/2021
    Long term average 12.6° Long term average 4.2°
    Average this month 13.6° Average this month 6.2°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.8° 1988 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 2.0° 1972
    Scottsdale rainfall history (41.1611°S, 147.5164°E, 162m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 27.6mm 17/06/2021 Total This Month 93.0mm
    13.0 days
    Long Term Average 100.5mm 15.3 days Wettest June on record 224.4mm 1971
    Driest on record 6.0mm 2007
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Scottsdale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 430.7mm 70.4 day(s)
    Total For 2021 425.0mm 71.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 580.6mm 78.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 55.6mm Feb 6
    Lowest Temperature -1.0°C Jun 5
    Highest Temperature 30.9°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Scottsdale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 23.0 23.0 21.3 17.8 14.8 12.6 12.0 12.5 14.3 16.5 18.9 20.9 17.2
    Mean Min (°C) 10.9 11.3 10.0 7.8 5.9 4.2 3.7 3.8 4.8 5.9 7.9 9.3 7.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 58.1 41.7 57.0 77.6 95.8 100.5 118.5 118.2 94.4 79.7 67.2 66.0 972.8
    Mean Rain Days 9.2 8.3 9.9 12.6 15.1 15.3 17.2 18.2 16.3 14.7 12.4 11.9 160.8