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Forecast

Scottsdale (41.1611°S, 147.5164°E, 162m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Rain 13°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:34am EST 7:03am EST 5:27pm EST 5:56pm EST
    NOW
    13.0° Feels Like: 10.5°
    Relative Humidity: 74%
    Dew: 8.5°
    Wind: E 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am:  
    Pressure: 1012.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Scottsdale
    Now
    8.6°c
    Feels Like:
    5.4°
    Wind:
    S 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Rain
     
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Scottsdale
    Cloudy. High chance of light rain, most likely this afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 14.
    Tomorrow
    Rain
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Scottsdale

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of light rain, most likely this afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 14.

    Forecast for Scottsdale (41.1611°S, 147.5164°E, 162m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Rain Rain Rain Rain Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 13° 14° 15° 13° 15° 13° 12°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 90% 70% 50% 90% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE ENE ESE ENE SSE ESE SSW SW W W NNW NNW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 88% 92% 94% 89% 92% 84% 92% 83% 88% 80% 93% 91% 90% 83%
    Dew point 9°C 11°C 10°C 11°C 10°C 11°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 9°C 11°C 9°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Scottsdale Rain Forecast


    Scottsdale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug12

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 2 September to 6 September, and 12 September to 16 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 September to 6 September, 6 September to 10 September, and 15 September to 19 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 20 August to 24 August, 1 September to 5 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Scottsdale Rain Forecast


    Scottsdale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2020
    2021
    5
    5
    6
    7
    7
    7
    7
    4
    2
    5
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Scottsdale Rain Forecast


    Scottsdale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug12

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 2 September to 6 September, and 12 September to 16 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 September to 6 September, 6 September to 10 September, and 15 September to 19 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 20 August to 24 August, 1 September to 5 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Scottsdale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Aug 09
    1.1 °C 13.2 °C
    -
    Monday
    Aug 10
    0.8 °C 11.0 °C
    -
    Tuesday
    Aug 11
    0.6 °C 12.7 °C
    -
    Wednesday
    Aug 12
    5.4 °C 12.1 °C
    -
    Thursday
    Aug 13
    6.1 °C 13.1 °C
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Scottsdale minimum temp history (41.1611°S, 147.5164°E, 162m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 13.2° 09/08/2020 Coldest this month 0.6° 11/08/2020
    Hottest on record 18.9 24/08/2005 Coldest on record -4.7 06/08/1974
    Hottest this year 36.6° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -0.3° 22/07/2020
    Long term average 12.6° Long term average 3.9°
    Average this month 11.4° Average this month 3.1°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 14.2° 1999 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 1.8° 1978
    Scottsdale rainfall history (41.1611°S, 147.5164°E, 162m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.4mm 03/08/2020 Total This Month 6.0mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 120.3mm 18.3 days Wettest August on record 282.8mm 2013
    Driest on record 25.0mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Scottsdale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 668.7mm 105.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 658.2mm 94.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 497.2mm 84.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 51.0mm Apr 3
    Lowest Temperature -0.3°C Jul22
    Highest Temperature 36.6°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Scottsdale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 22.9 23.1 21.3 17.9 14.8 12.6 12.0 12.6 14.3 16.4 18.8 20.9 17.6
    Mean Min (°C) 10.8 11.3 10.0 7.9 5.9 4.3 3.7 3.9 4.9 5.8 7.8 9.2 7.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 57.3 38.6 55.2 77.4 98.6 103.1 118.2 120.3 96.7 81.4 68.8 65.9 979.7
    Mean Rain Days 9.2 8.2 9.9 12.5 15.1 15.3 17.2 18.3 16.4 14.8 12.5 12.0 157.8