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Forecast

Launceston (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 12° 18°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:35am EST 6:02am EST 6:07pm EST 6:35pm EST
    NOW
    14.2° Feels Like: 13.7°
    Relative Humidity: 88%
    Dew: 12.2°
    Wind: NW 6km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Launceston
    Now
    13.2°c
    Feels Like:
    10.7°
    Wind:
    NW 15km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Clearing shower
     
    12°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Launceston
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h tending N 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching around 16.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Launceston

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h tending N 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching around 16.

    Forecast for Launceston (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Clearing shower Showers Showers Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12°
    Maximum 18° 14° 17° 15° 13° 15° 17°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 80% 50% 70% 30% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NNW NNW NNW NW W W NW NE NNE SSW SW WSW SW
    Relative humidity 91% 63% 87% 83% 78% 57% 69% 55% 78% 69% 72% 49% 66% 46%
    Dew point 12°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 7°C 5°C 4°C 5°C 7°C 6°C 3°C 3°C 4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast


    Launceston 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    HIGH
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    HIGH
    19
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, and eastern Australia.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 September to 3 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 24 October to 28 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 September to 1 October, 1 October to 5 October, and 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 September to 4 October, 18 October to 22 October, and 24 October to 28 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast


    Launceston 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    5
    7
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    4
    6
    6
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast


    Launceston 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    HIGH
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    HIGH
    19
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, and eastern Australia.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 September to 3 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 24 October to 28 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 September to 1 October, 1 October to 5 October, and 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 September to 4 October, 18 October to 22 October, and 24 October to 28 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Launceston Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Sep 16
    8.8 °C 14.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 17
    8.2 °C 14.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 18
    5.0 °C 16.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 19
    4.0 °C 18.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 20
    8.7 °C 19.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Launceston minimum temp history (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 19.0° 20/09/2020 Coldest this month -1.1° 01/09/2020
    Hottest on record 24.8 27/09/1987 Coldest on record -2.4 07/09/1994
    Hottest this year 35.9° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -2.8° 09/06/2020
    Long term average 15.7° Long term average 5.3°
    Average this month 16.2° Average this month 6.3°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.3° 2014 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 3.3° 1994
    Launceston rainfall history (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 5.8mm 12/09/2020 Total This Month 16.4mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 66.6mm 14.0 days Wettest September on record 115.8mm 2002
    Driest on record 8.4mm 1994
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Launceston Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 531.3mm 99.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 550.1mm 99.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 405.0mm 90.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 40.2mm Aug 5
    Lowest Temperature -2.8°C Jun 9
    Highest Temperature 35.9°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Launceston Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.5 24.6 22.8 19.1 15.8 13.2 12.7 13.8 15.7 18.0 20.5 22.5 18.6
    Mean Min (°C) 12.3 12.3 10.4 7.7 5.2 2.9 2.4 3.6 5.3 6.9 9.1 10.8 7.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 46.4 30.3 38.9 51.0 65.2 68.7 77.9 86.3 66.6 50.0 52.5 46.7 680.7
    Mean Rain Days 7.0 6.0 6.5 9.1 12.0 13.3 15.4 15.9 14.0 11.3 9.8 8.6 125.9