Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 04:05 PM EST on Tuesday 17 September 2024
for the period until midnight EST Wednesday 18 September 2024
Wind Warnings for Tuesday 17 September
Gale Warning for the following areas:
South East Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Storm Bay, Channel, South West Lakes, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast and Lower East Coast
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 18 September
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast, South East Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Central Plateau Lakes, South West Lakes and Lower East Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:00 am EST Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Launceston (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW8° 14° windy with showers Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:40am EST 6:07am EST 6:04pm EST 6:32pm EST NOW10.9° Feels Like: 6.5° Relative Humidity: 67% Dew: 5.0° Wind: NW 17km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
LauncestonNow8.4°cFeels Like:1.9°Wind:N 26km/hGusts:32km/hHumidity:70%8°Min14°MaxToday in LauncestonCloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds NW 35 to 50 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 14.Tomorrow8°Min14°MaxCloudy. Areas of frost in the early morning. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon with possible small hail. Snow falling above 700 metres. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h becoming NW 30 to 45 km/h in the morning then turning W 25 to 40 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 13. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds NW 35 to 50 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 14.
Forecast for Launceston (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 8° 3° 4° 8° 6° 7° 8° Maximum 14° 12° 13° 14° 14° 16° 18° Chance of rain 80% 80% 60% 50% 60% 60% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Moderate Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 29
(km/h)20
(km/h)22
(km/h)28
(km/h)18
(km/h)25
(km/h)18
(km/h)25
(km/h)18
(km/h)24
(km/h)20
(km/h)23
(km/h)14
(km/h)21
(km/h)Wind direction NW WNW NW WNW NW NW NW NW WNW WNW NNW NW NNW NNW Relative humidity 74% 79% 70% 76% 66% 74% 64% 66% 64% 54% 77% 73% 71% 60% Dew point 8°C 7°C 4°C 6°C 4°C 7°C 5°C 7°C 4°C 4°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Launceston Rain Forecast
Launceston 12-month Rainfall ForecastSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug20242025866776543658105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Sep 9
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral. Favouring negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, and the 30-day SOI now above +7. While these are good signs that La Nina is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a positive IOD than to a negative phase, so there may be some minor reductions in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impacting Australia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is now neutral, having recovered from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) event over Antarctica in mid-July. However, another SW event is occurring in mid September that may further dampen the polar vortex. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events during September and October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during September and October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia from November. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-missfor most of Australia this spring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Launceston Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Sep 136.4 °C 16.6 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Sep 142.5 °C 13.3 °C 4.6 mmSunday
Sep 152.0 °C 12.9 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Sep 165.7 °C 16.8 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Sep 177.0 °C 15.4 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Launceston minimum temp history (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 16.8° 16/09/2024 Coldest this month 1.6° 12/09/2024 Hottest on record 24.8 27/09/1987 Coldest on record -2.4 07/09/1994 Hottest this year 31.6° 03/01/2024 Coldest this year -4.1° 05/07/2024 Long term average 15.8° Long term average 5.3° Average this month 14.9° Average this month 7.1° Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.3° 2014 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 3.3° 1994 Launceston rainfall history (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 17.8mm 02/09/2024 Total This Month 65.0mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 63.0mm 14.1 days Wettest September on record 115.8mm 2002 Driest on record 8.4mm 1994 -
Year to Date
Launceston Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Sep 525.5mm 101.8 day(s) Total For 2024 481.8mm 84.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 468.3mm 103.0 day(s) Wettest Day 30.6mm Jan18 Lowest Temperature -4.1°C Jul 5 Highest Temperature 31.6°C Jan 3 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Launceston Climatology
Launceston Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.7 24.6 22.8 19.1 15.9 13.2 12.7 13.9 15.8 18.1 20.7 22.7 18.6 Mean Min (°C) 12.5 12.3 10.4 7.7 5.1 2.9 2.4 3.6 5.3 7.0 9.2 10.9 7.4 Mean Rain (mm) 44.9 31.4 40.9 51.4 62.7 68.9 79.2 83.1 63.0 53.4 50.9 47.8 678.3 Mean Rain Days 7.2 6.1 6.8 9.1 12.2 13.9 16.1 16.3 14.1 11.4 9.8 8.3 131.5