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Forecast

Launceston (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy with showers 8° 13°
    windy with showers
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:31am EST 5:59am EST 6:09pm EST 6:37pm EST
    NOW
    9.9° Feels Like: 6.1°
    Relative Humidity: 85%
    Dew: 7.5°
    Wind: NW 17km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.6mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Launceston
    Now
    7.9°c
    Feels Like:
    2.4°
    Wind:
    NW 24km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Windy with showers
     
    8°
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Launceston
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 300 metres late. Gusty winds and possible hail. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h turning W 40 to 60 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon then decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching around 11.
    Tomorrow
    Frost then sunny
    2°
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h tending SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 12.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 300 metres late. Gusty winds and possible hail. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h turning W 40 to 60 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon then decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching around 11.

    Forecast for Launceston (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Windy with showers Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Possible shower Showers
    Minimum 8° 2° 0° 3° 3° 7° 10°
    Maximum 13° 12° 15° 15° 19° 18° 17°
    Chance of rain 90% 5% 5% 20% 60% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Moderate High Moderate Moderate Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 25
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		3
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		4
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WNW W SW WSW NNW NNW NNW SE NNE SSE SE SE NNW
    Relative humidity 74% 67% 53% 37% 59% 45% 70% 54% 73% 50% 75% 65% 85% 74%
    Dew point 6°C 5°C 0°C -3°C 1°C 2°C 4°C 5°C 6°C 8°C 8°C 10°C 12°C 11°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast

    Launceston 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    HIGH
    25
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    HIGH
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast

    Launceston 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    4
    6
    7
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    5
    6
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast

    Launceston 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    HIGH
    25
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    HIGH
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Launceston Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Sep 19     		6.2 °C 14.3 °C
    2.4 mm
    Monday
    Sep 20     		6.9 °C 14.3 °C
    10.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 21     		0.6 °C 15.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 22     		3.8 °C 18.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 23     		10.8 °C 16.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Launceston minimum temp history (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.4° 02/09/2021 Coldest this month 0.6° 21/09/2021
    Hottest on record 24.8 27/09/1987 Coldest on record -2.4 07/09/1994
    Hottest this year 31.6° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year -2.6° 30/05/2021
    Long term average 15.7° Long term average 5.3°
    Average this month 16.0° Average this month 5.8°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.3° 2014 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 3.3° 1994
    Launceston rainfall history (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.4mm 04/09/2021 Total This Month 37.0mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 64.8mm 14.2 days Wettest September on record 115.8mm 2002
    Driest on record 8.4mm 1994

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Launceston Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 529.6mm 101.7 day(s)
    Total For 2021 503.9mm 104.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 566.6mm 106.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 28.5mm May26
    Lowest Temperature -2.6°C May30
    Highest Temperature 31.6°C Jan25

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Launceston Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.6 24.5 22.7 19.1 15.8 13.2 12.7 13.8 15.7 18.1 20.7 22.6 18.6
    Mean Min (°C) 12.4 12.3 10.4 7.7 5.1 2.9 2.4 3.5 5.3 7.0 9.2 10.8 7.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 44.9 32.4 40.8 51.3 64.8 66.9 79.8 83.9 64.8 50.8 51.4 48.7 680.3
    Mean Rain Days 7.1 6.2 6.7 9.2 12.3 13.8 16.0 16.2 14.2 11.2 9.9 8.5 131.0

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