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Forecast

Launceston (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Windy with showers 14°
    windy with showers
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:40am EST 6:07am EST 6:04pm EST 6:32pm EST
    NOW
    10.9° Feels Like: 6.5°
    Relative Humidity: 67%
    Dew: 5.0°
    Wind: NW 17km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Launceston
    Now
    8.4°c
    Feels Like:
    1.9°
    Wind:
    N 26km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    70%
    Windy with showers
     
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Today in Launceston
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds NW 35 to 50 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 14.
    Tomorrow
    Windy with showers
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Cloudy. Areas of frost in the early morning. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon with possible small hail. Snow falling above 700 metres. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h becoming NW 30 to 45 km/h in the morning then turning W 25 to 40 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds NW 35 to 50 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 14.

    Forecast for Launceston (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Windy with showers Wind and rain increasing Late shower Late shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 14° 12° 13° 14° 14° 16° 18°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 60% 50% 60% 60% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
    Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Moderate Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 29
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WNW NW WNW NW NW NW NW WNW WNW NNW NW NNW NNW
    Relative humidity 74% 79% 70% 76% 66% 74% 64% 66% 64% 54% 77% 73% 71% 60%
    Dew point 8°C 7°C 4°C 6°C 4°C 7°C 5°C 7°C 4°C 4°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast


    Launceston 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2024
    2025
    8
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    5
    4
    3
    6
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral. Favouring negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, and the 30-day SOI now above +7. While these are good signs that La Nina is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a positive IOD than to a negative phase, so there may be some minor reductions in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impacting Australia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is now neutral, having recovered from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) event over Antarctica in mid-July. However, another SW event is occurring in mid September that may further dampen the polar vortex. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events during September and October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during September and October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia from November. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-missfor most of Australia this spring.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

  13. Past 5 Days

    Launceston Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Sep 13
    6.4 °C 16.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 14
    2.5 °C 13.3 °C
    4.6 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 15
    2.0 °C 12.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Sep 16
    5.7 °C 16.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 17
    7.0 °C 15.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Launceston minimum temp history (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.8° 16/09/2024 Coldest this month 1.6° 12/09/2024
    Hottest on record 24.8 27/09/1987 Coldest on record -2.4 07/09/1994
    Hottest this year 31.6° 03/01/2024 Coldest this year -4.1° 05/07/2024
    Long term average 15.8° Long term average 5.3°
    Average this month 14.9° Average this month 7.1°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.3° 2014 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 3.3° 1994
    Launceston rainfall history (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 17.8mm 02/09/2024 Total This Month 65.0mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 63.0mm 14.1 days Wettest September on record 115.8mm 2002
    Driest on record 8.4mm 1994
  15. Year to Date

    Launceston Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 525.5mm 101.8 day(s)
    Total For 2024 481.8mm 84.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 468.3mm 103.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 30.6mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature -4.1°C Jul 5
    Highest Temperature 31.6°C Jan 3
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Launceston Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.7 24.6 22.8 19.1 15.9 13.2 12.7 13.9 15.8 18.1 20.7 22.7 18.6
    Mean Min (°C) 12.5 12.3 10.4 7.7 5.1 2.9 2.4 3.6 5.3 7.0 9.2 10.9 7.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 44.9 31.4 40.9 51.4 62.7 68.9 79.2 83.1 63.0 53.4 50.9 47.8 678.3
    Mean Rain Days 7.2 6.1 6.8 9.1 12.2 13.9 16.1 16.3 14.1 11.4 9.8 8.3 131.5