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Forecast

Launceston (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 3° 18°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:05am EST 6:33am EST 5:54pm EST 6:22pm EST
    NOW
    5.1° Feels Like: 2.9°
    Relative Humidity: 90%
    Dew: 3.6°
    Wind: W 4km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Launceston
    Now
    2.3°c
    Feels Like:
    -1.4°
    Wind:
    NNE 9km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    86%
    Mostly sunny
     
    3°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Launceston
    Partly cloudy. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    3°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the early morning. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching around 16.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.

    Forecast for Launceston (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 3° 4° 8° 7° 10° 7° 7°
    Maximum 18° 18° 19° 20° 20° 16° 18°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 10% 20% 50% 5% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Moderate Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		4
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW W SSE WSW SSE WSW NNW NNW NNW NW SW WNW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 72% 50% 72% 53% 73% 51% 81% 63% 81% 69% 66% 50% 71% 56%
    Dew point 5°C 7°C 6°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 11°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 6°C 5°C 8°C 9°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast

    Launceston 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    HIGH
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    HIGH
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 April to 22 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 April to 14 April, and 29 April to 3 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 April to 16 April, 18 April to 22 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast

    Launceston 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    5
    6
    5
    5
    6
    2
    6
    6
    7
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast

    Launceston 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    HIGH
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    HIGH
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 April to 22 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 April to 14 April, and 29 April to 3 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 April to 16 April, 18 April to 22 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Launceston Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Apr 01     		11.8 °C 21.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02     		12.6 °C 16.4 °C
    9.8 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03     		12.7 °C 20.0 °C
    29.2 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 04     		13.3 °C 17.0 °C
    19.6 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05     		5.5 °C 15 °C
    13.2 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Launceston minimum temp history (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.3° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 5.5° 05/04/2020
    Hottest on record 27.7 12/04/1985 Coldest on record -1.5 26/04/1981
    Hottest this year 35.9° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 3.9° 14/03/2020
    Long term average 19.1° Long term average 7.7°
    Average this month 18.7° Average this month 11.2°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.8° 1988 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.0° 2006
    Launceston rainfall history (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 29.2mm 03/04/2020 Total This Month 71.6mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 51.0mm 9.1 days Wettest April on record 124.6mm 1992
    Driest on record 4.3mm 2007

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Launceston Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 166.6mm 28.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 272.8mm 30.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 80.2mm 18.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 33.2mm Feb19
    Lowest Temperature 3.9°C Mar14
    Highest Temperature 35.9°C Jan31

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Launceston Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.5 24.6 22.8 19.1 15.8 13.2 12.7 13.8 15.7 18.0 20.5 22.5 18.6
    Mean Min (°C) 12.3 12.3 10.4 7.7 5.2 2.9 2.4 3.6 5.3 6.9 9.1 10.8 7.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 46.4 30.3 38.9 51.0 65.2 68.7 77.9 86.3 66.6 50.0 52.5 46.7 680.7
    Mean Rain Days 7.0 6.0 6.5 9.1 12.0 13.3 15.4 15.9 14.0 11.3 9.8 8.6 125.9

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