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Forecast

Launceston (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Frost then sunny 15°
    frost then sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:50am EST 7:20am EST 4:56pm EST 5:26pm EST
    NOW
    0.5° Feels Like: -1.9°
    Relative Humidity: 96%
    Dew: 0.0°
    Wind: E 2km/h
    Gust: 4km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Launceston
    Now
    0.0°c
    Feels Like:
    -4.2°
    Wind:
    S 11km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    98%
    Frost then sunny
     
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Today in Launceston
    Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 12 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    15°
    Max
    The chance of fog and frost in the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 3 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 12 and 15.

    Forecast for Launceston (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Frost then sunny Mostly sunny Frost then sunny Showers Showers Showers Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 15° 15° 16° 18° 16° 14° 14°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 10% 70% 70% 30% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk High High High Nil Nil Nil Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE NW SSE NNW SE N ESE NNE N NNW NW NW SSE NW
    Relative humidity 89% 61% 91% 62% 91% 69% 92% 73% 96% 79% 92% 66% 93% 74%
    Dew point 2°C 6°C 4°C 7°C 5°C 10°C 9°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 8°C 7°C 6°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast


    Launceston 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast


    Launceston 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2022
    2023
    7
    7
    6
    8
    6
    8
    7
    7
    7
    4
    6
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 11

    ENSO status: La Niña, it is expected return to neutral state by early winter. IOD status: Neutral, models suggest it could enter a negative phase in the next month. SAM status: Positive and is expected to remain positive for the next month or so. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña phase and has not changed in strength during the past two weeks. La Niña events typically breaks down in autumn and while this current La Niña is persisting longer than usual, most models suggest it should end by early winter. However, one seasonal model operated by the U.S. National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) suggests that a La Niña-like signal could linger in the Pacific Ocean through the middle of the year and possibly remerge in the Southern Hemisphere’s spring. That being said, it is important to note that seasonal forecast models have lower accuracy at this time of year. This is called the autumn predictability barrier. The La Niña forecast will increase the likelihood of above-average rain in northern and eastern Australia during the remainder of Autumn, possibly into winter. Even as La Niña weakens it should continue to influence our climate. all five climate models suggest a negative phase will begin during late autumn or early winter. Climate models are forecasting strong negative IOD values by August, with the negative IOD event possibly lingering into spring. While a neutral IOD has little influence on our climate, a negative IOD increases the chance of above average autumn and winter rain for much of Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except southwest WA, parts of TAS and VIC. If a negative IOD does develop this winter, it will increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia, especially areas that had a wet summer and autumn.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Launceston Rain Forecast


    Launceston 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Launceston Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    May 18
    6.5 °C 15.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 19
    0.5 °C 16.8 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    May 20
    -0.3 °C 15.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 21
    2.9 °C 15.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    May 22
    2.6 °C 13.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Launceston minimum temp history (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.4° 13/05/2022 Coldest this month -0.3° 20/05/2022
    Hottest on record 23.5 03/05/1988 Coldest on record -3.0 18/05/1981
    Hottest this year 32.4° 01/01/2022 Coldest this year -0.3° 20/05/2022
    Long term average 15.8° Long term average 5.1°
    Average this month 17.0° Average this month 6.8°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.0° 1988 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 2.6° 2006
    Launceston rainfall history (41.4403°S, 147.1394°E, 13m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.0mm 16/05/2022 Total This Month 30.8mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 64.8mm 12.3 days Wettest May on record 152.9mm 2007
    Driest on record 4.0mm 2005
  15. Year to Date

    Launceston Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 234.4mm 41.6 day(s)
    Total For 2022 213.0mm 42.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2021 175.2mm 38.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 41.8mm Apr30
    Lowest Temperature -0.3°C May20
    Highest Temperature 32.4°C Jan 1
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Launceston Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.7 24.6 22.8 19.1 15.8 13.2 12.7 13.8 15.8 18.1 20.7 22.7 18.6
    Mean Min (°C) 12.5 12.3 10.4 7.7 5.1 2.9 2.4 3.5 5.3 7.0 9.2 10.8 7.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 44.7 32.1 40.8 52.0 64.8 66.9 79.8 84.0 64.1 52.4 51.2 47.9 680.2
    Mean Rain Days 7.1 6.2 6.8 9.2 12.3 13.8 16.0 16.3 14.1 11.4 9.9 8.4 131.2