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Forecast

Ouse (42.4858°S, 146.7134°E, 92m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 11° 18°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:31am EDT 6:04am EDT 8:46pm EDT 9:18pm EDT
    NOW
    13.3° Feels Like: 12.4°
    Relative Humidity: 97%
    Dew: 12.8°
    Wind: N 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 25.6mm
    Pressure: 992.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Ouse
    Now
    13.7°c
    Feels Like:
    14.7°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    97%
    Possible shower
     
    11°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Ouse
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 19.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. Winds W/NW 25 to 40 km/h becoming NW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 19.

    Forecast for Ouse (42.4858°S, 146.7134°E, 92m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible shower Clearing shower Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Clearing shower Mostly cloudy
    Minimum 11° 11° 12° 10°
    Maximum 18° 21° 25° 23° 23° 22° 25°
    Chance of rain 80% 70% 30% 20% 50% 30% 5%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NNW NW WNW NW WNW WNW W NW WNW WNW WNW WNW W
    Relative humidity 86% 63% 73% 48% 71% 51% 71% 44% 69% 45% 71% 50% 68% 41%
    Dew point 11°C 12°C 9°C 9°C 11°C 13°C 11°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 11°C 8°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ouse Rain Forecast


    Ouse 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ouse Rain Forecast


    Ouse 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    6
    5
    6
    7
    6
    7
    8
    10
    2
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ouse Rain Forecast


    Ouse 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ouse Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    3.9 °C 22.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    9.7 °C 25.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    13.8 °C 21.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    12.4 °C 27.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    7.2 °C 29 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ouse minimum temp history (42.4858°S, 146.7134°E, 92m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.0° 09/01/2020 Coldest this month 2.2° 06/01/2020
    Hottest on record 40.7 11/01/2010 Coldest on record -0.4 19/01/2004
    Hottest this year 33.0° 09/01/2020 Coldest this year 2.2° 06/01/2020
    Long term average 25.4° Long term average 10.2°
    Average this month 25.4° Average this month 9.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.2° 2001 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 8.9° 2004
    Ouse rainfall history (42.4858°S, 146.7134°E, 92m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.8mm 16/01/2020 Total This Month 20.4mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 30.0mm 8.5 days Wettest January on record 72.4mm 2001
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Ouse Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 30.0mm 8.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 20.4mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.6mm 3.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 15.8mm Jan16
    Lowest Temperature 2.2°C Jan 6
    Highest Temperature 33.0°C Jan 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Ouse Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.4 25.2 22.5 18.4 14.8 11.9 11.7 13.5 15.8 17.8 20.9 23.1 18.4
    Mean Min (°C) 10.2 9.9 8.0 4.9 3.7 1.5 1.2 2.0 4.0 5.3 7.2 8.7 5.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 30.0 28.3 30.7 30.0 37.6 43.8 51.2 62.9 67.9 55.1 38.6 33.7 510.5
    Mean Rain Days 8.5 7.7 9.3 9.8 13.1 14.8 16.7 16.7 15.5 15.6 12.1 10.7 142.4