Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy Rainfall
for parts of South East, East Coast and Midlands Forecast Districts.
Issued at 6:41 pm Sunday, 22 December 2024.
Heavy falls occurring in the southeast.
Weather Situation
Localised heavy showers and thunderstorms are occurring ahead of a cold front.
HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
South East, East Coast and Midlands
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Orford, Dodges Ferry and Bagdad.
Severe thunderstorms are no longer occurring in the Upper Derwent Valley and Central Plateau districts and the warning for these districts is CANCELLED.
26.5 mm was recorded at Campania (Kincora) in 2 hours to 5:30 pm.
20.2 mm was recorded at Nugent in 30 minutes to 5:56 pm.
Cancellation for the following areas:
Upper Derwent Valley,Central Plateau
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 9:45 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Grove (42.9818°S, 147.0964°E, 82m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW
7° 13° Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: < 1mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 4:55am EDT 5:30am EDT 8:52pm EDT 9:27pm EDT NOW10.8° Feels Like: 10.8° Relative Humidity: 94% Dew: 9.9° Wind: N 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 10.4mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
GroveNow12.3°cFeels Like:9.4°Wind:SW 17km/hGusts:22km/hHumidity:91%
7°Min13°MaxToday in GrovePartly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 1200 metres. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 17.Tomorrow
7°Min13°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 21. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy Rainfall) for parts of South East, East Coast and Midlands
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy Rainfall) for parts of South East, East Coast and Midlands
- Road Weather Alert for reduced visibility in heavy rain for Midlands, Upper Derwent Valley and South East
- Strong Wind Warning for Far North West, Central North, Lower East and South East coasts
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 1200 metres. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 17.
Forecast for Grove (42.9818°S, 147.0964°E, 82m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary 
Minimum 7° 7° 7° 10° 13° 8° 8° Maximum 13° 16° 19° 28° 15° 13° 15° Chance of rain 70% 10% 5% 60% 70% 90% 70% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)20
(km/h)14
(km/h)16
(km/h)12
(km/h)12
(km/h)7
(km/h)13
(km/h)23
(km/h)24
(km/h)19
(km/h)21
(km/h)18
(km/h)21
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW WSW W W W NNE NNE WNW WNW WNW WNW NW WNW Relative humidity 71% 57% 70% 65% 68% 56% 68% 42% 61% 47% 68% 55% 74% 61% Dew point 5°C 4°C 6°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 13°C 14°C 6°C 4°C 5°C 4°C 8°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Grove Rain Forecast
Grove 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20242025777675837876105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 10
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically leads to cooler temperatures northern Australia during summer, while producing higher temperatures for western/southwestern WA, Vic and western Tas. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been like a negative IOD, but it is too late in the year for this climate driver to develop. Once the monsoon establishes over northern Australia, the IOD has no impact on Australia’s weather. The Southern AnnularMode (SAM) is in a brief negative phase, having switched a positive phase in November. Forecasts predict it will become neural in mid-late December and become positive in January and February. A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over large parts of the country during summer, with closer to average conditions for the southwest corner of WA, southern SA and Vic, and central parts of Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Grove Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Dec 189.4 °C 21.1 °C 2.2 mmThursday
Dec 198.0 °C 22.1 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 207.7 °C 23.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 2112.0 °C 20.6 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 222.8 °C 21.5 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Grove minimum temp history (42.9818°S, 147.0964°E, 82m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 34.0° 16/12/2024 Coldest this month 2.8° 22/12/2024 Hottest on record 37.1 31/12/2009 Coldest on record 0.3 04/12/2008 Hottest this year 35.8° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year -3.2° 06/07/2024 Long term average 21.3° Long term average 8.5° Average this month 21.8° Average this month 10.0° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.9° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 6.3° 2006 Grove rainfall history (42.9818°S, 147.0964°E, 82m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 30.4mm 07/12/2024 Total This Month 100.4mm
13.0 daysLong Term Average 61.4mm 13.8 days Wettest December on record 93.0mm 2005 Driest on record 26.6mm 2004 -
Year to Date
Grove Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 726.8mm 183.3 day(s) Total For 2024 752.0mm 171.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 561.0mm 176.0 day(s) Wettest Day 49.2mm Jul15 Lowest Temperature -3.2°C Jul 6 Highest Temperature 35.8°C Feb22 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Grove Climatology
Grove Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.6 22.7 21.2 18.0 15.0 12.6 12.3 13.5 15.4 17.3 19.2 21.3 17.6 Mean Min (°C) 10.0 9.2 8.0 5.9 4.3 2.2 2.1 2.9 4.3 5.5 7.3 8.5 5.8 Mean Rain (mm) 38.8 43.7 43.1 45.3 67.2 65.9 70.1 88.5 77.7 69.3 55.8 61.4 729.2 Mean Rain Days 10.4 10.8 12.4 14.2 17.0 17.6 19.4 19.3 17.1 16.9 14.4 13.8 182.5
