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Forecast

Dennes Point (43.0693°S, 147.3532°E, 49m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 11° 21°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:50am EDT 5:25am EDT 8:38pm EDT 9:13pm EDT
    NOW
    13.4° Feels Like: 6.2°
    Relative Humidity: 57%
    Dew: 5.0°
    Wind: W 32km/h
    Gust: 35km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;

  3. Today Weather

    Dennes Point
    Now
    13.5°c
    Feels Like:
    10.5°
    Wind:
    NE 7km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    48%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Dennes Point
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far S, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W 30 to 45 km/h decreasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then turning NW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    11°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 24.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far S, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W 30 to 45 km/h decreasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then turning NW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 22.

    Forecast for Dennes Point (43.0693°S, 147.3532°E, 49m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Showers Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 11° 11° 12° 11° 12° 13°
    Maximum 21° 22° 23° 19° 20° 22° 21°
    Chance of rain 20% 5% 50% 80% 10% 20% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		3
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		4
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		4
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		3
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WSW WNW S NE S SW SSW SW SE NE SE SE SSE
    Relative humidity 50% 45% 58% 50% 63% 60% 75% 61% 56% 55% 69% 64% 78% 74%
    Dew point 6°C 7°C 8°C 10°C 11°C 13°C 11°C 10°C 7°C 9°C 11°C 13°C 14°C 15°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Dennes Point Rain Forecast

    Dennes Point 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2023-12-08, 2023-12-19 and 2024-01-01. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2023-12-16, 2023-12-22 and 2024-01-01. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2023-12-06, 2023-12-11 and 2023-12-16.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Dennes Point Rain Forecast

    Dennes Point 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2023
    2024
    6
    7
    6
    7
    6
    4
    8
    3
    8
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, reached a strong event. IOD status: Positive IOD, starting to weaken. SAM status: Neutral, trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño, with all international models indicating this event will continue until at least April 2024. Ocean warming is continuing to occur in the eastern and central Pacific and has reached the threshold for a 'strong event'. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has reduced further and is comfortably below the El Niño threshold, especially over the last 90-days. El Niño only has a limited effect on rainfall during summer, drying Far North Qld, increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor, and having little effect elsewhere. El Niño also typically delays the first monsoon onset and reduces the number of tropical cyclones impacting Australia, but otherwise has little effect on Australia during January and February. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a positive phase but is weakening from its peak in late October. Winds areexpected to weaken with the current tropical activity, but generally SE wind near Jakarta should maintain the event The IOD typically takes 3-6 weeks to decay, so could persist into the start of 2024. However, the first monsoon onset over northern Australia will still sever its effect on Australia. A positive IOD greatly reduces the formation of northwest cloudbands, leading to reductions in spring rainfall over northern WA, central Aus, and the southeast. A positive IOD often has a compound effect with El Niño, reducing rainfall even further. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently neutral. It is expected to favour a positive event for the remainder of December. Longer-term, since negative SAM events become more likely during El Niño, models suggest it becoming strongly negative around February. A negative phase tends to increase cold front activity over southern Australia, increasing rainfall over southern Vic, western Tas, and southeast SA, while decreasing it for eastern NSW and Qld. The opposite occurs in a positive event, with easterly winds more likely, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, but reducing it in southern and Western Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting above average rainfall for eastern NSW & Qld, below average rainfall over the Tas and far northern Australia, and average elsewhere in December. Large rainfall deficits are expected over northern Australia from December, likely with a delayed initial monsoon onset. Rainfall is forecast to be above average in the NT and NSW during January, with average to slightly below average elsewhere, with drier than normal conditions forecast throughout in February.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Dennes Point Rain Forecast

    Dennes Point 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2023-12-08, 2023-12-19 and 2024-01-01. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2023-12-16, 2023-12-22 and 2024-01-01. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2023-12-06, 2023-12-11 and 2023-12-16.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Dennes Point Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Dec 01     		11.8 °C 18.8 °C
    0.4 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 02     		11.0 °C 19.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 03     		12.6 °C 18.9 °C
    1.6 mm
    Monday
    Dec 04     		11.2 °C 21.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 05     		12.4 °C 20.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Dennes Point minimum temp history (43.0693°S, 147.3532°E, 49m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.9° 04/12/2023 Coldest this month 11.0° 02/12/2023
    Hottest on record Coldest on record
    Hottest this year 33.7° 17/02/2023 Coldest this year 2.6° 16/08/2023
    Long term average 20.3° Long term average 11.8°
    Average this month 19.9° Average this month 11.8°
    Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - -
    Dennes Point rainfall history (43.0693°S, 147.3532°E, 49m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.6mm 03/12/2023 Total This Month 2.0mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 43.7mm 11.5 days Wettest - on record - -
    Driest on record 16.4mm 2012

  15. Year to Date

    Dennes Point Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 519.3mm 149.3 day(s)
    Total For 2023 411.6mm 136.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2022 579.6mm 152.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 37.2mm Feb26
    Lowest Temperature 2.6°C Aug16
    Highest Temperature 33.7°C Feb17

  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Dennes Point Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 22.0 21.4 20.2 17.8 15.0 13.0 12.8 13.2 15.1 16.7 18.4 20.3 17.1
    Mean Min (°C) 13.5 13.1 12.4 10.4 8.5 7.1 6.5 6.3 7.6 8.7 10.2 11.8 9.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 32.6 29.4 43.6 33.8 51.5 51.5 41.9 50.5 37.7 56.9 46.2 43.7 530.6
    Mean Rain Days 7.6 9.4 10.5 11.5 13.6 13.7 14.5 15.5 14.0 13.8 13.7 11.5 149.7

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