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Forecast

Dunalley (42.8899°S, 147.8066°E, 11m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 16° 26°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:34am EDT 6:06am EDT 8:37pm EDT 9:09pm EDT
    NOW
    24.4° Feels Like: 22.2°
    Relative Humidity: 51%
    Dew: 13.6°
    Wind: ENE 17km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Dunalley
    Now
    28.7°c
    Feels Like:
    23.5°
    Wind:
    WNW 24km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    27%
    Mostly sunny
     
    16°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Dunalley
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the far south this morning. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending N/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 27.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    20°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Hot and sunny. Winds W/NW 30 to 45 km/h shifting E/SE 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon and evening then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 34.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the far south this morning. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending N/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 27.

    Forecast for Dunalley (42.8899°S, 147.8066°E, 11m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Heavy showers Late shower Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 20° 15° 22° 13° 11° 10°
    Maximum 26° 31° 33° 27° 20° 16° 19°
    Chance of rain 5% 10% 80% 70% 70% 70% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    49
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW NW NW WSW NE NE NNW SW WNW W W WSW W SW
    Relative humidity 67% 54% 32% 40% 69% 38% 73% 69% 53% 43% 59% 49% 53% 42%
    Dew point 13°C 15°C 9°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 18°C 19°C 6°C 7°C 4°C 5°C 4°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Dunalley Rain Forecast


    Dunalley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    HIGH
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Dunalley Rain Forecast


    Dunalley 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    7
    5
    7
    8
    8
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Dunalley Rain Forecast


    Dunalley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    HIGH
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Dunalley Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    14.8 °C 25.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    16.4 °C 23.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    15.0 °C 22.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28
    14.7 °C 25.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 29
    15.9 °C 25 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Dunalley minimum temp history (42.8899°S, 147.8066°E, 11m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.6° 09/01/2020 Coldest this month 9.4° 06/01/2020
    Hottest on record 40.3 04/01/2013 Coldest on record 3.7 18/01/1966
    Hottest this year 31.6° 09/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.4° 06/01/2020
    Long term average 22.6° Long term average 12.1°
    Average this month 23.7° Average this month 13.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.2° 2003 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 10.1° 1968
    Dunalley rainfall history (42.8899°S, 147.8066°E, 11m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 13.8mm 23/01/2020 Total This Month 22.8mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 40.9mm 9.4 days Wettest January on record 101.4mm 2003
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Dunalley Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 40.9mm 9.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 22.8mm 6.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 2.4mm 4.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 13.8mm Jan23
    Lowest Temperature 9.4°C Jan 6
    Highest Temperature 31.6°C Jan 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Dunalley Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 22.6 22.3 20.8 18.2 15.3 13.0 12.5 13.5 15.4 17.3 19.0 20.7 17.5
    Mean Min (°C) 12.1 12.1 10.8 8.8 6.6 4.7 4.1 4.7 6.1 7.6 9.2 10.8 8.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 40.9 35.3 35.6 40.4 36.3 33.6 43.2 46.5 41.6 46.0 44.7 51.9 495.9
    Mean Rain Days 9.4 8.2 10.1 10.8 12.1 12.6 14.1 14.3 13.9 13.8 12.9 11.9 141.5