Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 04:05 PM EDT on Saturday 23 November 2024
for the period until midnight EDT Saturday 23 November 2024
Wind Warnings for Saturday 23 November
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
South West Lakes and South East Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:00 am EDT Sunday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Dunalley (42.8899°S, 147.8066°E, 11m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW13° 20° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:55am EDT 5:29am EDT 8:23pm EDT 8:57pm EDT NOW18.7° Feels Like: 15.6° Relative Humidity: 74% Dew: 14.1° Wind: NE 22km/h Gust: 24km/h Rainfall since 9am: 1.4mm Pressure: 1012.7hPa -
Today Weather
DunalleyNow24.6°cFeels Like:23.1°Wind:N 11km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:46%13°Min20°MaxToday in DunalleyCloudy. Medium chance of drizzle, most likely in the morning. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h shifting SE 15 to 25 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 21.Tomorrow13°Min20°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 23. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of drizzle, most likely in the morning. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h shifting SE 15 to 25 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 21.
Forecast for Dunalley (42.8899°S, 147.8066°E, 11m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 13° 13° 13° 13° 11° 11° 13° Maximum 20° 21° 24° 20° 18° 20° 22° Chance of rain 20% 30% 50% 70% 30% 40% 70% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 16
(km/h)19
(km/h)13
(km/h)18
(km/h)10
(km/h)16
(km/h)14
(km/h)26
(km/h)27
(km/h)28
(km/h)18
(km/h)30
(km/h)25
(km/h)28
(km/h)Wind direction SSW ESE SSW ESE WSW SE SSE SSW SSW S ENE ENE NE ENE Relative humidity 75% 66% 80% 68% 75% 64% 77% 74% 63% 56% 65% 58% 71% 66% Dew point 11°C 12°C 13°C 14°C 14°C 15°C 12°C 11°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 12°C 14°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Dunalley Rain Forecast
Dunalley 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025477675783787105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Dunalley Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Nov 1911.0 °C 17.6 °C 0.2 mmWednesday
Nov 2010.7 °C 16.4 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 2111.1 °C 20.8 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 2211.4 °C 22.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Nov 2315.1 °C 21.7 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Dunalley minimum temp history (42.8899°S, 147.8066°E, 11m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.2° 06/11/2024 Coldest this month 5.8° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 35.1° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year 2.6° 30/07/2024 Long term average 18.6° Long term average 10.7° Average this month 20.0° Average this month 10.4° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Dunalley rainfall history (42.8899°S, 147.8066°E, 11m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 2.8mm 08/11/2024 Total This Month 7.4mm
8.0 daysLong Term Average 48.6mm 13.3 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 17.8mm 2020 -
Year to Date
Dunalley Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 490.4mm 142.0 day(s) Total For 2024 364.8mm 128.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 410.4mm 128.0 day(s) Wettest Day 26.6mm Jan18 Lowest Temperature 2.6°C Jul30 Highest Temperature 35.1°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Dunalley Climatology
Dunalley Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 22.5 21.8 20.8 18.2 15.2 13.0 12.8 13.5 15.6 17.0 18.6 20.7 17.3 Mean Min (°C) 14.0 13.7 12.8 10.8 8.7 7.1 6.4 6.5 7.9 9.1 10.7 12.2 9.9 Mean Rain (mm) 46.5 28.6 38.6 37.1 53.0 54.0 36.6 48.7 41.3 57.4 48.6 41.8 530.9 Mean Rain Days 9.1 10.2 10.0 10.9 14.2 15.3 15.2 16.2 14.1 13.5 13.3 11.8 152.9