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Forecast

Maryborough (25.5377°S, 152.7041°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 19° 33°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:28am EST 4:53am EST 6:16pm EST 6:41pm EST
    NOW
    30.8° Feels Like: 30.5°
    Relative Humidity: 55%
    Dew: 20.7°
    Wind: N 22km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1011.3hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Maryborough
    Now
    27.8°c
    Feels Like:
    25.3°
    Wind:
    N 33km/h
    Gusts:
    41km/h
    Humidity:
    65%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    19°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Maryborough
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    19°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h shifting E/SE 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then tending E/NE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 35.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.

    Forecast for Maryborough (25.5377°S, 152.7041°E, 1m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Increasing sunshine Mostly sunny
    Minimum 19° 19° 17° 16° 17° 16° 16°
    Maximum 33° 30° 31° 32° 30° 30° 30°
    Chance of rain 40% 40% 10% 5% 5% 10% 10%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NNE SSE SE E ENE NE NE E E E E ESE E
    Relative humidity 53% 54% 64% 57% 58% 48% 55% 45% 50% 43% 48% 41% 48% 41%
    Dew point 20°C 20°C 20°C 20°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 15°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Maryborough Rain Forecast

    Maryborough 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 November to 3 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 18 December to 22 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 November to 28 November, 10 December to 14 December, and 18 December to 22 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Maryborough Rain Forecast

    Maryborough 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    2
    3
    6
    6
    5
    7
    8
    7
    6
    6
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Maryborough Rain Forecast

    Maryborough 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 November to 3 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 18 December to 22 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 November to 28 November, 10 December to 14 December, and 18 December to 22 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Maryborough Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Nov 13     		20.6 °C 36.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Nov 14     		20.4 °C 30.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 15     		18.6 °C 31.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 16     		22.3 °C 34 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 17     		23 °C -
    0.4 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Maryborough minimum temp history (25.5377°S, 152.7041°E, 1m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.7° 13/11/2019 Coldest this month 6.6° 10/11/2019
    Hottest on record 38.6 24/11/2016 Coldest on record 8.2 04/11/1974
    Hottest this year 37.0° 13/03/2019 Coldest this year -0.1° 15/07/2019
    Long term average 29.0° Long term average 17.9°
    Average this month 31.7° Average this month 15.4°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.6° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 15.5° 1974
    Maryborough rainfall history (25.5377°S, 152.7041°E, 1m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.0mm 05/11/2019 Total This Month 4.2mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 83.2mm 9.0 days Wettest November on record 301.7mm 2009

  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Maryborough Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 1000.7mm 109.9 day(s)
    Total For 2019 512.6mm 104.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 938.4mm 116.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 45.4mm Mar18
    Lowest Temperature -0.1°C Jul15
    Highest Temperature 37.0°C Mar13

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Maryborough Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.7 30.2 29.2 27.3 24.6 22.4 22.0 23.4 25.8 27.6 29.0 30.3 26.9
    Mean Min (°C) 20.8 20.8 19.5 16.8 13.4 10.3 8.6 9.4 12.1 15.3 17.9 19.6 15.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 164.6 171.6 151.3 85.7 77.5 66.6 50.2 39.1 41.5 69.4 83.2 128.7 1128.2
    Mean Rain Days 13.1 13.8 14.5 11.8 10.7 8.6 7.3 6.5 6.7 7.9 9.0 10.7 116.4

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