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Forecast

Hervey Bay (25.2905°S, 152.8562°E, 20m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 16° 26°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:16am EST 5:39am EST 5:44pm EST 6:07pm EST
    NOW
    25.0° Feels Like: 24.8°
    Relative Humidity: 68%
    Dew: 18.7°
    Wind: N 17km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1019.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Hervey Bay
    Now
    24.6°c
    Feels Like:
     
    Wind:
     
    Gusts:
     
    Humidity:
    75%
    Mostly sunny
     
    16°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Hervey Bay
    Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early this morning. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe during the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    17°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the south in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm inland in the late afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Hervey Bay

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early this morning. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe during the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.

    Forecast for Hervey Bay (25.2905°S, 152.8562°E, 20m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum 16° 17° 16° 15° 13° 14° 10°
    Maximum 26° 26° 26° 26° 26° 26° 25°
    Chance of rain 20% 30% 70% 10% 30% 30% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NNE NNE NNE NNW N SSW E ENE NNE WNW NNW S SE
    Relative humidity 71% 72% 75% 67% 76% 70% 54% 41% 65% 60% 62% 53% 38% 39%
    Dew point 19°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 13°C 11°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 5°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Hervey Bay Rain Forecast


    Hervey Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, and eastern Australia.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 September to 3 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 24 October to 28 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 September to 1 October, 1 October to 5 October, and 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 September to 4 October, 18 October to 22 October, and 24 October to 28 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Hervey Bay Rain Forecast


    Hervey Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    5
    7
    7
    7
    6
    7
    7
    1
    7
    7
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Hervey Bay Rain Forecast


    Hervey Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, and eastern Australia.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 September to 3 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 24 October to 28 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 September to 1 October, 1 October to 5 October, and 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 September to 4 October, 18 October to 22 October, and 24 October to 28 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Hervey Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Sep 17
    14.2 °C 25.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 18
    15.3 °C 25.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 19
    15.6 °C 25.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 20
    16.1 °C 26.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Sep 21
    16.8 °C 25.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Hervey Bay minimum temp history (25.2905°S, 152.8562°E, 20m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.9° 01/09/2020 Coldest this month 9.0° 01/09/2020
    Hottest on record 30.1 12/09/2003 Coldest on record 5.0 03/09/2000
    Hottest this year 33.9° 04/02/2020 Coldest this year 1.7° 05/07/2020
    Long term average 24.8° Long term average 14.1°
    Average this month 24.3° Average this month 14.4°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.4° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 12.2° 2011
    Hervey Bay rainfall history (25.2905°S, 152.8562°E, 20m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 34.6mm 12/09/2020 Total This Month 71.4mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 40.2mm 9.1 days Wettest September on record 109.6mm 2010
    Driest on record 1.2mm 2000
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Hervey Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 810.7mm 119.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 856.8mm 127.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 458.0mm 111.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 94.8mm Mar10
    Lowest Temperature 1.7°C Jul 5
    Highest Temperature 33.9°C Feb 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Hervey Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.2 30.2 29.1 27.0 24.3 22.0 21.7 22.7 24.8 26.6 28.1 29.4 26.3
    Mean Min (°C) 22.1 22.0 20.7 17.7 14.1 12.0 10.0 10.6 14.1 16.7 19.1 21.0 16.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 141.7 137.3 138.8 70.1 92.5 85.3 44.4 60.4 40.2 62.6 67.1 133.9 1068.9
    Mean Rain Days 11.7 12.7 16.3 15.9 16.5 16.3 12.1 9.3 9.1 7.8 9.8 11.2 142.8