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Forecast

Brisbane (27.4676°S, 153.0279°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 15° 22°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:00am EST 6:25am EST 5:04pm EST 5:29pm EST
    NOW
    15.3° Feels Like: 15.8°
    Relative Humidity: 91%
    Dew: 13.8°
    Wind: SW 4km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 8.4mm
    Pressure: 1023.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Brisbane
    Now
    14.9°c
    Feels Like:
    16.0°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    91%
    Showers
     
    15°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Brisbane
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Morning drizzle. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    15°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm about bayside suburbs. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the early afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Morning drizzle. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon.

    Forecast for Brisbane (27.4676°S, 153.0279°E, 2m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Showers Showers Showers Showers Possible shower Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 15° 15° 15° 16° 14° 14° 15°
    Maximum 22° 21° 23° 21° 24° 25° 23°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 80% 90% 50% 30% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S SSE S SSE S SSE S SSE SSW S WSW W W W
    Relative humidity 83% 73% 84% 73% 82% 70% 90% 80% 86% 71% 81% 60% 74% 52%
    Dew point 15°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 15°C 16°C 13°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Brisbane Rain Forecast


    Brisbane 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Brisbane Rain Forecast


    Brisbane 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2022
    2023
    9
    8
    9
    8
    8
    7
    7
    6
    7
    7
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 11

    ENSO status: La Niña, it is expected return to neutral state by early winter. IOD status: Neutral, models suggest it could enter a negative phase in the next month. SAM status: Positive and is expected to remain positive for the next month or so. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña phase and has not changed in strength during the past two weeks. La Niña events typically breaks down in autumn and while this current La Niña is persisting longer than usual, most models suggest it should end by early winter. However, one seasonal model operated by the U.S. National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) suggests that a La Niña-like signal could linger in the Pacific Ocean through the middle of the year and possibly remerge in the Southern Hemisphere’s spring. That being said, it is important to note that seasonal forecast models have lower accuracy at this time of year. This is called the autumn predictability barrier. The La Niña forecast will increase the likelihood of above-average rain in northern and eastern Australia during the remainder of Autumn, possibly into winter. Even as La Niña weakens it should continue to influence our climate. all five climate models suggest a negative phase will begin during late autumn or early winter. Climate models are forecasting strong negative IOD values by August, with the negative IOD event possibly lingering into spring. While a neutral IOD has little influence on our climate, a negative IOD increases the chance of above average autumn and winter rain for much of Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except southwest WA, parts of TAS and VIC. If a negative IOD does develop this winter, it will increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia, especially areas that had a wet summer and autumn.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Brisbane Rain Forecast


    Brisbane 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Brisbane Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    May 18
    20.0 °C 26.3 °C
    0.4 mm
    Thursday
    May 19
    17.7 °C 22.7 °C
    0.4 mm
    Friday
    May 20
    16.8 °C 21.3 °C
    0.4 mm
    Saturday
    May 21
    16.0 °C 18.2 °C
    15.6 mm
    Sunday
    May 22
    16.1 °C 20.4 °C
    23.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Brisbane minimum temp history (27.4676°S, 153.0279°E, 2m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.3° 05/05/2022 Coldest this month 15.0° 03/05/2022
    Hottest on record 30.7 20/05/2003 Coldest on record 5.0 31/05/2006
    Hottest this year 35.5° 02/02/2022 Coldest this year 15.0° 03/05/2022
    Long term average 24.5° Long term average 13.8°
    Average this month 24.2° Average this month 18.2°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.0° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 12.2° 2004
    Brisbane rainfall history (27.4676°S, 153.0279°E, 2m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 67.6mm 13/05/2022 Total This Month 263.0mm
    18.0 days
    Long Term Average 61.1mm 9.0 days Wettest May on record 248.8mm 2015
    Driest on record 10.0mm 2006
  15. Year to Date

    Brisbane Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 568.2mm 60.8 day(s)
    Total For 2022 1526.4mm 77.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2021 733.4mm 62.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 228.4mm Feb27
    Lowest Temperature 15.0°C May 3
    Highest Temperature 35.5°C Feb 2
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Brisbane Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.4 30.1 29.1 27.2 24.5 22.0 22.0 23.4 25.7 27.1 28.3 29.7 26.6
    Mean Min (°C) 21.6 21.4 20.2 17.4 13.8 11.9 10.4 10.8 13.8 16.5 18.8 20.6 16.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 135.8 175.5 135.3 60.5 61.1 62.8 27.5 34.2 26.6 86.3 95.7 128.6 999.2
    Mean Rain Days 12.0 13.6 14.8 11.4 9.0 9.6 7.6 5.7 7.3 10.0 10.6 12.6 124.0