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Forecast

Archerfield (27.5684°S, 153.0242°E, 18m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Clearing shower 17° 29°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:40am EST 5:04am EST 6:01pm EST 6:25pm EST
    NOW
    20.5° Feels Like: 21.1°
    Relative Humidity: 76%
    Dew: 16.1°
    Wind: E 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 5.8mm
    Pressure: 1016.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Archerfield
    Now
    21.0°c
    Feels Like:
    22.8°
    Wind:
    N 2km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    75%
    Clearing shower
     
    17°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Archerfield
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the W in the afternoon. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    17°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers from the late morning. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning. Light winds becoming N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Archerfield

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the W in the afternoon. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.

    Forecast for Archerfield (27.5684°S, 153.0242°E, 18m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Clearing shower Possible shower Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 17° 16° 16° 16° 15° 15° 15°
    Maximum 29° 29° 31° 30° 28° 28° 30°
    Chance of rain 30% 70% 80% 70% 90% 90% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE NNE NNE NW NE SSW ESE SSE SE SE E NNW N
    Relative humidity 62% 54% 62% 66% 62% 61% 67% 61% 72% 67% 73% 62% 66% 55%
    Dew point 18°C 17°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 17°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Archerfield Rain Forecast


    Archerfield 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    HIGH
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    HIGH
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    HIGH
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 October to 1 November, 14 November to 18 November, and 19 November to 23 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 28 October to 1 November, 16 November to 20 November, and 25 November to 29 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 October to 2 November, 16 November to 20 November, and 24 November to 28 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Archerfield Rain Forecast


    Archerfield 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2020
    2021
    7
    8
    7
    7
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    6
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 8

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Negative SAM status: Positive La Niña thresholds have been met due to continued cooling in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters in the last month. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, with the current Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.68 and the Southern Oscillation Index is +9.5, now well over the La Niña threshold of +7. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December, with all eight models predicting the event will last until January and 5 of 8 models to February. During this month’s model run, the strength of the La Niña event has increased since last month, however at this stage the event is not expected to be as strong as the 2010-2012 La Niña. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase, which is likely to continue through October. Three of six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of November, beforebecoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. The combination of La Niña and negative IOD conditions increase the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia. However, normal to below normal precipitation is forecast for parts of western WA and western TAS. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Archerfield Rain Forecast


    Archerfield 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    HIGH
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    HIGH
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    HIGH
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 October to 1 November, 14 November to 18 November, and 19 November to 23 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 28 October to 1 November, 16 November to 20 November, and 25 November to 29 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 October to 2 November, 16 November to 20 November, and 24 November to 28 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Archerfield Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Oct 18
    13.4 °C 31.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 19
    15.7 °C 29.4 °C
    2.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 20
    17.4 °C 28.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 21
    12.8 °C 27.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Oct 22
    17.3 °C 25.4 °C
    0.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Archerfield minimum temp history (27.5684°S, 153.0242°E, 18m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.6° 09/10/2020 Coldest this month 10.8° 16/10/2020
    Hottest on record 39.4 06/10/2005 Coldest on record 4.2 11/10/1939
    Hottest this year 35.4° 03/02/2020 Coldest this year 3.7° 06/07/2020
    Long term average 27.0° Long term average 14.3°
    Average this month 28.7° Average this month 13.3°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.6° 1988 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 10.4° 1939
    Archerfield rainfall history (27.5684°S, 153.0242°E, 18m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.2mm 19/10/2020 Total This Month 3.4mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 74.7mm 8.3 days Wettest October on record 394.6mm 1972
    Driest on record 1.3mm 1948
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Archerfield Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 834.3mm 88.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 625.6mm 91.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 444.6mm 85.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 73.4mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 3.7°C Jul 6
    Highest Temperature 35.4°C Feb 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Archerfield Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.4 29.8 28.8 26.6 24.0 21.4 21.2 22.6 25.2 27.0 28.5 29.6 26.2
    Mean Min (°C) 20.3 20.1 18.5 15.1 11.9 9.3 7.6 8.1 11.1 14.3 17.2 19.1 14.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 140.5 150.8 128.6 78.3 73.7 67.5 47.6 37.1 35.5 74.7 100.2 125.5 1061.0
    Mean Rain Days 11.0 12.1 12.7 9.8 8.9 7.4 6.3 5.8 6.2 8.3 9.6 10.9 105.1