Forecast
Amberley (27.6404°S, 152.7024°E, 27m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY19° 29° possible shower Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:29am EST 5:52am EST 6:01pm EST 6:24pm EST NOW27.9° Feels Like: 29.2° Relative Humidity: 72% Dew: 22.4° Wind: E 19km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 5.4mm Pressure: 1014.4hPa -
Today Weather
AmberleyNow27.9°cFeels Like:29.6°Wind:NE 9km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:61%19°Min29°MaxToday in AmberleyPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon.Tomorrow19°Min31°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Amberley
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon.
Forecast for Amberley (27.6404°S, 152.7024°E, 27m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 19° 19° 19° 18° 18° 19° 18° Maximum 29° 31° 28° 27° 28° 29° 28° Chance of rain 40% 30% 20% 20% 40% 80% 80% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Moderate High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)20
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)23
(km/h)25
(km/h)19
(km/h)17
(km/h)13
(km/h)15
(km/h)12
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction SE E SE E S S SSE SSE SSE ESE SSE SE SSE ESE Relative humidity 84% 77% 82% 63% 81% 77% 75% 71% 79% 75% 85% 78% 86% 79% Dew point 23°C 23°C 23°C 22°C 22°C 21°C 19°C 20°C 21°C 22°C 23°C 24°C 22°C 23°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Amberley Rain Forecast
Amberley 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Amberley Rain Forecast
Amberley 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb202420256888876541087105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Amberley Rain Forecast
Amberley 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Amberley Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1515.2 °C 31.3 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1617.4 °C 28.7 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1716.2 °C 29.5 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 1820.7 °C 29.3 °C 1.0 mmTuesday
Mar 1919.7 °C 30.7 °C 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Amberley minimum temp history (27.6404°S, 152.7024°E, 27m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.9° 02/03/2024 Coldest this month 15.2° 15/03/2024 Hottest on record 38.9 13/03/1965 Coldest on record 6.7 31/03/2008 Hottest this year 38.7° 22/01/2024 Coldest this year 15.2° 15/03/2024 Long term average 29.5° Long term average 17.9° Average this month 30.3° Average this month 18.6° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.2° 1998 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 14.6° 2008 Amberley rainfall history (27.6404°S, 152.7024°E, 27m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 4.8mm 05/03/2024 Total This Month 10.6mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 88.1mm 11.4 days Wettest March on record 282.8mm 2017 Driest on record 6.7mm 1965 -
Year to Date
Amberley Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 331.7mm 33.8 day(s) Total For 2024 326.8mm 39.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 217.0mm 25.0 day(s) Wettest Day 74.4mm Jan28 Lowest Temperature 15.2°C Mar15 Highest Temperature 38.7°C Jan22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Amberley Climatology
Amberley Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.2 30.5 29.5 27.2 24.1 21.6 21.3 22.9 25.7 27.9 29.7 30.9 26.9 Mean Min (°C) 19.7 19.5 17.9 14.0 9.9 7.0 5.4 6.1 9.5 13.3 16.2 18.4 13.0 Mean Rain (mm) 118.1 125.5 88.1 53.0 54.9 45.3 37.2 27.6 33.3 72.4 81.1 118.7 855.7 Mean Rain Days 10.8 11.6 11.4 7.7 7.7 6.5 6.4 5.7 5.9 8.7 8.9 10.6 102.0