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Forecast

Amberley (27.6404°S, 152.7024°E, 27m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 11° 30°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:43am EST 5:07am EST 6:01pm EST 6:25pm EST
    NOW
    21.0° Feels Like: 17.4°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 11.1°
    Wind: E 20km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Amberley
    Now
    20.5°c
    Feels Like:
    19.5°
    Wind:
    E 7km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    56%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Amberley
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    11°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Amberley

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

    Forecast for Amberley (27.6404°S, 152.7024°E, 27m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 13° 13° 13° 15° 15° 14°
    Maximum 30° 29° 31° 32° 33° 31° 30°
    Chance of rain 40% 50% 30% 40% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 5-10mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE ENE ENE ENE NE ENE N N NNW NNE WNW E SSE E
    Relative humidity 47% 41% 60% 53% 58% 46% 59% 50% 59% 55% 71% 55% 67% 60%
    Dew point 12°C 14°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 19°C 18°C 20°C 20°C 19°C 17°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Amberley Rain Forecast


    Amberley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    HIGH
    31
    HIGH
    Nov 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 18 November to 22 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Amberley Rain Forecast


    Amberley 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2020
    2021
    7
    8
    7
    7
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    6
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 8

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Negative SAM status: Positive La Niña thresholds have been met due to continued cooling in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters in the last month. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, with the current Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.68 and the Southern Oscillation Index is +9.5, now well over the La Niña threshold of +7. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December, with all eight models predicting the event will last until January and 5 of 8 models to February. During this month’s model run, the strength of the La Niña event has increased since last month, however at this stage the event is not expected to be as strong as the 2010-2012 La Niña. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase, which is likely to continue through October. Three of six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of November, beforebecoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. The combination of La Niña and negative IOD conditions increase the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia. However, normal to below normal precipitation is forecast for parts of western WA and western TAS. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Amberley Rain Forecast


    Amberley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    HIGH
    31
    HIGH
    Nov 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 18 November to 22 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Amberley Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Oct 16
    9.1 °C 32.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Oct 17
    12.5 °C 30.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 18
    10.4 °C 33.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 19
    15.5 °C 30.5 °C
    2.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 20
    14.7 °C 28.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Amberley minimum temp history (27.6404°S, 152.7024°E, 27m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.0° 09/10/2020 Coldest this month 7.5° 10/10/2020
    Hottest on record 41.3 27/10/2014 Coldest on record 2.1 01/10/1992
    Hottest this year 39.1° 03/02/2020 Coldest this year -2.0° 05/07/2020
    Long term average 27.8° Long term average 13.3°
    Average this month 29.9° Average this month 11.0°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.5° 1988 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 10.3° 1992
    Amberley rainfall history (27.6404°S, 152.7024°E, 27m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.8mm 19/10/2020 Total This Month 5.0mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 73.2mm 8.4 days Wettest October on record 319.5mm 1972
    Driest on record 6.6mm 1977
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Amberley Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 656.2mm 81.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 473.2mm 75.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 274.6mm 74.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 76.2mm Feb 9
    Lowest Temperature -2.0°C Jul 5
    Highest Temperature 39.1°C Feb 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Amberley Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.2 30.4 29.4 27.2 24.1 21.6 21.2 22.8 25.6 27.8 29.6 30.8 26.8
    Mean Min (°C) 19.6 19.5 17.8 14.0 10.0 7.1 5.4 6.2 9.5 13.3 16.3 18.4 13.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 117.6 120.5 86.7 55.6 53.2 47.4 38.3 29.3 34.4 73.2 82.9 121.4 860.6
    Mean Rain Days 10.7 11.5 11.2 7.7 7.6 6.5 6.4 5.7 6.0 8.4 9.0 10.4 99.6