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Forecast

Tennant Creek (19.6498°S, 134.1897°E, 375m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 26° 33°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:52am CST 6:16am CST 7:17pm CST 7:40pm CST
    NOW
    27.7° Feels Like: 30.3°
    Relative Humidity: 75%
    Dew: 22.9°
    Wind: NE 13km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.8mm
    Pressure: 1003.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Tennant Creek
    Now
    22.5°c
    Feels Like:
    22.1°
    Wind:
    SSW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    30km/h
    Humidity:
    84%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    26°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Tennant Creek
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. A thunderstorm likely with gusty winds. Winds W 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    25°
    Min
    38°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. A thunderstorm likely with gusty winds. Winds W 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon.

    Forecast for Tennant Creek (19.6498°S, 134.1897°E, 375m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 26° 25° 26° 25° 25° 24° 22°
    Maximum 33° 38° 36° 33° 32° 34° 34°
    Chance of rain 80% 60% 80% 60% 60% 70% 60%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 26
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE SSE N NW NNE NNE NE ENE E E SE ESE SE SE
    Relative humidity 59% 50% 69% 36% 67% 45% 80% 60% 77% 55% 73% 48% 61% 44%
    Dew point 21°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 24°C 23°C 24°C 25°C 23°C 22°C 22°C 22°C 18°C 21°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tennant Creek Rain Forecast


    Tennant Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tennant Creek Rain Forecast


    Tennant Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    6
    6
    6
    7
    8
    9
    9
    7
    7
    8
    8
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tennant Creek Rain Forecast


    Tennant Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tennant Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    23.6 °C 33.0 °C
    2.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    24.2 °C 37.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    27.1 °C 38.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28
    30.0 °C 40.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 29
    27.6 °C 32 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tennant Creek minimum temp history (19.6498°S, 134.1897°E, 375m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 43.8° 15/01/2020 Coldest this month 22.5° 20/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.6 03/01/2014 Coldest on record 17.2 14/01/2002
    Hottest this year 43.8° 15/01/2020 Coldest this year 22.5° 20/01/2020
    Long term average 36.6° Long term average 24.9°
    Average this month 38.7° Average this month 26.6°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 40.4° 2008 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 22.2° 1976
    Tennant Creek rainfall history (19.6498°S, 134.1897°E, 375m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 37.4mm 20/01/2020 Total This Month 61.6mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 118.4mm 10.1 days Wettest January on record 357.4mm 2008
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NT

  16. Year to Date

    Tennant Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 118.4mm 10.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 61.6mm 15.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 1.2mm 3.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 37.4mm Jan20
    Lowest Temperature 22.5°C Jan20
    Highest Temperature 43.8°C Jan15
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tennant Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 36.6 35.7 34.5 31.8 27.7 24.5 24.6 27.5 31.7 34.8 36.5 37.1 31.9
    Mean Min (°C) 24.9 24.4 23.3 20.4 16.4 12.9 12.3 14.4 18.4 21.7 23.8 24.8 19.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 118.4 121.2 53.1 16.7 8.1 5.7 5.0 2.5 7.8 19.5 40.3 77.0 476.1
    Mean Rain Days 10.1 9.3 5.9 2.0 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.7 1.9 3.6 5.6 8.3 49.5