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Forecast

Lajamanu (18.3388°S, 130.6367°E, 304m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 20° 43°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:39am CST 6:02am CST 7:03pm CST 7:27pm CST
    NOW
    41.3° Feels Like: 37.0°
    Relative Humidity: 10%
    Dew: 3.6°
    Wind: N 15km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1004.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Lajamanu
    Now
    41.3°c
    Feels Like:
    37.0°
    Wind:
    N 15km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    10%
    Sunny
     
    20°
    Min
    43°
    Max
    Today in Lajamanu
    District forecast unavailable
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    21°
    Min
    43°
    Max
     
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Lajamanu

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: District forecast unavailable

    Forecast for Lajamanu (18.3388°S, 130.6367°E, 304m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 20° 21° 27° 26° 24° 24° 25°
    Maximum 43° 43° 43° 41° 40° 39° 38°
    Chance of rain 5% 30% 20% 70% 50% 60% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE ENE NNW N NNW NNW N ENE SE ESE SE E WSW ENE
    Relative humidity 5% 5% 23% 7% 25% 9% 29% 18% 33% 15% 32% 16% 31% 14%
    Dew point -11°C -4°C 10°C 0°C 14°C 4°C 15°C 12°C 15°C 9°C 15°C 9°C 15°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lajamanu Rain Forecast


    Lajamanu 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 November to 28 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 6 December to 10 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 30 November to 4 December, and 4 December to 8 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lajamanu Rain Forecast


    Lajamanu 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    3
    5
    6
    5
    5
    7
    7
    10
    10
    9
    9
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lajamanu Rain Forecast


    Lajamanu 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 November to 28 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 6 December to 10 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 30 November to 4 December, and 4 December to 8 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lajamanu Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Nov 15
    21.4 °C 41.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 16
    20.7 °C 41.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 17
    19.1 °C 41.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 18
    19.3 °C 41.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    20.8 °C 42 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lajamanu minimum temp history (18.3388°S, 130.6367°E, 304m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.7° 13/11/2019 Coldest this month 17.0° 08/11/2019
    Hottest on record 44.1 08/11/2016 Coldest on record 12.4 03/11/2010
    Hottest this year 46.2° 03/01/2019 Coldest this year 5.8° 05/07/2019
    Long term average 38.4° Long term average 23.2°
    Average this month 40.8° Average this month 21.8°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 41.4° 2006 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 20.9° 2010
    Lajamanu rainfall history (18.3388°S, 130.6367°E, 304m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/11/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 32.8mm 4.8 days Wettest November on record 112.8mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Lajamanu Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 478.4mm 38.9 day(s)
    Total For 2019 95.6mm 28.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 386.6mm 42.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 19.2mm Feb26
    Lowest Temperature 5.8°C Jul 5
    Highest Temperature 46.2°C Jan 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Lajamanu Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.1 36.1 35.0 33.8 29.7 26.8 26.8 29.9 34.7 37.4 38.4 38.0 33.8
    Mean Min (°C) 24.1 23.4 22.3 18.1 13.5 9.9 9.2 11.1 16.7 20.4 23.2 24.2 18.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 151.4 148.7 87.7 15.3 8.5 4.4 4.0 1.1 4.7 19.8 32.8 79.8 580.8
    Mean Rain Days 9.8 9.1 6.2 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 2.9 4.8 7.9 43.3