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Forecast

Daly Waters (16.2737°S, 133.3808°E, 208m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Thunderstorms 25° 28°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 20-40mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:15am CST 6:37am CST 7:03pm CST 7:25pm CST
    NOW
    24.2° Feels Like: 27.7°
    Relative Humidity: 93%
    Dew: 23.0°
    Wind: ENE 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 48.8mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Daly Waters
    Now
    24.6°c
    Feels Like:
    28.4°
    Wind:
    ENE 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    98%
    Thunderstorms
     
    25°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Daly Waters
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Thunderstorms
    25°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

    Forecast for Daly Waters (16.2737°S, 133.3808°E, 208m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Late thunder Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms
    Minimum 25° 25° 25° 25° 25° 25° 25°
    Maximum 28° 30° 32° 31° 31° 32° 32°
    Chance of rain 90% 70% 60% 70% 80% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 20-40mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 23
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE ENE ENE ENE NE NE N N NNE NNE N N NNW NW
    Relative humidity 92% 84% 88% 71% 85% 65% 83% 63% 86% 65% 86% 64% 85% 62%
    Dew point 24°C 25°C 24°C 25°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Daly Waters Rain Forecast


    Daly Waters 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 March to 9 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 28 March to 1 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Daly Waters Rain Forecast


    Daly Waters 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    8
    4
    7
    6
    8
    8
    8
    9
    1
    7
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Daly Waters Rain Forecast


    Daly Waters 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 March to 9 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 28 March to 1 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Daly Waters Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    24.3 °C 39.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 23
    22.3 °C 39.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 24
    21.1 °C 38.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 25
    23.6 °C 31.9 °C
    26.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 26
    23.7 °C 27 °C
    52.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Daly Waters minimum temp history (16.2737°S, 133.3808°E, 208m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.0° 15/02/2020 Coldest this month 21.1° 24/02/2020
    Hottest on record 42.1 01/02/1948 Coldest on record 12.8 25/02/1949
    Hottest this year 42.4° 28/01/2020 Coldest this year 21.1° 24/02/2020
    Long term average 34.9° Long term average 23.4°
    Average this month 37.9° Average this month 25.1°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 38.5° 1952 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 21.5° 2012
    Daly Waters rainfall history (16.2737°S, 133.3808°E, 208m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 52.0mm 26/02/2020 Total This Month 210.4mm
    14.0 days
    Long Term Average 183.3mm 14.2 days Wettest February on record 575.2mm 2004
    Driest on record 12.1mm 1952
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NT

  16. Year to Date

    Daly Waters Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 349.0mm 28.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 348.8mm 33.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 205.4mm 22.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 52.0mm Feb26
    Lowest Temperature 21.1°C Feb24
    Highest Temperature 42.4°C Jan28
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Daly Waters Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 35.8 34.9 34.7 33.9 31.3 28.8 29.0 31.1 34.8 37.4 38.2 37.2 33.9
    Mean Min (°C) 24.0 23.4 22.5 19.6 16.0 13.1 12.0 12.7 16.9 21.0 23.6 24.2 19.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 165.7 183.3 111.6 21.4 6.6 3.1 1.9 0.4 2.0 21.8 49.4 119.4 690.9
    Mean Rain Days 14.7 14.2 9.9 2.8 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.7 3.4 7.2 11.9 64.1