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Forecast

Goulburn (34.7554°S, 149.7178°E, 627m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 17° 33°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:11am EDT 5:41am EDT 8:03pm EDT 8:33pm EDT
    NOW
    15.6° Feels Like: 14.7°
    Relative Humidity: 77%
    Dew: 11.6°
    Wind: S 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.3hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Goulburn
    Now
    16.2°c
    Feels Like:
    15.0°
    Wind:
    SE 4km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    58%
    Mostly sunny
     
    17°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Goulburn
    Sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the NE in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 35.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    14°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then tending NE/SE in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 33.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the NE in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 35.

    Forecast for Goulburn (34.7554°S, 149.7178°E, 627m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Late shower Late shower Late thunder Possible shower Rain Rain
    Minimum 17° 14° 17° 23° 14° 16° 16°
    Maximum 33° 32° 34° 37° 24° 29° 33°
    Chance of rain 10% 60% 40% 90% 70% 80% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		31
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE W W WSW NW NNW NNW NW ESE E E E ENE ENE
    Relative humidity 61% 22% 51% 23% 54% 33% 38% 15% 84% 50% 75% 36% 65% 24%
    Dew point 15°C 8°C 15°C 7°C 17°C 14°C 15°C 6°C 15°C 12°C 16°C 11°C 16°C 9°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Goulburn Rain Forecast

    Goulburn 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2023-12-08, 2023-12-19 and 2024-01-01. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2023-12-16, 2023-12-22 and 2024-01-01. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2023-12-06, 2023-12-11 and 2023-12-16.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Goulburn Rain Forecast

    Goulburn 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2023
    2024
    7
    7
    5
    6
    6
    6
    8
    6
    4
    4
    2
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, reached a strong event. IOD status: Positive IOD, starting to weaken. SAM status: Neutral, trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño, with all international models indicating this event will continue until at least April 2024. Ocean warming is continuing to occur in the eastern and central Pacific and has reached the threshold for a 'strong event'. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has reduced further and is comfortably below the El Niño threshold, especially over the last 90-days. El Niño only has a limited effect on rainfall during summer, drying Far North Qld, increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor, and having little effect elsewhere. El Niño also typically delays the first monsoon onset and reduces the number of tropical cyclones impacting Australia, but otherwise has little effect on Australia during January and February. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a positive phase but is weakening from its peak in late October. Winds areexpected to weaken with the current tropical activity, but generally SE wind near Jakarta should maintain the event The IOD typically takes 3-6 weeks to decay, so could persist into the start of 2024. However, the first monsoon onset over northern Australia will still sever its effect on Australia. A positive IOD greatly reduces the formation of northwest cloudbands, leading to reductions in spring rainfall over northern WA, central Aus, and the southeast. A positive IOD often has a compound effect with El Niño, reducing rainfall even further. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently neutral. It is expected to favour a positive event for the remainder of December. Longer-term, since negative SAM events become more likely during El Niño, models suggest it becoming strongly negative around February. A negative phase tends to increase cold front activity over southern Australia, increasing rainfall over southern Vic, western Tas, and southeast SA, while decreasing it for eastern NSW and Qld. The opposite occurs in a positive event, with easterly winds more likely, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, but reducing it in southern and Western Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting above average rainfall for eastern NSW & Qld, below average rainfall over the Tas and far northern Australia, and average elsewhere in December. Large rainfall deficits are expected over northern Australia from December, likely with a delayed initial monsoon onset. Rainfall is forecast to be above average in the NT and NSW during January, with average to slightly below average elsewhere, with drier than normal conditions forecast throughout in February.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Goulburn Rain Forecast

    Goulburn 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2023-12-08, 2023-12-19 and 2024-01-01. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2023-12-16, 2023-12-22 and 2024-01-01. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2023-12-06, 2023-12-11 and 2023-12-16.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Goulburn Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Dec 01     		14.0 °C 26.0 °C
    1.4 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 02     		15.0 °C 27.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 03     		9.5 °C 25.0 °C
    1.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 04     		12.5 °C 26.5 °C
    0.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 05     		12.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Goulburn minimum temp history (34.7554°S, 149.7178°E, 627m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.2° 02/12/2023 Coldest this month 9.5° 03/12/2023
    Hottest on record 38.4 21/12/1994 Coldest on record 0.9 04/12/1987
    Hottest this year 37.2° 19/03/2023 Coldest this year -5.5° 21/06/2023
    Long term average 25.9° Long term average 11.9°
    Average this month 26.2° Average this month 12.6°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.0° 1990 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 8.4° 1974
    Goulburn rainfall history (34.7554°S, 149.7178°E, 627m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.4mm 01/12/2023 Total This Month 2.8mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 62.0mm 9.7 days Wettest December on record 228.4mm 2010
    Driest on record 0.8mm 2019

  15. Year to Date

    Goulburn Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 648.0mm 145.9 day(s)
    Total For 2023 517.4mm 129.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2022 952.2mm 184.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 63.8mm Nov29
    Lowest Temperature -5.5°C Jun21
    Highest Temperature 37.2°C Mar19

  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Goulburn Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.0 26.4 23.9 20.0 15.8 12.3 11.6 13.2 16.6 19.9 22.8 25.9 19.6
    Mean Min (°C) 13.9 13.7 11.4 7.9 4.6 2.7 1.6 2.3 4.7 7.1 9.7 11.9 7.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 64.5 61.2 62.5 43.9 41.1 51.7 39.9 54.8 47.5 52.8 66.1 62.0 647.2
    Mean Rain Days 10.0 10.0 11.5 11.0 12.9 16.3 16.4 14.5 11.2 11.2 11.2 9.7 145.9

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