Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for Northern Tablelands, Illawarra, South Coast, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, Central West Slopes & Plains, South West Slopes, Riverina, Snowy Mountains and Australian Capital Territory forecast districts
Issued at 04:07 PM EST on Saturday 27 July 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Northern Tablelands, Illawarra, South Coast, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, Central West Slopes & Plains, South West Slopes, Riverina, Snowy Mountains and Australian Capital Territory forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Sunday. Areas likely to be affected include the Southern Tablelands, South West Slopes and Snowy Mountains forecast districts and parts of the Northern Tablelands, Illawarra, South Coast, Central Tablelands, Central West Slopes & Plains, Riverina and Australian Capital Territory forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Saturday.
Forecast
Goulburn (34.7554°S, 149.7178°E, 627m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW1° 7° Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:31am EST 6:58am EST 5:17pm EST 5:44pm EST NOW6.8° Feels Like: 0.7° Relative Humidity: 80% Dew: 3.6° Wind: W 24km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1016.4hPa -
Today Weather
GoulburnNow7.7°cFeels Like:3.3°Wind:W 15km/hGusts:22km/hHumidity:71%1°Min7°MaxToday in GoulburnCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning with possible small hail. Snow falling above 600 metres. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 1 with daytime temperatures reaching between 6 and 10.Tomorrow1°Min7°MaxPartly cloudy. Areas of morning frost. Slight chance of a shower in the E, near zero chance elsewhere. Snow possible above 700 metres. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 3 and zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 8 and 11. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning with possible small hail. Snow falling above 600 metres. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 1 with daytime temperatures reaching between 6 and 10.
Forecast for Goulburn (34.7554°S, 149.7178°E, 627m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 1° -1° -3° -1° 0° 1° 2° Maximum 7° 10° 11° 11° 12° 13° 13° Chance of rain 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% 10% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Low Low Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk High Severe Severe Severe High High Moderate 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 27
(km/h)33
(km/h)16
(km/h)23
(km/h)10
(km/h)18
(km/h)9
(km/h)18
(km/h)8
(km/h)17
(km/h)5
(km/h)14
(km/h)6
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction W W WSW SW SW SSW SW S SSW SSE S ESE N NW Relative humidity 85% 58% 74% 45% 77% 48% 81% 52% 86% 58% 92% 60% 91% 53% Dew point 1°C -2°C 0°C -2°C 0°C -1°C 2°C 1°C 4°C 3°C 6°C 4°C 5°C 3°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Goulburn Rain Forecast
Goulburn 12-month Rainfall ForecastJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun20242025786756786448105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jul 25
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. Negative possible. SAM status: Negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Some ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. However, the Nino3.4 region is still warm from last years El Niño, meaning if La Niña were to develop, it would likely be declared no earlier than October. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be neutral. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over central Australia, Qld and NSW, but has little effect on southern WA, SA, Vic and Tas during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean warming has been occurring near Indonesia, with far more modest warming near Africa, lowering the IOD index. Northerly winds have weakened off theAustralian continent, but cloud patterns are more inline with a positive phase. All this indicates that a negative IOD could be developing, but the atmosphere and oceans are currently decoupled. 4 out of 5 of the international models (all except BoMs model) are forecasting a negative IOD by October. A negative IOD increases the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, increasing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is negative after a Sudden Stratospheric Warming event over Antartica in mid-July. This event has significantly altered the shape of the polar vortex, and directly leads to a negative SAM phase. Given the magnitude of this change, weather in Australia (and the rest of the southern hemisphere) will likely go through periods of wetter (trough) and drier (ridge) patterns every 2-4 weeks during winter and spring. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During the cool months, this increasesrainfall through southwest WA, SA, inland and southern NSW, Vic and Tas, and dries out eastern Qld and NSW. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall for southwest WA, southern SA, inland and southern NSW, Vic and Tas in August and September. From October, wetter than average conditions are expected for eastern Australia, and drier for inland parts of WA.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Goulburn Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Jul 232.1 °C 12.8 °C 0.2 mmWednesday
Jul 242.0 °C 13.5 °C 0.2 mmThursday
Jul 252.5 °C 18.1 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Jul 266.0 °C 13.1 °C 9.8 mmSaturday
Jul 27-1.1 °C - 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Goulburn minimum temp history (34.7554°S, 149.7178°E, 627m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 18.1° 25/07/2024 Coldest this month -2.7° 01/07/2024 Hottest on record 18.6 24/07/1990 Coldest on record -8.5 21/07/1982 Hottest this year 35.1° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year -2.7° 01/07/2024 Long term average 11.6° Long term average 1.6° Average this month 11.2° Average this month 3.3° Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.7° 1993 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. -1.7° 1982 Goulburn rainfall history (34.7554°S, 149.7178°E, 627m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 9.8mm 26/07/2024 Total This Month 36.0mm
18.0 daysLong Term Average 39.9mm 16.4 days Wettest July on record 97.2mm 1984 Driest on record 4.0mm 1982 -
Year to Date
Goulburn Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jul 368.7mm 88.2 day(s) Total For 2024 556.6mm 95.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 299.0mm 86.0 day(s) Wettest Day 91.8mm Apr 6 Lowest Temperature -2.7°C Jul 1 Highest Temperature 35.1°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Goulburn Climatology
Goulburn Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 27.9 26.4 23.9 20.0 15.8 12.3 11.6 13.2 16.6 19.9 22.9 25.9 19.6 Mean Min (°C) 14.0 13.7 11.4 7.9 4.6 2.7 1.6 2.3 4.7 7.1 9.7 12.0 7.6 Mean Rain (mm) 65.1 62.0 61.9 45.5 41.1 53.2 39.9 54.8 47.5 52.8 67.3 61.9 645.6 Mean Rain Days 10.1 10.0 11.4 11.0 13.0 16.3 16.4 14.5 11.2 11.2 11.2 9.8 145.8