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Forecast

Goulburn (34.7554°S, 149.7178°E, 627m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 16° 30°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:15am EDT 6:41am EDT 7:48pm EDT 8:14pm EDT
    NOW
    24.2° Feels Like: 23.6°
    Relative Humidity: 63%
    Dew: 16.7°
    Wind: NW 15km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1017.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Goulburn
    Now
    22.8°c
    Feels Like:
    23.2°
    Wind:
    NE 13km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    76%
    Sunny
     
    16°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Goulburn
    Cloud clearing. Patchy fog early this morning, mainly in the E. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 33.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    20°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/NW 25 to 40 km/h early in the morning then tending NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 33.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Goulburn

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloud clearing. Patchy fog early this morning, mainly in the E. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 33.

    Forecast for Goulburn (34.7554°S, 149.7178°E, 627m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Late shower Clearing shower Fog then sunny Fog then sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 20° 14° 10° 13° 15° 15°
    Maximum 30° 30° 21° 26° 27° 26° 30°
    Chance of rain 5% 80% 30% 5% 20% 20% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Extreme Extreme - -
    Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WNW NW WNW ESE ESE NE W SSE SE ENE ENE N NW
    Relative humidity 91% 42% 66% 46% 94% 67% 86% 43% 82% 45% 90% 53% 70% 39%
    Dew point 17°C 15°C 18°C 16°C 15°C 14°C 12°C 11°C 15°C 13°C 16°C 14°C 16°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Goulburn Rain Forecast


    Goulburn 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-02-21, 2024-03-01 and 2024-03-09. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-02-21, 2024-02-26 and 2024-03-06. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-02-24, 2024-03-01 and 2024-03-09.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Goulburn Rain Forecast


    Goulburn 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2024
    2025
    6
    7
    7
    7
    7
    8
    6
    4
    3
    5
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 6

    ENSO status: El Niño, reduced atmospheric effect. IOD status: Neutral, Positive IOD ended. SAM status: Positive, trending neutral. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño, with all international models indicating this event will continue until about April 2024. Ocean warming has peaked over the central Pacific. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is close to zero over the last 30-60 days, showing that the atmosphere is not reflecting the ocean components. Therefore, Australia is feeling reduced effects from this El Niño event. El Niño only has a limited effect on rainfall during summer, typically drying Far North Qld, increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor, and having little effect elsewhere. El Niño events can make southern Australia slightly drier than normal during Autumn. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is now back into a neutral phase, after a much later than normal finish to 2023's positive event. Oceans are remaining high near the Horn of Africa, put warming has also occurrednear Jakarta. The IOD will likely stay neutral during Autumn, with low confidence of either a positive or negative phase. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently weakly positive but will be mostly neutral in February and early March. A positive SAM increases easterly winds more likely, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, but reducing it in southern and Western Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting mostly drier than normal conditions across Australia during February, likely due to a monsoon retreat. Conditions are forecast to be similiar in March (although another monsoon onset would lead to wetter conditons in the north) while average conditions throughout are expected in April and May.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Goulburn Rain Forecast


    Goulburn 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-02-21, 2024-03-01 and 2024-03-09. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-02-21, 2024-02-26 and 2024-03-06. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-02-24, 2024-03-01 and 2024-03-09.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Goulburn Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 18
    17.5 °C 30.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 19
    15.0 °C 20.5 °C
    2.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 20
    15.8 °C 25.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 21
    15.0 °C 24.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 22
    15.5 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Goulburn minimum temp history (34.7554°S, 149.7178°E, 627m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.1° 04/02/2024 Coldest this month 9.4° 09/02/2024
    Hottest on record 41.2 11/02/2017 Coldest on record 3.3 13/02/1996
    Hottest this year 35.1° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 9.4° 09/02/2024
    Long term average 26.4° Long term average 13.7°
    Average this month 26.1° Average this month 14.6°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.1° 2004 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 10.9° 1996
    Goulburn rainfall history (34.7554°S, 149.7178°E, 627m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 52.6mm 06/02/2024 Total This Month 98.0mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 61.2mm 10.0 days Wettest February on record 167.0mm 2001
    Driest on record 2.5mm 1979
  15. Year to Date

    Goulburn Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 125.7mm 20.0 day(s)
    Total For 2024 191.0mm 23.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 82.4mm 17.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 52.6mm Feb 6
    Lowest Temperature 9.4°C Feb 9
    Highest Temperature 35.1°C Feb 4
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Goulburn Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.0 26.4 23.9 20.0 15.8 12.3 11.6 13.2 16.6 19.9 22.9 25.9 19.6
    Mean Min (°C) 13.9 13.7 11.4 7.9 4.6 2.7 1.6 2.3 4.7 7.1 9.7 12.0 7.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 64.5 61.2 62.5 43.9 41.1 51.7 39.9 54.8 47.5 52.8 67.3 61.9 645.6
    Mean Rain Days 10.0 10.0 11.5 11.0 12.9 16.3 16.4 14.5 11.2 11.2 11.2 9.8 145.8