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Forecast

Nerriga (35.1132°S, 150.0887°E, 613m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 11°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:16am EST 5:42am EST 6:00pm EST 6:25pm EST
    NOW
    10.2° Feels Like: 5.1°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 1.0°
    Wind: SW 17km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Nerriga
    Now
    8.1°c
    Feels Like:
    2.1°
    Wind:
    S 22km/h
    Gusts:
    26km/h
    Humidity:
    65%
    Late shower
     
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Today in Nerriga
    Partly cloudy. Areas of frost early this morning. Slight chance of a shower. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 14.
    Tomorrow
    Frost then sunny
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Fog and areas of frost in the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around minus 1 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of frost early this morning. Slight chance of a shower. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 14.

    Forecast for Nerriga (35.1132°S, 150.0887°E, 613m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Late shower Frost then sunny Fog then sunny Possible shower Clearing shower Mostly sunny Late shower
    Minimum 11° 10° 13°
    Maximum 11° 16° 18° 15° 18° 21° 24°
    Chance of rain 40% 5% 70% 60% 50% 5% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Slight Moderate Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW S NW WNW NNE NNE N NNW WNW WNW WNW WNW NW NW
    Relative humidity 59% 41% 61% 40% 69% 43% 77% 74% 69% 50% 56% 45% 50% 48%
    Dew point 2°C -1°C 3°C 2°C 7°C 5°C 8°C 11°C 10°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 11°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Nerriga Rain Forecast


    Nerriga 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 25 October to 29 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Nerriga Rain Forecast


    Nerriga 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    4
    8
    7
    8
    7
    6
    7
    3
    5
    8
    6
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Nerriga Rain Forecast


    Nerriga 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 25 October to 29 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Nerriga Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Sep 23
    8.7 °C 14.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 24
    4.2 °C 13.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 25
    4.1 °C 14.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 26
    2.4 °C 9.7 °C
    4.4 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 27
    1.8 °C 10.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Nerriga minimum temp history (35.1132°S, 150.0887°E, 613m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.7° 21/09/2020 Coldest this month -0.6° 06/09/2020
    Hottest on record 26.2 19/09/2011 Coldest on record -6.7 02/09/2012
    Hottest this year 42.6° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -6.0° 05/06/2020
    Long term average 16.4° Long term average 3.3°
    Average this month 17.3° Average this month 5.3°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.7° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. -0.7° 1994
    Nerriga rainfall history (35.1132°S, 150.0887°E, 613m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 7.4mm 20/09/2020 Total This Month 26.0mm
    12.0 days
    Long Term Average 54.4mm 11.1 days Wettest September on record 125.4mm 1985
    Driest on record 13.6mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Nerriga Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 493.1mm 107.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 661.4mm 124.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 373.4mm 104.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 83.8mm Aug 9
    Lowest Temperature -6.0°C Jun 5
    Highest Temperature 42.6°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Nerriga Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.9 25.5 22.9 19.4 15.9 12.6 12.0 13.4 16.4 19.2 22.2 24.7 19.2
    Mean Min (°C) 12.2 12.3 10.0 5.8 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.6 3.3 5.6 8.3 10.5 6.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 63.9 70.8 58.4 44.8 42.9 65.0 37.2 55.7 54.4 56.8 76.6 67.9 694.7
    Mean Rain Days 12.0 10.9 12.2 11.5 11.5 13.7 13.2 11.1 11.1 10.9 12.5 10.9 130.0