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Forecast

Nerriga (35.1132°S, 150.0887°E, 613m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 15° 23°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:14am EDT 6:40am EDT 7:46pm EDT 8:12pm EDT
    NOW
    15.5° Feels Like: 15.6°
    Relative Humidity: 89%
    Dew: 13.7°
    Wind: NE 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1026.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Nerriga
    Now
    15.2°c
    Feels Like:
    16.2°
    Wind:
    N 2km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    94%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    15°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Nerriga
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 25 to 30.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    14°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the east in the afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the southeast in the afternoon and early evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Nerriga

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 25 to 30.

    Forecast for Nerriga (35.1132°S, 150.0887°E, 613m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Fog then sunny Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 15° 14° 14° 18° 10° 10° 14°
    Maximum 23° 26° 27° 26° 20° 24° 20°
    Chance of rain 10% 30% 30% 40% 10% 70% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Very High Very High Extreme Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE NW E NNW NW NW WNW SSE ENE NW WNW ESE ESE
    Relative humidity 82% 53% 77% 46% 79% 41% 64% 48% 62% 49% 74% 39% 83% 68%
    Dew point 15°C 13°C 15°C 13°C 15°C 13°C 15°C 14°C 5°C 9°C 11°C 10°C 14°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Nerriga Rain Forecast


    Nerriga 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Nerriga Rain Forecast


    Nerriga 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    9
    5
    7
    6
    7
    7
    6
    4
    3
    5
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Nerriga Rain Forecast


    Nerriga 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Nerriga Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    16.6 °C 29.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    13.9 °C 21.3 °C
    0.4 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    9.8 °C 23.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Feb 21
    13.9 °C 22.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    12.5 °C 19 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Nerriga minimum temp history (35.1132°S, 150.0887°E, 613m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.0° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 4.7° 04/02/2020
    Hottest on record 39.9 08/02/2009 Coldest on record 1.7 13/02/1996
    Hottest this year 42.6° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 4.7° 04/02/2020
    Long term average 25.5° Long term average 12.3°
    Average this month 24.8° Average this month 14.2°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.2° 1998 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 10.8° 1995
    Nerriga rainfall history (35.1132°S, 150.0887°E, 613m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 63.4mm 10/02/2020 Total This Month 136.4mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 70.8mm 10.9 days Wettest February on record 198.6mm 2010
    Driest on record 2.2mm 1986
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Nerriga Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 134.7mm 22.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 161.4mm 25.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 138.4mm 26.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 63.4mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 4.7°C Feb 4
    Highest Temperature 42.6°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Nerriga Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.9 25.5 22.9 19.4 15.9 12.6 12.0 13.4 16.4 19.2 22.2 24.7 19.2
    Mean Min (°C) 12.2 12.3 10.0 5.8 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.6 3.3 5.6 8.3 10.5 6.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 63.9 70.8 58.4 44.8 42.9 65.0 37.2 55.7 54.4 56.8 76.6 67.9 694.7
    Mean Rain Days 12.0 10.9 12.2 11.5 11.5 13.7 13.2 11.1 11.1 10.9 12.5 10.9 130.0