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Forecast

Bourke (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 11° 23°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:06am EST 6:30am EST 6:07pm EST 6:31pm EST
    NOW
    14.8° Feels Like: 13.3°
    Relative Humidity: 71%
    Dew: 9.6°
    Wind: SSW 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1019.0hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Bourke
    Now
    14.2°c
    Feels Like:
    12.8°
    Wind:
    W 7km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    76%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Bourke
    Partly cloudy. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    11°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Bourke (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum 11° 14° 13° 15° 17° 16° 11°
    Maximum 23° 23° 24° 27° 28° 25° 23°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 20% 20% 40% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High Very High Very High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE SSW SE SSW SSE SSW E ENE ENE N SW SW S SSW
    Relative humidity 62% 38% 68% 42% 65% 40% 67% 45% 69% 48% 59% 35% 59% 31%
    Dew point 9°C 7°C 12°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 14°C 13°C 15°C 15°C 13°C 8°C 8°C 4°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bourke Rain Forecast

    Bourke 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    May 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 April to 22 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 April to 14 April, and 29 April to 3 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 April to 16 April, 18 April to 22 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bourke Rain Forecast

    Bourke 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    7
    8
    7
    7
    5
    6
    7
    10
    8
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bourke Rain Forecast

    Bourke 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    May 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 April to 22 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 April to 14 April, and 29 April to 3 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 April to 16 April, 18 April to 22 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bourke Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Apr 01     		19.1 °C 31.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02     		19.8 °C 26.5 °C
    3.8 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03     		19.7 °C 27.1 °C
    5.8 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 04     		16.7 °C 21.6 °C
    12.6 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05     		10.4 °C 24 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Bourke minimum temp history (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.2° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 10.4° 05/04/2020
    Hottest on record 38.6 06/04/2016 Coldest on record 1.8 29/04/2008
    Hottest this year 47.0° 10/01/2020 Coldest this year 10.4° 05/04/2020
    Long term average 27.9° Long term average 13.4°
    Average this month 26.6° Average this month 17.1°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.1° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 10.6° 1999
    Bourke rainfall history (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 12.6mm 04/04/2020 Total This Month 22.2mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 23.8mm 3.4 days Wettest April on record 80.2mm 1999
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2005

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bourke Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 133.0mm 18.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 164.6mm 26.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 24.4mm 12.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 49.2mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature 10.4°C Apr 5
    Highest Temperature 47.0°C Jan10

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bourke Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.2 35.6 32.5 27.9 22.6 18.6 18.4 21.3 25.8 29.8 32.7 35.3 28.2
    Mean Min (°C) 22.3 21.8 18.6 13.4 8.4 6.0 4.1 5.0 9.3 13.6 17.4 20.3 13.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 33.2 35.5 40.5 23.8 25.7 36.2 15.3 13.0 19.9 20.8 39.6 39.9 344.3
    Mean Rain Days 5.2 4.9 5.0 3.4 4.4 6.8 4.5 3.3 4.3 4.6 6.1 4.6 52.4

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