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Forecast

Bourke (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 27° 48°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:40am EDT 6:07am EDT 8:04pm EDT 8:31pm EDT
    NOW
    32.2° Feels Like: 29.2°
    Relative Humidity: 22%
    Dew: 7.8°
    Wind: SE 13km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1005.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bourke
    Now
    29.9°c
    Feels Like:
    25.7°
    Wind:
    E 15km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    19%
    Mostly sunny
     
    27°
    Min
    48°
    Max
    Today in Bourke
    Very hot and mostly sunny. Very slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Possible areas of raised dust in the afternoon and evening, mainly in the W. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h tending NW/NE 35 to 50 km/h in the morning then tending S/SW in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 30 with daytime temperatures reaching 41 to 48.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    22°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Hot. Mostly sunny morning. Very slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the E in the afternoon and evening. Winds S/SE 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 39.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bourke

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Very hot and mostly sunny. Very slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Possible areas of raised dust in the afternoon and evening, mainly in the W. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h tending NW/NE 35 to 50 km/h in the morning then tending S/SW in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 30 with daytime temperatures reaching 41 to 48.

    Forecast for Bourke (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 27° 22° 21° 24° 21° 21° 17°
    Maximum 48° 37° 39° 41° 42° 35° 31°
    Chance of rain 10% 10% 20% 20% 60% 10% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE WNW S SSW SSE SSW ENE WSW NE NW SW WSW SSW WSW
    Relative humidity 18% 7% 23% 10% 21% 17% 32% 14% 22% 16% 32% 15% 27% 14%
    Dew point 10°C 4°C 4°C 0°C 4°C 9°C 13°C 8°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 4°C 3°C 0°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bourke Rain Forecast


    Bourke 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 December to 9 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 December to 9 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 23 December to 27 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 December to 9 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bourke Rain Forecast


    Bourke 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2020
    2021
    8
    8
    7
    8
    8
    8
    8
    7
    10
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 11

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is well underway in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters, with significant cooling observed during the last few months. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, increasing the confidence of La Niña influencing the outlook until at least the remainder of summer. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December or January, with all models predicting the event will last until January, 6 of 8 models to February and 5 of 8 to March. Given we have observed both the atmosphere and the oceans responding to La Nina, the models have strengthened the event, with around half of the models predicting a strong event. The 2010-2012 La Niña event is different to this year, due to the influence of a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in 2010-2012, which enhanced the rainfall across Australia. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is neutral, which is likely tocontinue through to at least autumn. Two of six international models indicate a negative IOD during November, before becoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. La Niña increases the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. The remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia, except for parts of western WA and western TAS, where normal precipitation is expected. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bourke Rain Forecast


    Bourke 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 December to 9 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 December to 9 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 23 December to 27 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 December to 9 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bourke Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Nov 26
    22.8 °C 39.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 27
    24.8 °C 43.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 28
    30.0 °C 43.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 29
    31.3 °C 42.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 30
    22.3 °C 42.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bourke minimum temp history (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.7° 15/11/2020 Coldest this month 10.5° 06/11/2020
    Hottest on record 46.3 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 10.9 06/12/2013
    Hottest this year 47.0° 10/01/2020 Coldest this year -1.0° 08/07/2020
    Long term average 32.7° Long term average 17.4°
    Average this month 36.8° Average this month 19.9°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 38.7° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 17.8° 2011
    Bourke rainfall history (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 5.4mm 12/11/2020 Total This Month 8.6mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 39.6mm 6.1 days Wettest December on record 195.2mm 2010
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Bourke Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 303.5mm 52.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 292.4mm 62.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 210.2mm 28.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 49.2mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature -1.0°C Jul 8
    Highest Temperature 47.0°C Jan10
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bourke Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.2 35.6 32.5 27.9 22.6 18.6 18.4 21.3 25.8 29.8 32.7 35.3 28.2
    Mean Min (°C) 22.3 21.8 18.6 13.4 8.4 6.0 4.1 5.0 9.3 13.6 17.4 20.3 13.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 33.2 35.5 40.5 23.8 25.7 36.2 15.3 13.0 19.9 20.8 39.6 39.9 344.3
    Mean Rain Days 5.2 4.9 5.0 3.4 4.4 6.8 4.5 3.3 4.3 4.6 6.1 4.6 52.4