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Forecast

Bourke (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 21° 38°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:55am EDT 7:19am EDT 7:28pm EDT 7:52pm EDT
    NOW
    37.5° Feels Like: 35.8°
    Relative Humidity: 28%
    Dew: 15.9°
    Wind: N 19km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bourke
    Now
    30.0°c
    Feels Like:
    30.3°
    Wind:
    N 13km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    49%
    Mostly sunny
     
    21°
    Min
    38°
    Max
    Today in Bourke
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the SW, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 25 to 35 km/h becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    22°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the SE, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds S 25 to 35 km/h increasing to 35 to 50 km/h in the morning then turning SE 25 to 35 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 33.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the SW, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 25 to 35 km/h becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening.

    Forecast for Bourke (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Mostly cloudy Possible shower
    Minimum 21° 22° 14° 18° 18° 17° 17°
    Maximum 38° 31° 31° 30° 29° 28° 27°
    Chance of rain 50% 40% 50% 60% 50% 40% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm 5-10mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High High High High
    Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NNE SSW S SSE ESE ENE ENE E E ESE ESE ESE ESE
    Relative humidity 71% 28% 74% 59% 56% 40% 67% 56% 75% 59% 79% 55% 74% 57%
    Dew point 20°C 16°C 21°C 19°C 10°C 15°C 16°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 17°C 17°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bourke Rain Forecast


    Bourke 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bourke Rain Forecast


    Bourke 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2024
    2025
    5
    7
    8
    8
    8
    8
    6
    7
    8
    8
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bourke Rain Forecast


    Bourke 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bourke Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 15
    23.9 °C 39.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 16
    22.3 °C 26.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 17
    19.1 °C 30.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 18
    18.9 °C 33.3 °C
    20.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 19
    22.1 °C 38.0 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bourke minimum temp history (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 41.0° 01/03/2024 Coldest this month 17.3° 13/03/2024
    Hottest on record 43.0 19/03/2002 Coldest on record 5.8 29/03/2008
    Hottest this year 43.2° 26/01/2024 Coldest this year 15.2° 25/02/2024
    Long term average 32.7° Long term average 18.6°
    Average this month 36.0° Average this month 21.1°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.7° 2015 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 16.5° 2008
    Bourke rainfall history (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 20.0mm 18/03/2024 Total This Month 26.8mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 38.9mm 5.3 days Wettest March on record 189.6mm 2000
    Driest on record 1.0mm 2005
  15. Year to Date

    Bourke Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 108.3mm 15.9 day(s)
    Total For 2024 198.6mm 18.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 41.0mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 93.2mm Jan 8
    Lowest Temperature 15.2°C Feb25
    Highest Temperature 43.2°C Jan26
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bourke Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.5 35.6 32.7 28.0 22.5 18.8 18.8 21.3 26.0 29.6 32.3 35.4 28.2
    Mean Min (°C) 22.7 21.6 18.6 13.4 8.3 5.7 4.2 5.2 9.3 13.8 17.5 20.2 13.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 37.8 31.6 38.9 23.6 23.6 29.4 14.6 12.9 19.4 27.6 47.9 36.9 329.9
    Mean Rain Days 6.1 4.5 5.3 3.6 4.3 6.2 4.9 3.2 4.0 5.0 7.0 5.0 57.8