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Forecast

Bourke (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 10° 21°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:33am EST 6:58am EST 5:27pm EST 5:53pm EST
    NOW
    12.6° Feels Like: 10.9°
    Relative Humidity: 85%
    Dew: 10.1°
    Wind: SE 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1023.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bourke
    Now
    9.9°c
    Feels Like:
    6.6°
    Wind:
    E 15km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    10°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Bourke
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far W this afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far W this afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 20s.

    Forecast for Bourke (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Late shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 10° 11° 10° 10°
    Maximum 21° 22° 21° 21° 22° 20° 20°
    Chance of rain 30% 20% 50% 60% 30% 40% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE E ESE E E ENE ENE ENE ESE WSW SSW W SW W
    Relative humidity 75% 58% 82% 54% 80% 60% 85% 60% 87% 57% 84% 48% 77% 42%
    Dew point 11°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 10°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 11°C 8°C 9°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bourke Rain Forecast


    Bourke 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bourke Rain Forecast


    Bourke 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2022
    2023
    8
    8
    9
    9
    8
    8
    9
    8
    5
    7
    7
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 11

    ENSO status: La Niña, it is expected return to neutral state by early winter. IOD status: Neutral, models suggest it could enter a negative phase in the next month. SAM status: Positive and is expected to remain positive for the next month or so. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña phase and has not changed in strength during the past two weeks. La Niña events typically breaks down in autumn and while this current La Niña is persisting longer than usual, most models suggest it should end by early winter. However, one seasonal model operated by the U.S. National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) suggests that a La Niña-like signal could linger in the Pacific Ocean through the middle of the year and possibly remerge in the Southern Hemisphere’s spring. That being said, it is important to note that seasonal forecast models have lower accuracy at this time of year. This is called the autumn predictability barrier. The La Niña forecast will increase the likelihood of above-average rain in northern and eastern Australia during the remainder of Autumn, possibly into winter. Even as La Niña weakens it should continue to influence our climate. all five climate models suggest a negative phase will begin during late autumn or early winter. Climate models are forecasting strong negative IOD values by August, with the negative IOD event possibly lingering into spring. While a neutral IOD has little influence on our climate, a negative IOD increases the chance of above average autumn and winter rain for much of Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except southwest WA, parts of TAS and VIC. If a negative IOD does develop this winter, it will increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia, especially areas that had a wet summer and autumn.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bourke Rain Forecast


    Bourke 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bourke Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    May 18
    9.0 °C 19.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 19
    9.1 °C 17.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    May 20
    8.7 °C 20.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 21
    11.1 °C 21.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    May 22
    12.2 °C 22.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bourke minimum temp history (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.6° 03/05/2022 Coldest this month 3.4° 06/05/2022
    Hottest on record 32.1 01/05/2013 Coldest on record -1.7 31/05/2006
    Hottest this year 41.5° 03/01/2022 Coldest this year 3.4° 06/05/2022
    Long term average 22.6° Long term average 8.4°
    Average this month 21.4° Average this month 10.7°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.9° 2014 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 4.8° 2006
    Bourke rainfall history (30.0888°S, 145.9377°E, 96m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 31.6mm 11/05/2022 Total This Month 60.4mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 22.7mm 4.0 days Wettest May on record 109.4mm 2000
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2006
  15. Year to Date

    Bourke Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 152.9mm 23.7 day(s)
    Total For 2022 193.6mm 40.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2021 229.2mm 27.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 31.6mm May11
    Lowest Temperature 3.4°C May 6
    Highest Temperature 41.5°C Jan 3
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bourke Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.6 35.6 32.5 28.0 22.6 18.8 18.8 21.2 25.9 29.7 32.5 35.5 28.2
    Mean Min (°C) 22.7 21.7 18.5 13.5 8.4 5.8 4.1 5.1 9.3 13.8 17.5 20.3 13.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 33.2 33.1 40.3 23.6 22.7 30.4 12.9 12.7 18.9 22.8 45.5 39.6 324.5
    Mean Rain Days 5.8 4.7 5.5 3.7 4.0 6.3 4.7 2.9 4.0 4.7 6.6 5.0 56.1