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Forecast

Cobar (31.4982°S, 145.8407°E, 241m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 17° 29°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:37am EDT 7:02am EDT 7:58pm EDT 8:23pm EDT
    NOW
    19.9° Feels Like: 19.8°
    Relative Humidity: 79%
    Dew: 16.2°
    Wind: E 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.2mm
    Pressure: 1020.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Cobar
    Now
    20.4°c
    Feels Like:
    20.5°
    Wind:
    E 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    79%
    Mostly sunny
     
    17°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Cobar
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the east in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 33.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    17°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the northeast in the afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the east in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 33.

    Forecast for Cobar (31.4982°S, 145.8407°E, 241m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 17° 18° 21° 17° 15° 16° 20°
    Maximum 29° 32° 35° 31° 32° 34° 36°
    Chance of rain 20% 30% 20% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE ENE ENE NNE NW WSW SSE SSW S SSW SSE SSE ENE NNE
    Relative humidity 70% 43% 62% 34% 59% 27% 39% 14% 30% 12% 34% 16% 48% 22%
    Dew point 15°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 17°C 14°C 6°C -0°C 2°C -1°C 5°C 4°C 13°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Cobar Rain Forecast


    Cobar 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 March to 5 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 March to 16 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Cobar Rain Forecast


    Cobar 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    5
    8
    7
    8
    8
    5
    7
    7
    8
    8
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Cobar Rain Forecast


    Cobar 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 March to 5 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 March to 16 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Cobar Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    18.2 °C 28.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    15.3 °C 29.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Feb 21
    15.7 °C 29.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    17.6 °C 33.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 23
    19.0 °C 23 °C
    25.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Cobar minimum temp history (31.4982°S, 145.8407°E, 241m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 43.6° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 15.3° 20/02/2020
    Hottest on record 46.6 11/02/2017 Coldest on record 8.4 22/02/1993
    Hottest this year 45.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.3° 20/02/2020
    Long term average 33.4° Long term average 20.2°
    Average this month 32.4° Average this month 20.6°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 36.9° 2004 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 17.5° 1996
    Cobar rainfall history (31.4982°S, 145.8407°E, 241m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 25.8mm 23/02/2020 Total This Month 72.2mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 42.3mm 4.7 days Wettest February on record 188.9mm 1971
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Cobar Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 87.9mm 10.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 76.6mm 13.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 39.4mm 12.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 25.8mm Feb23
    Lowest Temperature 15.3°C Feb20
    Highest Temperature 45.9°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Cobar Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.2 33.4 30.1 25.3 20.1 16.5 15.8 18.0 22.0 26.2 29.7 32.6 25.3
    Mean Min (°C) 20.6 20.2 17.2 12.9 9.0 6.2 5.1 6.2 9.1 12.7 16.0 18.8 12.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 45.6 42.3 35.7 25.7 33.8 30.4 28.8 26.9 25.8 33.7 35.3 35.8 399.8
    Mean Rain Days 5.8 4.7 5.0 4.3 6.4 7.7 7.1 6.2 5.8 6.5 6.0 5.3 69.5