Forecast
Welshpool (31.9882°S, 115.9454°E, 17m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW16° 36° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:35am WST 5:03am WST 7:14pm WST 7:42pm WST NOW21.7° Feels Like: 19.2° Relative Humidity: 57% Dew: 12.8° Wind: SSW 17km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1019.8hPa -
Today Weather
WelshpoolNow20.8°cFeels Like:19.4°Wind:SSW 13km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:64%16°Min36°MaxToday in WelshpoolSunny. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then tending SE in the evening.Tomorrow16°Min36°MaxVery hot and sunny. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Welshpool
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then tending SE in the evening.
Forecast for Welshpool (31.9882°S, 115.9454°E, 17m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 16° 18° 20° 24° 23° 23° 21° Maximum 36° 38° 40° 41° 41° 43° 34° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 30% 10% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 21
(km/h)26
(km/h)34
(km/h)24
(km/h)31
(km/h)17
(km/h)24
(km/h)20
(km/h)13
(km/h)28
(km/h)13
(km/h)26
(km/h)14
(km/h)28
(km/h)Wind direction E SW E ESE ENE ESE NE SW N W NE WSW WSW WSW Relative humidity 30% 17% 31% 14% 25% 13% 15% 10% 16% 13% 27% 17% 44% 32% Dew point 8°C 7°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 4°C 4°C 6°C 7°C 13°C 14°C 15°C 15°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Welshpool Rain Forecast
Welshpool 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
LOW25
26
27
28
29
30
31
LOWJan 1
2
LOW3
4
5
6
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 9Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Welshpool Rain Forecast
Welshpool 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020685756445829105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Welshpool Rain Forecast
Welshpool 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
LOW25
26
27
28
29
30
31
LOWJan 1
2
LOW3
4
5
6
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 9Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Welshpool Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Dec 0520.1 °C 40.7 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 0624.2 °C 40.9 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 0717.7 °C 27.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 0813.4 °C 26.0 °C 0.4 mmMonday
Dec 0912.2 °C 31 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Welshpool minimum temp history (31.9882°S, 115.9454°E, 17m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 40.9° 03/12/2019 Coldest this month 13.2° 01/12/2019 Hottest on record 44.5 26/12/2007 Coldest on record 4.8 02/12/2002 Hottest this year 42.9° 20/01/2019 Coldest this year 1.5° 18/05/2019 Long term average 29.0° Long term average 14.9° Average this month 35.4° Average this month 18.1° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.4° 1999 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 12.1° 1944 Welshpool rainfall history (31.9882°S, 115.9454°E, 17m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.4mm 08/12/2019 Total This Month 0.4mm
1.0 daysLong Term Average 11.2mm 4.0 days Wettest December on record 67.4mm 1999 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for WA
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Year to Date
Welshpool Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 765.5mm 112.7 day(s) Total For 2019 514.8mm 83.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 716.0mm 101.0 day(s) Wettest Day 41.0mm Jun23 Lowest Temperature 1.5°C May18 Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan20 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Welshpool Climatology
Welshpool Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.8 32.0 29.7 25.6 21.8 19.0 17.9 18.6 20.2 22.7 26.0 29.0 24.5 Mean Min (°C) 17.1 17.5 15.9 13.0 10.4 9.0 8.0 8.0 8.9 10.3 12.7 14.9 12.1 Mean Rain (mm) 10.0 15.3 16.4 40.5 98.8 157.3 155.3 117.8 73.1 43.6 26.2 11.2 765.9 Mean Rain Days 2.5 2.8 4.0 7.4 12.5 16.6 17.7 15.8 13.4 9.4 6.6 4.0 111.4