Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Western Australia
Issued at 08:52 AM WST on Friday 08 November 2024
for the period until midnight WST Saturday 09 November 2024
Wind Warnings for Friday 08 November
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Ningaloo Coast and Gascoyne Coast
Wind Warnings for Saturday 09 November
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Perth Local Waters, Geraldton Coast, Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast and Eucla Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:00 pm WST Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Swanbourne (31.9825°S, 115.7706°E, 19m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY13° 22° Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:47am WST 5:13am WST 6:48pm WST 7:15pm WST NOW15.7° Feels Like: 14.5° Relative Humidity: 84% Dew: 13.0° Wind: S 11km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
SwanbourneNow18.1°cFeels Like:17.4°Wind:S 7km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:70%13°Min22°MaxToday in SwanbournePartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and early afternoon. Winds E/SE 15 to 20 km/h turning S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning then becoming light in the late evening.Tomorrow13°Min23°MaxCloudy. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and early afternoon. Winds E/SE 15 to 20 km/h turning S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning then becoming light in the late evening.
Forecast for Swanbourne (31.9825°S, 115.7706°E, 19m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 13° 13° 13° 14° 14° 14° 14° Maximum 22° 23° 23° 24° 24° 24° 27° Chance of rain 70% 5% 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)21
(km/h)13
(km/h)27
(km/h)8
(km/h)29
(km/h)6
(km/h)27
(km/h)13
(km/h)29
(km/h)10
(km/h)29
(km/h)12
(km/h)24
(km/h)Wind direction SE SW SE SSW SE SW S SW SSW SW SSE SW SSE SW Relative humidity 80% 74% 67% 63% 62% 66% 68% 71% 67% 67% 62% 65% 62% 69% Dew point 13°C 15°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 14°C 15°C 16°C 14°C 15°C 13°C 15°C 15°C 18°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Swanbourne Rain Forecast
Swanbourne 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct202420257889857135103105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Oct 1
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Swanbourne Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Nov 0412.2 °C 21.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Nov 0514.6 °C 22.0 °C 1.0 mmWednesday
Nov 0615.3 °C 21.0 °C 0.4 mmThursday
Nov 0711.1 °C 21.0 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 0813.7 °C 17.5 °C 0.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Swanbourne minimum temp history (31.9825°S, 115.7706°E, 19m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.9° 01/11/2024 Coldest this month 11.1° 07/11/2024 Hottest on record 41.1 11/11/2003 Coldest on record 4.3 13/11/1993 Hottest this year 43.0° 18/02/2024 Coldest this year 5.6° 25/06/2024 Long term average 25.4° Long term average 14.8° Average this month 22.2° Average this month 14.1° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.0° 2010 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 12.6° 2005 Swanbourne rainfall history (31.9825°S, 115.7706°E, 19m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 1.0mm 05/11/2024 Total This Month 3.0mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 23.2mm 5.3 days Wettest November on record 77.0mm 2008 Driest on record 1.0mm 1999 -
Year to Date
Swanbourne Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 713.5mm 109.2 day(s) Total For 2024 510.0mm 107.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 612.8mm 99.0 day(s) Wettest Day 47.8mm Jun 2 Lowest Temperature 5.6°C Jun25 Highest Temperature 43.0°C Feb18 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Swanbourne Climatology
Swanbourne Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.8 30.5 28.8 25.3 22.2 19.4 18.5 18.9 20.0 22.3 25.4 28.1 24.0 Mean Min (°C) 18.3 18.8 17.6 15.2 12.6 10.7 9.9 10.2 11.1 12.5 14.8 16.8 14.0 Mean Rain (mm) 16.8 12.1 21.3 37.5 87.7 128.1 151.1 116.7 76.8 42.2 23.2 9.9 730.4 Mean Rain Days 2.4 2.1 4.0 7.2 11.8 16.6 18.8 17.4 14.8 8.8 5.3 3.3 112.9