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Forecast

Manjimup (34.243°S, 116.1447°E, 278m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 22°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:37am WST 6:02am WST 6:13pm WST 6:38pm WST
    NOW
    9.7° Feels Like: 8.8°
    Relative Humidity: 88%
    Dew: 7.8°
    Wind: S 2km/h
    Gust: 4km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Manjimup
    Now
    8.9°c
    Feels Like:
    6.8°
    Wind:
    NE 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Manjimup
    Mostly sunny. Winds E 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E 25 to 40 km/h tending E/NE 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Manjimup

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Winds E 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Manjimup (34.243°S, 116.1447°E, 278m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 10° 10°
    Maximum 22° 20° 19° 20° 18° 19° 19°
    Chance of rain 30% 50% 80% 60% 50% 40% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 22
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E ENE ENE N WNW NNW WNW NNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 68% 49% 69% 53% 82% 77% 81% 68% 82% 64% 77% 66% 79% 63%
    Dew point 8°C 11°C 7°C 10°C 14°C 13°C 12°C 13°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Manjimup Rain Forecast


    Manjimup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    LOW
    30
    Oct 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 September to 3 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 26 October to 30 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 September to 3 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 September to 3 October, 3 October to 7 October, and 26 October to 30 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Manjimup Rain Forecast


    Manjimup 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    5
    5
    7
    6
    8
    8
    7
    5
    5
    3
    3
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Manjimup Rain Forecast


    Manjimup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    LOW
    30
    Oct 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 September to 3 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 26 October to 30 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 September to 3 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 September to 3 October, 3 October to 7 October, and 26 October to 30 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Manjimup Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Sep 18
    - -
    -
    Saturday
    Sep 19
    - -
    -
    Sunday
    Sep 20
    - -
    -
    Monday
    Sep 21
    - -
    -
    Tuesday
    Sep 22
    - -
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Manjimup minimum temp history (34.243°S, 116.1447°E, 278m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.5° 15/09/2020 Coldest this month 4.3° 11/09/2020
    Hottest on record 28.5 20/09/2014 Coldest on record 0.6 17/09/1958
    Hottest this year 39.3° 05/02/2020 Coldest this year 3.2° 30/08/2020
    Long term average 16.6° Long term average 7.5°
    Average this month 17.5° Average this month 8.0°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.9° 1987 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 5.6° 1968
    Manjimup rainfall history (34.243°S, 116.1447°E, 278m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 41.6mm 07/09/2020 Total This Month 94.2mm
    14.0 days
    Long Term Average 108.7mm 17.6 days Wettest September on record 256.5mm 1917
    Driest on record 23.9mm 1916
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Manjimup Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 846.6mm 129.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 512.2mm 105.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 593.0mm 128.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 41.6mm Sep 7
    Lowest Temperature 3.2°C Aug30
    Highest Temperature 39.3°C Feb 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Manjimup Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.5 27.4 25.1 21.3 17.9 15.5 14.5 15.2 16.6 19.1 22.2 25.2 20.6
    Mean Min (°C) 13.4 13.7 12.8 11.1 9.2 7.6 6.6 6.7 7.5 8.6 10.4 11.9 9.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 19.8 18.7 29.6 59.2 129.8 161.5 174.0 145.3 108.7 74.7 46.1 25.3 991.5
    Mean Rain Days 5.9 5.9 7.6 11.6 17.5 20.0 22.2 20.9 17.6 15.0 10.4 7.3 160.0