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Forecast

Rocky Gully (34.5094°S, 117.0117°E, 240m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 12° 26°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:03am WST 6:29am WST 6:00pm WST 6:25pm WST
    NOW
    15.7° Feels Like: 14.4°
    Relative Humidity: 71%
    Dew: 10.5°
    Wind: E 7km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Rocky Gully
    Now
    15.5°c
    Feels Like:
    14.1°
    Wind:
    E 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    83%
    Mostly sunny
     
    12°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Rocky Gully
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the east. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    12°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 14 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Rocky Gully

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the east. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Rocky Gully (34.5094°S, 117.0117°E, 240m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Possible shower
    Minimum 12° 13° 16° 17° 17° 17° 14°
    Maximum 26° 30° 33° 35° 34° 31° 21°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 30% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E ENE ENE NE NNE NNE NNW NE NE NNW WNW WSW SSW
    Relative humidity 71% 33% 57% 29% 43% 24% 43% 26% 48% 25% 44% 48% 76% 52%
    Dew point 12°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 12°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 17°C 13°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Rocky Gully Rain Forecast


    Rocky Gully 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    HIGH
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 April to 22 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 April to 14 April, and 29 April to 3 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 April to 16 April, 18 April to 22 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Rocky Gully Rain Forecast


    Rocky Gully 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    5
    7
    6
    6
    6
    6
    6
    7
    8
    5
    1
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Rocky Gully Rain Forecast


    Rocky Gully 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    HIGH
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 April to 22 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 April to 14 April, and 29 April to 3 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 April to 16 April, 18 April to 22 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Rocky Gully Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    11.3 °C 23.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    13.7 °C 18.0 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03
    10.0 °C 15.7 °C
    2.6 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    4.4 °C 20.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    9.9 °C 19 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Rocky Gully minimum temp history (34.5094°S, 117.0117°E, 240m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.6° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 4.4° 04/04/2020
    Hottest on record 35.0 08/04/2013 Coldest on record 2.8 24/04/2002
    Hottest this year 40.6° 06/02/2020 Coldest this year 3.2° 04/01/2020
    Long term average 21.9° Long term average 10.9°
    Average this month 19.6° Average this month 9.9°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.6° 1999 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 9.6° 2005
    Rocky Gully rainfall history (34.5094°S, 117.0117°E, 240m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.6mm 03/04/2020 Total This Month 2.8mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 54.8mm 13.4 days Wettest April on record 203.0mm 2005
    Driest on record 7.8mm 2001
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Rocky Gully Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 131.9mm 36.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 105.4mm 43.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 70.6mm 25.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 14.0mm Feb13
    Lowest Temperature 3.2°C Jan 4
    Highest Temperature 40.6°C Feb 6
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Rocky Gully Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.6 27.4 25.1 21.9 18.5 15.6 14.6 15.3 16.5 19.3 23.2 25.4 20.9
    Mean Min (°C) 12.7 13.2 12.4 10.9 9.2 7.6 6.4 6.7 7.1 8.1 9.8 11.0 9.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 21.2 18.3 37.6 54.8 77.7 132.7 110.5 100.4 98.3 56.5 39.7 31.5 765.1
    Mean Rain Days 7.0 6.5 9.6 13.4 17.0 18.6 20.0 19.4 20.4 16.4 11.7 8.2 162.2