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Forecast

Rocky Gully (34.5094°S, 117.0117°E, 240m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly cloudy 10° 18°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:27am WST 6:53am WST 5:23pm WST 5:50pm WST
    NOW
    12.5° Feels Like: 10.6°
    Relative Humidity: 82%
    Dew: 9.5°
    Wind: NW 9km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.8mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Rocky Gully
    Now
    14.6°c
    Feels Like:
    12.6°
    Wind:
    NW 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    83%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    10°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Rocky Gully
    Becoming cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the W in the morning and early afternoon. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    10°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the coast. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Rocky Gully

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Becoming cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the W in the morning and early afternoon. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s.

    Forecast for Rocky Gully (34.5094°S, 117.0117°E, 240m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Clearing shower Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
    Minimum 10° 10° 10° 12°
    Maximum 18° 20° 22° 15° 15° 17° 18°
    Chance of rain 30% 5% 80% 60% 10% 20% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW WSW N NE NNE NNW SSW S ESE ESE E E ENE ENE
    Relative humidity 90% 74% 92% 60% 82% 54% 96% 70% 80% 64% 88% 65% 89% 63%
    Dew point 12°C 13°C 12°C 10°C 11°C 11°C 13°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Rocky Gully Rain Forecast


    Rocky Gully 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    Jun 1
    2
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 6 June to 10 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 May to 17 May, and 17 May to 21 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 May to 25 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 8 June to 12 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Rocky Gully Rain Forecast


    Rocky Gully 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2021
    2022
    7
    6
    6
    7
    6
    5
    7
    8
    9
    6
    7
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Apr 14

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, potentially trending negative during winter. SAM status: Positive. La Niña has concluded, with neutral conditions expected until at least the end of Autumn. A few models are predicting La Niña conditions to return later this year, while the majority of models predict neutral conditions. While La Niña has returned to neutral, the oceans around northern Australia are warmer than normal. This is expected to generate above normal rainfall for much of Australia during the next month or so. Some models are suggesting a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) may develop during winter, which would increase rainfall across parts of Australia during winter. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northern coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC, most of TAS and southwest WA are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to bewetter than normal, apart from far southwestern WA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The negative IOD may be playing a part in this, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across Australia's snowfields. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Rocky Gully Rain Forecast


    Rocky Gully 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    Jun 1
    2
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 6 June to 10 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 May to 17 May, and 17 May to 21 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 May to 25 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 8 June to 12 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Rocky Gully Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    May 04
    12.2 °C 19.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    May 05
    14.0 °C 21.7 °C
    0.6 mm
    Thursday
    May 06
    11.3 °C 17.9 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    May 07
    9.7 °C 17.2 °C
    11.8 mm
    Saturday
    May 08
    7.6 °C 18.1 °C
    1.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Rocky Gully minimum temp history (34.5094°S, 117.0117°E, 240m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.7° 05/05/2021 Coldest this month 7.6° 08/05/2021
    Hottest on record 29.0 02/05/2003 Coldest on record 1.2 29/05/2015
    Hottest this year 39.6° 09/01/2021 Coldest this year 6.5° 12/01/2021
    Long term average 18.5° Long term average 9.0°
    Average this month 18.3° Average this month 11.1°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.3° 2003 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 7.4° 2015
    Rocky Gully rainfall history (34.5094°S, 117.0117°E, 240m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.8mm 07/05/2021 Total This Month 15.6mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 75.9mm 17.4 days Wettest May on record 155.2mm 2014
    Driest on record 33.8mm 2018
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Rocky Gully Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 206.4mm 55.9 day(s)
    Total For 2021 254.4mm 51.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 181.4mm 58.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 56.6mm Feb 8
    Lowest Temperature 6.5°C Jan12
    Highest Temperature 39.6°C Jan 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Rocky Gully Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.5 27.3 25.1 21.9 18.5 15.7 14.7 15.4 16.6 19.4 23.1 25.7 20.9
    Mean Min (°C) 12.6 13.3 12.6 10.9 9.0 7.6 6.4 6.7 7.1 8.2 9.8 11.0 9.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 20.5 19.8 36.7 53.5 75.9 128.2 109.8 103.2 94.9 54.7 39.0 29.4 728.4
    Mean Rain Days 7.4 6.9 10.2 14.0 17.4 20.1 21.7 21.7 20.4 16.2 11.8 8.1 169.9