Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:56 AM EDT on Sunday 24 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Wimmera, North East, South West, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts and parts of the Mallee, Northern Country and Central forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday and Monday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
North Central forecast district
Stone fruit growers in the North Central forecast district are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday and Monday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EDT Sunday.
Forecast
Warrnambool (38.3833°S, 142.483°E, 25m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY13° 21° clearing shower Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:33am EDT 6:03am EDT 8:31pm EDT 9:02pm EDT NOW16.9° Feels Like: 15.7° Relative Humidity: 96% Dew: 16.3° Wind: S 17km/h Gust: 22km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1017.8hPa -
Today Weather
WarrnamboolNow16.3°cFeels Like:15.3°Wind:S 13km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:91%13°Min21°MaxToday in WarrnamboolCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the NE, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N during the morning and afternoon. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.Tomorrow12°Min24°MaxCloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds E/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the NE, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N during the morning and afternoon. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.
Forecast for Warrnambool (38.3833°S, 142.483°E, 25m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 13° 12° 15° 13° 11° 11° 12° Maximum 21° 24° 27° 22° 21° 25° 25° Chance of rain 20% 10% 50% 60% 60% 90% 60% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)24
(km/h)15
(km/h)25
(km/h)13
(km/h)19
(km/h)22
(km/h)34
(km/h)24
(km/h)30
(km/h)20
(km/h)27
(km/h)18
(km/h)24
(km/h)Wind direction S SSW SE S ENE S NNW SW S S ENE SSE NNW SSW Relative humidity 97% 93% 87% 67% 79% 62% 82% 68% 77% 68% 80% 70% 79% 67% Dew point 16°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 19°C 17°C 14°C 14°C 13°C 14°C 14°C 18°C 16°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Warrnambool Rain Forecast
Warrnambool 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025578665674966105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Warrnambool Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Nov 207.7 °C 18.6 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 212.4 °C 27.5 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 2210.9 °C 36.9 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Nov 2319.9 °C 34.5 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Nov 2416.1 °C 17.0 °C 1.8 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Warrnambool minimum temp history (38.3833°S, 142.483°E, 25m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.9° 22/11/2024 Coldest this month 1.3° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 38.3 29/11/2012 Coldest on record 0.8 01/11/2006 Hottest this year 40.7° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year -2.4° 04/07/2024 Long term average 20.4° Long term average 9.2° Average this month 23.0° Average this month 8.0° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.4° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 7.0° 1998 Warrnambool rainfall history (38.3833°S, 142.483°E, 25m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 5.2mm 18/11/2024 Total This Month 18.2mm
11.0 daysLong Term Average 52.2mm 13.7 days Wettest November on record 129.4mm 2001 Driest on record 12.6mm 2000 -
Year to Date
Warrnambool Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 692.7mm 181.1 day(s) Total For 2024 488.0mm 169.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 622.8mm 180.0 day(s) Wettest Day 74.6mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature -2.4°C Jul 4 Highest Temperature 40.7°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Warrnambool Climatology
Warrnambool Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.6 24.6 23.1 19.9 16.5 14.1 13.5 14.5 16.1 18.0 20.4 22.5 19.0 Mean Min (°C) 12.0 12.3 11.0 9.1 7.4 5.9 5.5 5.9 6.8 7.6 9.2 10.3 8.6 Mean Rain (mm) 40.4 30.5 45.2 52.8 74.6 79.3 83.8 89.1 73.8 71.0 52.2 45.3 742.6 Mean Rain Days 9.1 8.7 12.7 15.7 20.2 20.2 21.8 21.7 19.3 18.0 13.7 12.2 193.6