Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:56 AM EDT on Sunday 24 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Wimmera, North East, South West, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts and parts of the Mallee, Northern Country and Central forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday and Monday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
North Central forecast district
Stone fruit growers in the North Central forecast district are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday and Monday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EDT Sunday.
Forecast
Port Fairy (38.3855°S, 142.2367°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY
14° 21° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 30% Likely amount: < 1mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 5:33am EDT 6:04am EDT 8:32pm EDT 9:03pm EDT NOW16.4° Feels Like: 15.5° Relative Humidity: 91% Dew: 14.9° Wind: S 13km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1019.0hPa -
Today Weather
Port FairyNow16.6°cFeels Like:14.9°Wind:S 19km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:95%
14°Min21°MaxToday in Port FairyCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the NE, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N during the morning and afternoon. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.Tomorrow
13°Min23°MaxCloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds E/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the NE, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N during the morning and afternoon. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.
Forecast for Port Fairy (38.3855°S, 142.2367°E, 0m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary 
Minimum 14° 13° 15° 14° 13° 13° 14° Maximum 21° 23° 26° 22° 21° 24° 24° Chance of rain 30% 30% 60% 80% 60% 70% 70% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 14
(km/h)20
(km/h)19
(km/h)24
(km/h)9
(km/h)16
(km/h)20
(km/h)29
(km/h)24
(km/h)26
(km/h)19
(km/h)23
(km/h)15
(km/h)21
(km/h)Wind direction SSE S SE SSE E SSE WNW SW SSE SSE E SSE WNW SW Relative humidity 93% 88% 89% 82% 86% 82% 85% 76% 80% 76% 82% 80% 83% 80% Dew point 17°C 18°C 16°C 20°C 20°C 20°C 15°C 18°C 13°C 16°C 16°C 20°C 16°C 20°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Port Fairy Rain Forecast
Port Fairy 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025578665674966105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Port Fairy Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Nov 2011.8 °C 18.0 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 219.4 °C - 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 22- 28.7 °C -Saturday
Nov 2320.2 °C 33.8 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Nov 2415.5 °C 16.8 °C 1.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Port Fairy minimum temp history (38.3855°S, 142.2367°E, 0m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 34.0° 16/11/2024 Coldest this month 6.2° 05/11/2024 Hottest on record 38.5 29/11/2012 Coldest on record 2.7 23/11/1994 Hottest this year 41.0° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 1.0° 04/07/2024 Long term average 19.9° Long term average 11.2° Average this month 21.9° Average this month 11.0° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.8° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 9.9° 1998 Port Fairy rainfall history (38.3855°S, 142.2367°E, 0m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 7.2mm 17/11/2024 Total This Month 21.0mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 46.3mm 11.6 days Wettest November on record 93.8mm 2001 Driest on record 10.6mm 2006 -
Year to Date
Port Fairy Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 639.4mm 165.0 day(s) Total For 2024 413.8mm 141.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 635.0mm 157.0 day(s) Wettest Day 21.0mm Jul20 Lowest Temperature 1.0°C Jul 4 Highest Temperature 41.0°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Port Fairy Climatology
Port Fairy Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 22.7 22.7 21.6 19.4 16.8 14.7 14.2 15.1 16.6 18.3 19.9 21.3 18.6 Mean Min (°C) 14.2 14.4 13.1 10.9 9.1 7.6 7.0 7.3 8.4 9.5 11.2 12.6 10.4 Mean Rain (mm) 32.2 28.9 37.1 48.5 69.3 79.2 88.5 85.3 67.5 56.6 46.3 40.6 682.6 Mean Rain Days 7.7 7.3 11.6 14.6 18.7 19.0 20.7 20.6 17.5 15.7 11.6 10.6 175.4
