Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 04:57 PM EDT on Sunday 24 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Wimmera, North East, South West, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts and parts of the Mallee, Northern Country and Central forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday and Monday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
North Central forecast district
Stone fruit growers in the North Central forecast district are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday and Monday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EDT Sunday.
Forecast
Tatura (36.4401°S, 145.2278°E, 108m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW17° 22° Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:27am EDT 5:56am EDT 8:16pm EDT 8:46pm EDT NOW19.4° Feels Like: 22.8° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 19.4° Wind: N 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 10.8mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
TaturaNow19.2°cFeels Like:22.5°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:100%17°Min22°MaxToday in TaturaCloudy. Very high chance of showers in the E, high chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.Tomorrow17°Min22°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the high 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the E, high chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for Tatura (36.4401°S, 145.2278°E, 108m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 17° 16° 17° 14° 15° 16° 14° Maximum 22° 27° 26° 26° 29° 27° 27° Chance of rain 90% 80% 80% 50% 60% 70% 10% Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)10
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)16
(km/h)20
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)11
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction S SE ENE NNW NE NNE SE W ENE NNE ESE W SSW WSW Relative humidity 93% 82% 87% 61% 82% 59% 73% 50% 72% 48% 74% 50% 71% 44% Dew point 17°C 18°C 19°C 17°C 19°C 16°C 15°C 14°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 14°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Tatura Rain Forecast
Tatura 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025778674675945105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Tatura Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Nov 209.3 °C 28.3 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 2110.4 °C - 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 22- 36.1 °C -Saturday
Nov 2321.1 °C - 0.0 mmSunday
Nov 2420.4 °C 22.2 °C -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Tatura minimum temp history (36.4401°S, 145.2278°E, 108m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.6° 23/11/2024 Coldest this month 5.8° 09/11/2024 Hottest on record 40.3 20/11/2007 Coldest on record 0.5 04/11/2003 Hottest this year 38.5° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year -4.2° 19/06/2024 Long term average 24.9° Long term average 10.4° Average this month 27.4° Average this month 11.0° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.0° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 8.0° 1996 Tatura rainfall history (36.4401°S, 145.2278°E, 108m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 4.4mm 17/11/2024 Total This Month 5.6mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 39.8mm 7.5 days Wettest November on record 122.2mm 1952 Driest on record 2.3mm 1967 -
Year to Date
Tatura Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 447.6mm 100.5 day(s) Total For 2024 348.6mm 84.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 439.2mm 93.0 day(s) Wettest Day 52.2mm Jan 3 Lowest Temperature -4.2°C Jun19 Highest Temperature 38.5°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Tatura Climatology
Tatura Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.8 29.5 26.4 21.7 17.2 13.9 13.1 14.8 17.6 21.2 24.9 27.7 21.4 Mean Min (°C) 14.4 14.5 12.0 8.4 5.7 3.7 3.0 3.9 5.4 7.6 10.4 12.4 8.4 Mean Rain (mm) 35.0 31.8 34.3 35.7 44.1 45.2 46.4 46.4 41.9 47.0 39.8 35.2 482.1 Mean Rain Days 4.8 4.3 5.2 6.9 10.8 13.0 14.9 13.0 10.6 9.5 7.5 6.1 106.4