Forecast
Tatura (36.4401°S, 145.2278°E, 108m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY18° 30° rain developing Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:56am EDT 7:21am EDT 7:31pm EDT 7:57pm EDT NOW27.5° Feels Like: 27.4° Relative Humidity: 62% Dew: 19.6° Wind: NE 19km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 8.8mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
TaturaNow27.2°cFeels Like:29.0°Wind:NE 9km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:64%18°Min30°MaxToday in TaturaPartly cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely at night. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h turning W 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.Tomorrow12°Min20°MaxSunny. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h turning S 25 to 40 km/h in the late morning then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 22. -
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Tatura
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely at night. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h turning W 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.
Forecast for Tatura (36.4401°S, 145.2278°E, 108m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 18° 12° 7° 8° 11° 9° 8° Maximum 30° 20° 22° 24° 24° 25° 27° Chance of rain 90% 5% 5% 5% 20% 5% 5% Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate High Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 22
(km/h)16
(km/h)25
(km/h)28
(km/h)11
(km/h)7
(km/h)12
(km/h)6
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction NE NNW SW SSW S WSW ENE WSW SSW SSW SSW SW SSW W Relative humidity 67% 74% 65% 35% 66% 35% 73% 40% 73% 37% 77% 33% 72% 34% Dew point 16°C 21°C 8°C 3°C 5°C 5°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 10°C 7°C 9°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Tatura Rain Forecast
Tatura 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Tatura Rain Forecast
Tatura 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025555766657699105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Tatura Rain Forecast
Tatura 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Tatura Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1514.4 °C 29.2 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
Mar 1616.1 °C 27.9 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1714.3 °C 28.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 1814.2 °C 30.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Mar 1916.7 °C 27.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Tatura minimum temp history (36.4401°S, 145.2278°E, 108m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.9° 09/03/2024 Coldest this month 9.5° 05/03/2024 Hottest on record 39.6 12/03/1998 Coldest on record 3.3 30/03/1965 Hottest this year 38.5° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 9.5° 05/03/2024 Long term average 26.4° Long term average 12.0° Average this month 30.5° Average this month 14.9° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.5° 2017 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 9.3° 1970 Tatura rainfall history (36.4401°S, 145.2278°E, 108m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.2mm 14/03/2024 Total This Month 0.4mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 34.6mm 5.3 days Wettest March on record 184.2mm 1950 Driest on record 0.0mm 2003 -
Year to Date
Tatura Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 101.3mm 14.3 day(s) Total For 2024 155.0mm 17.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 52.4mm 12.0 day(s) Wettest Day 52.2mm Jan 3 Lowest Temperature 9.5°C Mar 5 Highest Temperature 38.5°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Tatura Climatology
Tatura Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.8 29.5 26.4 21.7 17.2 13.9 13.1 14.7 17.5 21.2 24.9 27.7 21.4 Mean Min (°C) 14.4 14.4 12.0 8.4 5.7 3.7 3.0 3.9 5.4 7.6 10.4 12.4 8.4 Mean Rain (mm) 35.0 31.7 34.6 35.8 44.1 45.4 46.6 46.7 42.2 47.0 39.8 35.2 482.1 Mean Rain Days 4.8 4.2 5.3 6.9 10.9 13.1 14.8 13.0 10.6 9.5 7.5 6.1 106.4