Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 04:57 PM EDT on Sunday 24 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Wimmera, North East, South West, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts and parts of the Mallee, Northern Country and Central forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday and Monday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
North Central forecast district
Stone fruit growers in the North Central forecast district are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday and Monday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EDT Sunday.
Forecast
Shepparton (36.3812°S, 145.3993°E, 105m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW
17° 23° Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 10-20mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 5:26am EDT 5:56am EDT 8:16pm EDT 8:45pm EDT NOW19.8° Feels Like: 21.0° Relative Humidity: 97% Dew: 19.3° Wind: E 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 8.8mm Pressure: 1015.7hPa -
Today Weather
SheppartonNow20.2°cFeels Like:22.6°Wind:E 7km/hGusts:7km/hHumidity:100%
17°Min23°MaxToday in SheppartonCloudy. Very high chance of showers in the E, high chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.Tomorrow
17°Min23°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the high 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the E, high chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for Shepparton (36.3812°S, 145.3993°E, 105m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary 
Minimum 17° 17° 18° 14° 15° 16° 14° Maximum 23° 28° 27° 28° 30° 28° 28° Chance of rain 90% 90% 80% 50% 70% 80% 20% Likely amount 10-20mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)12
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)23
(km/h)17
(km/h)20
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)18
(km/h)14
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction SSE ESE NE N ENE NNE SE NW ENE NE E W SSW WSW Relative humidity 90% 81% 85% 65% 79% 62% 72% 48% 69% 46% 70% 46% 66% 42% Dew point 18°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 17°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 13°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Shepparton Rain Forecast
Shepparton 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025778674675945105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Shepparton Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Nov 209.7 °C 29.3 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 2110.4 °C - 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 22- - -Saturday
Nov 23- 37.7 °C -Sunday
Nov 2421.9 °C 23.0 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Shepparton minimum temp history (36.3812°S, 145.3993°E, 105m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 37.7° 23/11/2024 Coldest this month 5.0° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 41.2 19/11/2009 Coldest on record 0.3 02/11/1998 Hottest this year 39.0° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year -3.6° 19/06/2024 Long term average 26.2° Long term average 10.9° Average this month 27.8° Average this month 11.3° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.2° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 8.0° 1996 Shepparton rainfall history (36.3812°S, 145.3993°E, 105m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 14.4mm 17/11/2024 Total This Month 15.8mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 45.2mm 7.0 days Wettest November on record 123.0mm 2008 Driest on record 7.6mm 2012 -
Year to Date
Shepparton Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 418.3mm 96.6 day(s) Total For 2024 417.8mm 80.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 464.2mm 103.0 day(s) Wettest Day 78.4mm Jan 3 Lowest Temperature -3.6°C Jun19 Highest Temperature 39.0°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Shepparton Climatology
Shepparton Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 32.0 31.0 27.5 22.5 17.6 14.1 13.4 15.0 18.3 22.1 26.2 29.2 22.4 Mean Min (°C) 15.5 15.1 12.6 8.7 5.6 3.8 3.4 3.8 5.5 7.6 10.9 13.0 8.7 Mean Rain (mm) 34.4 32.8 33.1 37.1 35.3 42.6 40.2 44.4 36.4 36.8 45.2 29.4 448.9 Mean Rain Days 5.3 4.5 5.3 5.8 9.8 12.9 14.9 12.8 9.7 8.6 7.0 5.9 102.8
