Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:16 AM EDT on Saturday 23 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in parts of the Mallee, Wimmera, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity late Saturday and during Sunday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Northern Country, North Central, North East and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts and parts of the East Gippsland forecast district are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity late Saturday and during Sunday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EDT Saturday.
Forecast
Menzies Creek (37.9213°S, 145.4035°E, 312m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TODAY
20° 31° late shower Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 5:23am EDT 5:53am EDT 8:18pm EDT 8:48pm EDT NOW31.0° Feels Like: 29.4° Relative Humidity: 21% Dew: 6.1° Wind: SE 4km/h Gust: 6km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1079.4hPa -
Today Weather
Menzies CreekNow34.9°cFeels Like:31.5°Wind:N 17km/hGusts:22km/hHumidity:21%
20°Min31°MaxToday in Menzies CreekPartly cloudy. Medium to high chance of showers in the late afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 25 to 40 km/h shifting cooler SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon to early evening, then tending S in the evening.Tomorrow
16°Min19°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
-
Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
-
7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium to high chance of showers in the late afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 25 to 40 km/h shifting cooler SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon to early evening, then tending S in the evening.
Forecast for Menzies Creek (37.9213°S, 145.4035°E, 312m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary 
Minimum 20° 16° 14° 15° 11° 9° 9° Maximum 31° 19° 20° 21° 19° 18° 24° Chance of rain 80% 50% 50% 60% 80% 60% 60% Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 5-10mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating High No Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)8
(km/h)2
(km/h)2
(km/h)2
(km/h)2
(km/h)6
(km/h)5
(km/h)9
(km/h)8
(km/h)7
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)7
(km/h)Wind direction NNE NNW S SSW S S N N NW WNW S SSE ESE ESE Relative humidity 33% 20% 98% 82% 93% 72% 87% 65% 84% 71% 85% 70% 75% 59% Dew point 9°C 6°C 17°C 14°C 14°C 13°C 16°C 13°C 13°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 15°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Menzies Creek Rain Forecast
Menzies Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025567665574656105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Long range rainfall forecast
-
Past 5 Days
Menzies Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Nov 197.8 °C 15.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 206.5 °C 19.5 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 218.5 °C 28.7 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 2217.5 °C 31.8 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Nov 2324.0 °C 31.5 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Menzies Creek minimum temp history (37.9213°S, 145.4035°E, 312m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 31.8° 22/11/2024 Coldest this month 4.0° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 33.6° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year 1.3° 28/07/2024 Long term average 19.0° Long term average 9.6° Average this month 20.9° Average this month 9.5° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Menzies Creek rainfall history (37.9213°S, 145.4035°E, 312m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 14.4mm 14/11/2024 Total This Month 24.8mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 124.6mm 16.2 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 59.4mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Menzies Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 1223.5mm 184.3 day(s) Total For 2024 1272.8mm 177.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 1149.8mm 202.0 day(s) Wettest Day 87.4mm Jul16 Lowest Temperature 1.3°C Jul28 Highest Temperature 33.6°C Mar10 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
- Giles
- Gladstone
-
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Menzies Creek Climatology
Menzies Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.2 23.6 21.3 16.8 12.9 10.4 9.8 11.2 14.0 16.8 19.0 21.8 16.6 Mean Min (°C) 13.2 13.0 12.2 9.9 7.7 5.9 5.3 5.5 6.8 8.1 9.6 11.2 8.9 Mean Rain (mm) 92.3 62.3 82.8 128.6 124.6 127.3 123.0 120.7 99.7 137.6 124.6 99.8 1298.4 Mean Rain Days 12.7 10.0 13.8 15.4 19.2 19.9 20.7 20.9 17.4 18.1 16.2 14.4 196.2
