Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Northern Country, North Central, North East, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:21 AM EDT on Tuesday 26 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Northern Country, North Central, North East, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Northern Country and West and South Gippsland forecast districts and parts of the Mallee, North Central, North East, Central and East Gippsland forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Tuesday and Wednesday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EDT Tuesday.
Forecast
Eagle Point (37.8954°S, 147.6681°E, 11m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY16° 26° Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:13am EDT 5:43am EDT 8:12pm EDT 8:42pm EDT NOW23.9° Feels Like: 23.8° Relative Humidity: 73% Dew: 18.8° Wind: SE 17km/h Gust: 24km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: 1006.7hPa -
Today Weather
Eagle PointNow24.7°cFeels Like:24.2°Wind:SE 20km/hGusts:22km/hHumidity:73%16°Min26°MaxToday in Eagle PointPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely later this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe, with possible heavy falls about the ranges. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.Tomorrow16°Min28°MaxCloudy. High chance of rain in the N, tending to showers in the S, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 28. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely later this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe, with possible heavy falls about the ranges. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.
Forecast for Eagle Point (37.8954°S, 147.6681°E, 11m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 16° 16° 16° 16° 17° 16° 14° Maximum 26° 28° 27° 25° 25° 25° 27° Chance of rain 90% 80% 40% 80% 70% 80% 40% Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Very High Extreme Very High Very High Extreme Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate No Rating No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)17
(km/h)8
(km/h)24
(km/h)10
(km/h)24
(km/h)12
(km/h)19
(km/h)15
(km/h)22
(km/h)15
(km/h)21
(km/h)Wind direction W S NNE NE S SSE SE SE SE SSE WSW SSW SW SE Relative humidity 95% 74% 89% 70% 81% 68% 87% 76% 90% 79% 81% 69% 74% 62% Dew point 20°C 21°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 17°C 17°C 16°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Eagle Point Rain Forecast
Eagle Point 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025577787786835105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Eagle Point Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Nov 2211.7 °C 31.9 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Nov 2313.2 °C 38.0 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Nov 2419.5 °C 24.1 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Nov 2517.6 °C 20.5 °C 7.4 mmTuesday
Nov 2617.6 °C 26.5 °C 14.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Eagle Point minimum temp history (37.8954°S, 147.6681°E, 11m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 38.0° 23/11/2024 Coldest this month 3.1° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 43.5 26/11/1997 Coldest on record 1.6 05/11/2008 Hottest this year 39.0° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year -1.8° 07/07/2024 Long term average 21.8° Long term average 9.8° Average this month 24.8° Average this month 10.7° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.1° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 7.4° 1999 Eagle Point rainfall history (37.8954°S, 147.6681°E, 11m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 14.4mm 26/11/2024 Total This Month 32.2mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 80.2mm 12.1 days Wettest November on record 275.6mm 1988 Driest on record 13.8mm 2006 -
Year to Date
Eagle Point Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 584.4mm 139.7 day(s) Total For 2024 492.8mm 120.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 411.6mm 108.0 day(s) Wettest Day 44.8mm Apr 7 Lowest Temperature -1.8°C Jul 7 Highest Temperature 39.0°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Eagle Point Climatology
Eagle Point Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.9 25.5 23.9 20.7 17.6 15.0 14.7 15.8 17.9 20.0 21.8 23.8 20.2 Mean Min (°C) 13.2 12.9 11.4 8.9 6.6 4.7 4.0 4.5 5.9 7.6 9.8 11.4 8.4 Mean Rain (mm) 50.7 44.3 47.6 58.0 43.6 63.2 46.4 38.0 50.4 62.0 80.2 62.5 642.4 Mean Rain Days 9.0 8.8 10.0 12.7 14.8 15.4 14.8 14.4 14.0 13.7 12.1 11.2 150.4