Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Victoria
Issued at 05:10 AM EDT on Friday 15 November 2024
for the period until midnight EDT Saturday 16 November 2024
Wind Warnings for Saturday 16 November
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Central Coast, Central Gippsland Coast and East Gippsland Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:40 pm EDT Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Bairnsdale (37.8251°S, 147.629°E, 7m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 20° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:20am EDT 5:49am EDT 8:00pm EDT 8:30pm EDT NOW12.7° Feels Like: 10.9° Relative Humidity: 75% Dew: 8.4° Wind: S 7km/h Gust: 7km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1021.3hPa -
Today Weather
BairnsdaleNow12.5°cFeels Like:10.2°Wind:SW 7km/hGusts:7km/hHumidity:65%9°Min20°MaxToday in BairnsdalePartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the New South Wales border, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.Tomorrow8°Min30°MaxMostly sunny. The chance of fog in the SW in the early morning. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 32. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the New South Wales border, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.
Forecast for Bairnsdale (37.8251°S, 147.629°E, 7m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 9° 8° 19° 11° 8° 8° 10° Maximum 20° 30° 28° 22° 20° 21° 23° Chance of rain 5% 50% 70% 10% 10% 20% 20% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)26
(km/h)9
(km/h)20
(km/h)23
(km/h)22
(km/h)27
(km/h)28
(km/h)15
(km/h)22
(km/h)12
(km/h)25
(km/h)20
(km/h)30
(km/h)Wind direction E SE NE ESE NNE WSW W WSW W SSE WSW SE ESE ESE Relative humidity 62% 57% 68% 41% 64% 73% 59% 44% 64% 51% 68% 54% 69% 54% Dew point 9°C 10°C 13°C 14°C 18°C 16°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 12°C 12°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bairnsdale Rain Forecast
Bairnsdale 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025577787786835105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Oct 1
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Bairnsdale Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Nov 106.3 °C 19.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Nov 117.6 °C 24.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Nov 1210.0 °C - 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 13- 26.8 °C -Thursday
Nov 148.7 °C 20.0 °C 2.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bairnsdale minimum temp history (37.8251°S, 147.629°E, 7m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 37.0° 06/11/2024 Coldest this month 3.1° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 43.5 26/11/1997 Coldest on record 1.6 05/11/2008 Hottest this year 39.0° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year -1.8° 07/07/2024 Long term average 21.8° Long term average 9.8° Average this month 23.7° Average this month 8.7° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.1° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 7.4° 1999 Bairnsdale rainfall history (37.8251°S, 147.629°E, 7m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 2.0mm 14/11/2024 Total This Month 2.2mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 80.2mm 12.1 days Wettest November on record 275.6mm 1988 Driest on record 13.8mm 2006 -
Year to Date
Bairnsdale Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 585.1mm 139.9 day(s) Total For 2024 462.8mm 117.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 403.6mm 106.0 day(s) Wettest Day 44.8mm Apr 7 Lowest Temperature -1.8°C Jul 7 Highest Temperature 39.0°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Bairnsdale Climatology
Bairnsdale Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.9 25.5 23.9 20.7 17.6 15.0 14.7 15.8 17.9 19.9 21.8 23.8 20.2 Mean Min (°C) 13.2 12.9 11.4 8.9 6.6 4.7 4.0 4.5 5.9 7.6 9.8 11.4 8.4 Mean Rain (mm) 50.7 44.3 47.6 58.0 43.6 63.2 46.4 38.0 50.4 62.7 80.2 62.5 642.4 Mean Rain Days 9.0 8.8 10.0 12.7 14.8 15.4 14.8 14.4 14.0 13.9 12.1 11.2 150.4