Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Damaging To Destructive Winds, Large Hailstones And Heavy Rainfall
for parts of East Gippsland, North East and Northern Country Forecast Districts.
Issued at 6:47 pm Tuesday, 26 November 2024.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH POSSIBLE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS APPROACHING YARRAWONGA.
Weather Situation
Thunderstorms are developing in unstable conditions triggered by a trough extending from western NSW through eastern Victoria.
DAMAGING to DESTRUCTIVE WINDS, LARGE HAILSTONES and HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
East Gippsland, Northern Country and North East
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds, large hailstones and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the East Gippsland, North East and Northern Country districts. Locations which may be affected include Yarrawonga, Wodonga, Corryong and Falls Creek.
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce destructive winds over the next several hours in parts of the Northern Country and North East districts. Locations which may be affected include Yarrawonga.
24mm in the 30 minutes to 5:15pm recorded at Osbornes Flat.
119 km/h wind gust recorded at Rutherglen at 4:01pm.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
The next warning is due to be issued by 9:50 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Bairnsdale (37.8251°S, 147.629°E, 7m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TOMORROW
16° 28° Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 5:12am EDT 5:42am EDT 8:13pm EDT 8:43pm EDT NOW22.5° Feels Like: 21.8° Relative Humidity: 77% Dew: 18.3° Wind: E 19km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: 1007.4hPa -
Today Weather
BairnsdaleNow22.3°cFeels Like:20.8°Wind:E 22km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:77%
16°Min28°MaxToday in BairnsdaleCloudy. High chance of rain in the N, tending to showers in the S, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 28.Tomorrow
16°Min28°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h shifting S/SE during the morning and early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Damaging To Destructive Winds, Large Hail & Heavy Rainfall) for East Gippsland, North East & Northern Country
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Damaging To Destructive Winds, Large Hail & Heavy Rainfall) for East Gippsland, North East & Northern Country
- Brown Rot Advice for Mallee, Northern Country, North Central, North East, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland
-
Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
-
7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of rain in the N, tending to showers in the S, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 28.
Forecast for Bairnsdale (37.8251°S, 147.629°E, 7m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary 
Minimum 16° 16° 16° 17° 16° 14° 13° Maximum 28° 27° 25° 25° 25° 27° 28° Chance of rain 70% 60% 80% 70% 80% 50% 60% Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 10-20mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Very High Very High Extreme Very High Very High Extreme Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 10
(km/h)17
(km/h)8
(km/h)24
(km/h)10
(km/h)23
(km/h)11
(km/h)19
(km/h)15
(km/h)20
(km/h)15
(km/h)21
(km/h)12
(km/h)22
(km/h)Wind direction NNE NE SSW SSE SE SE SE SSW WSW SSW SW SE NNE SSE Relative humidity 89% 70% 80% 68% 88% 79% 91% 76% 81% 66% 74% 62% 72% 61% Dew point 19°C 20°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 17°C 17°C 18°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bairnsdale Rain Forecast
Bairnsdale 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025577787786835105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Long range rainfall forecast
-
Past 5 Days
Bairnsdale Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Nov 2211.7 °C 31.9 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Nov 2313.2 °C 38.0 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Nov 2419.5 °C 24.1 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Nov 2517.6 °C 20.5 °C 7.4 mmTuesday
Nov 2617.6 °C 26.5 °C 14.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bairnsdale minimum temp history (37.8251°S, 147.629°E, 7m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 38.0° 23/11/2024 Coldest this month 3.1° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 43.5 26/11/1997 Coldest on record 1.6 05/11/2008 Hottest this year 39.0° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year -1.8° 07/07/2024 Long term average 21.8° Long term average 9.8° Average this month 24.8° Average this month 10.7° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.1° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 7.4° 1999 Bairnsdale rainfall history (37.8251°S, 147.629°E, 7m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 14.4mm 26/11/2024 Total This Month 32.2mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 80.2mm 12.1 days Wettest November on record 275.6mm 1988 Driest on record 13.8mm 2006 -
Year to Date
Bairnsdale Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 584.4mm 139.7 day(s) Total For 2024 492.8mm 120.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 411.6mm 108.0 day(s) Wettest Day 44.8mm Apr 7 Lowest Temperature -1.8°C Jul 7 Highest Temperature 39.0°C Mar 9 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
- Giles
- Gladstone
-
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Bairnsdale Climatology
Bairnsdale Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.9 25.5 23.9 20.7 17.6 15.0 14.7 15.8 17.9 20.0 21.8 23.8 20.2 Mean Min (°C) 13.2 12.9 11.4 8.9 6.6 4.7 4.0 4.5 5.9 7.6 9.8 11.4 8.4 Mean Rain (mm) 50.7 44.3 47.6 58.0 43.6 63.2 46.4 38.0 50.4 62.0 80.2 62.5 642.4 Mean Rain Days 9.0 8.8 10.0 12.7 14.8 15.4 14.8 14.4 14.0 13.7 12.1 11.2 150.4
