Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Fire Weather Warning
for North Central and Central fire weather districts
Issued at 04:36 AM EDT on Sunday 23 February 2025
Weather Situation
A warm and dry morning with fresh and gusty northerly winds through central parts of the State. A milder, west to southwesterly wind change over western districts will extend into central parts during Sunday. Isolated high-based thunderstorm activity with dry lightning is also possible, most likely ahead of the change.
For the rest of Sunday 23 February:
Extreme Fire Danger for the following areas:
North Central and Central
Cancellation for the following areas:
Mallee,Wimmera,South West
The CFA advises that you:
Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through ABC Local Radio, commercial and designated community radio stations, or Sky News TV, www.emergency.vic.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.cfa.vic.gov.au.
No further warnings will be issued for this event, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings issued if necessary.
Forecast
Cardigan Village (37.524°S, 143.7417°E, 409m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW
10° 24° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 6:37am EDT 7:04am EDT 8:12pm EDT 8:39pm EDT NOW15.1° Feels Like: 11.2° Relative Humidity: 71% Dew: 9.9° Wind: S 20km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: 1018.8hPa -
Today Weather
Cardigan VillageNow14.8°cFeels Like:13.6°Wind:SW 6km/hGusts:7km/hHumidity:70%
10°Min24°MaxToday in Cardigan VillagePartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, mainly in the E during the morning and early afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h turning S/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.Tomorrow
10°Min24°MaxMostly sunny. Winds E/SE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 30. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, mainly in the E during the morning and early afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h turning S/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for Cardigan Village (37.524°S, 143.7417°E, 409m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary 
Minimum 10° 9° 12° 13° 14° 9° 10° Maximum 24° 30° 35° 32° 26° 24° 21° Chance of rain 10% 5% 10% 30% 10% 5% 10% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate High High Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 24
(km/h)23
(km/h)25
(km/h)15
(km/h)21
(km/h)20
(km/h)17
(km/h)17
(km/h)19
(km/h)24
(km/h)13
(km/h)21
(km/h)24
(km/h)27
(km/h)Wind direction SW SSW SE ESE NNE W SSE W WSW WSW SSW WSW S S Relative humidity 79% 41% 72% 23% 47% 18% 69% 27% 70% 40% 70% 29% 81% 47% Dew point 10°C 8°C 9°C 5°C 9°C 7°C 12°C 9°C 11°C 10°C 9°C 3°C 10°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Cardigan Village Rain Forecast
Cardigan Village 12-month Rainfall ForecastFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan20252026675665545766105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 14
ENSO status: La Niña-like conditions. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña-like pattern. Recent conditions show some atmosphere-ocean coupling, resulting in the US declaring a La Niña event has started. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia, while reducing rainfall over southern coastal Australia and western Tas. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and does not play a part in Australia's climate during this time of year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase. Recent forecasts show negative SAM is more likely to dominate for the remainder of summer, due to the polar vortex taking an unusually long time to recover from the stratospheric warming event in winter 2024. During summer, a negative SAM decreases rainfall over most of southeastern Australia, and increases rainfall for far southwest WA and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over large parts of the country during summer, with closer to average conditions for the southwest corner of WA, southern SA and Vic, and central parts of Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Cardigan Village Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Feb 199.9 °C 18.7 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Feb 209.8 °C 21.3 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Feb 2110.2 °C 29.9 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Feb 2217.2 °C 36.7 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Feb 2319.7 °C 27.8 °C 0.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Cardigan Village minimum temp history (37.524°S, 143.7417°E, 409m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.9° 02/02/2025 Coldest this month 2.9° 17/02/2025 Hottest on record 44.1 07/02/2009 Coldest on record -1.4 03/02/1986 Hottest this year 39.0° 27/01/2025 Coldest this year 2.9° 17/02/2025 Long term average 25.4° Long term average 11.6° Average this month 27.7° Average this month 13.5° Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.1° 1983 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 8.6° 1986 Cardigan Village rainfall history (37.524°S, 143.7417°E, 409m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 18.2mm 03/02/2025 Total This Month 22.4mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 42.2mm 7.1 days Wettest February on record 240.3mm 1973 Driest on record 0.0mm 1983 -
Year to Date
Cardigan Village Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Feb 82.4mm 14.8 day(s) Total For 2025 55.2mm 8.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2024 56.2mm 16.0 day(s) Wettest Day 18.2mm Feb 3 Lowest Temperature 2.9°C Feb17 Highest Temperature 39.0°C Jan27 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Cardigan Village Climatology
Cardigan Village Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.6 25.4 22.6 18.2 13.9 11.1 10.3 11.7 13.9 16.9 19.9 22.9 17.7 Mean Min (°C) 11.4 11.6 10.1 7.5 5.6 3.9 3.1 3.5 4.7 6.2 8.0 9.6 7.1 Mean Rain (mm) 40.2 42.2 41.5 51.4 63.9 62.6 66.1 73.0 70.4 66.8 55.7 49.9 682.9 Mean Rain Days 7.7 7.1 9.5 12.7 16.8 18.5 20.3 19.8 16.9 15.5 12.7 10.9 168.1
