Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 10:00 AM EDT on Friday 15 November 2024
for the period until midnight EDT Saturday 16 November 2024
Wind Warnings for Saturday 16 November
Gale Warning for the following areas:
East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast and South East Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, South West Coast and Central West Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EDT Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Wynyard (40.9891°S, 145.7281°E, 3m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY7° 17° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 30% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:18am EDT 5:49am EDT 8:15pm EDT 8:46pm EDT NOW16.0° Feels Like: 11.5° Relative Humidity: 69% Dew: 10.3° Wind: E 24km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1021.4hPa -
Today Weather
WynyardNow16.3°cFeels Like:10.3°Wind:E 32km/hGusts:39km/hHumidity:68%7°Min17°MaxToday in WynyardCloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely this afternoon. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h turning E/NE 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 19.Tomorrow10°Min20°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the E, slight chance elsewhere. Winds E/NE 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely this afternoon. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h turning E/NE 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 19.
Forecast for Wynyard (40.9891°S, 145.7281°E, 3m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 7° 10° 13° 9° 6° 7° 9° Maximum 17° 20° 20° 18° 20° 19° 18° Chance of rain 30% 50% 90% 10% 5% 60% 10% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 28
(km/h)22
(km/h)29
(km/h)27
(km/h)15
(km/h)34
(km/h)33
(km/h)32
(km/h)14
(km/h)20
(km/h)14
(km/h)20
(km/h)27
(km/h)27
(km/h)Wind direction ESE E ESE E SE WNW WSW WSW SSW NNW SE NE E ENE Relative humidity 60% 68% 84% 81% 85% 71% 66% 52% 58% 53% 61% 55% 68% 55% Dew point 6°C 10°C 13°C 16°C 16°C 11°C 8°C 7°C 6°C 9°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Wynyard Rain Forecast
Wynyard 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025658665665665105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Oct 1
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Wynyard Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Nov 111.7 °C 17.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Nov 122.7 °C 18.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 1313.5 °C 21.0 °C 1.6 mmThursday
Nov 146.0 °C 19.0 °C 5.2 mmFriday
Nov 159.5 °C 16.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Wynyard minimum temp history (40.9891°S, 145.7281°E, 3m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 21.0° 13/11/2024 Coldest this month 0.8° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 30.5 19/11/2009 Coldest on record -0.6 18/11/1998 Hottest this year 28.3° 17/02/2024 Coldest this year -4.0° 06/07/2024 Long term average 18.1° Long term average 8.3° Average this month 18.6° Average this month 6.4° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.9° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 6.2° 1962 Wynyard rainfall history (40.9891°S, 145.7281°E, 3m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 5.2mm 14/11/2024 Total This Month 11.0mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 73.1mm 13.5 days Wettest November on record 226.9mm 1952 Driest on record 14.7mm 2003 -
Year to Date
Wynyard Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 921.0mm 170.2 day(s) Total For 2024 770.0mm 130.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 667.2mm 161.0 day(s) Wettest Day 54.2mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature -4.0°C Jul 6 Highest Temperature 28.3°C Feb17 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Wynyard Climatology
Wynyard Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 21.7 21.8 20.3 17.6 15.2 13.5 12.8 13.3 14.5 16.3 18.1 19.8 17.0 Mean Min (°C) 11.4 11.6 9.8 7.2 5.3 4.1 3.5 4.1 5.0 6.2 8.3 9.7 7.1 Mean Rain (mm) 44.2 46.8 49.8 70.1 94.6 107.7 129.5 117.2 94.6 93.4 73.1 63.1 975.7 Mean Rain Days 8.9 8.6 11.0 13.5 17.7 18.9 21.7 21.3 18.3 16.8 13.5 11.9 182.3