Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 10:00 AM EDT on Friday 15 November 2024
for the period until midnight EDT Saturday 16 November 2024
Wind Warnings for Saturday 16 November
Gale Warning for the following areas:
East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast and South East Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, South West Coast and Central West Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EDT Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Smithton (40.8415°S, 145.1232°E, 25m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY7° 15° late shower Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:21am EDT 5:52am EDT 8:17pm EDT 8:48pm EDT NOW16.3° Feels Like: 10.3° Relative Humidity: 68% Dew: 10.4° Wind: E 32km/h Gust: 39km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1020.8hPa -
Today Weather
SmithtonNow15.4°cFeels Like:7.9°Wind:NE 39km/hGusts:46km/hHumidity:70%7°Min15°MaxToday in SmithtonCloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely this afternoon. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h turning E/NE 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 19.Tomorrow13°Min18°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the E, slight chance elsewhere. Winds E/NE 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely this afternoon. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h turning E/NE 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 19.
Forecast for Smithton (40.8415°S, 145.1232°E, 25m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 7° 13° 15° 10° 8° 8° 12° Maximum 15° 18° 16° 14° 15° 17° 16° Chance of rain 40% 40% 80% 40% 5% 20% 10% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 15
(km/h)27
(km/h)29
(km/h)28
(km/h)15
(km/h)31
(km/h)29
(km/h)29
(km/h)14
(km/h)19
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)25
(km/h)27
(km/h)Wind direction ESE E E ENE NW WNW WSW WSW SSW WSW S NE E ENE Relative humidity 69% 70% 83% 75% 84% 70% 71% 59% 66% 56% 64% 56% 67% 62% Dew point 7°C 9°C 13°C 14°C 13°C 9°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Smithton Rain Forecast
Smithton 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025658665665665105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Oct 1
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Smithton Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Nov 11-0.5 °C 19.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Nov 121.0 °C 21.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 1314.4 °C 19.1 °C 6.6 mmThursday
Nov 146.1 °C 17.5 °C 0.4 mmFriday
Nov 155.9 °C 19.0 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Smithton minimum temp history (40.8415°S, 145.1232°E, 25m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 21.9° 06/11/2024 Coldest this month -0.5° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 27.1 19/11/2009 Coldest on record 0.2 10/11/2006 Hottest this year 29.7° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year -4.5° 19/06/2024 Long term average 18.4° Long term average 8.7° Average this month 18.7° Average this month 6.0° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.5° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 7.0° 1998 Smithton rainfall history (40.8415°S, 145.1232°E, 25m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 6.6mm 13/11/2024 Total This Month 14.8mm
8.0 daysLong Term Average 58.9mm 14.1 days Wettest November on record 135.4mm 2013 Driest on record 7.6mm 2007 -
Year to Date
Smithton Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 855.4mm 195.6 day(s) Total For 2024 705.8mm 191.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 859.0mm 195.0 day(s) Wettest Day 30.8mm Jul20 Lowest Temperature -4.5°C Jun19 Highest Temperature 29.7°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Smithton Climatology
Smithton Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 21.9 22.0 20.5 17.9 15.4 13.7 13.2 13.7 14.9 16.4 18.4 19.8 17.3 Mean Min (°C) 11.3 11.5 9.8 7.7 6.3 4.8 4.7 5.2 6.2 6.9 8.7 9.7 7.7 Mean Rain (mm) 40.3 33.1 54.2 60.2 89.0 100.1 118.6 124.1 97.2 79.7 58.9 53.9 911.9 Mean Rain Days 10.4 9.2 13.1 17.0 21.6 21.5 24.2 24.0 21.5 19.0 14.1 13.1 208.6