Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 04:05 PM EDT on Friday 15 November 2024
for the period until midnight EDT Saturday 16 November 2024
Wind Warnings for Saturday 16 November
Gale Warning for the following areas:
East of Flinders Island and South East Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Channel
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:00 am EDT Saturday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Cape Grim (40.6822°S, 144.6883°E, 94m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW13° 19° Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:22am EDT 5:53am EDT 8:20pm EDT 8:51pm EDT NOW13.7° Feels Like: 6.8° Relative Humidity: 76% Dew: 9.6° Wind: NE 35km/h Gust: 43km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1019.5hPa -
Today Weather
Cape GrimNow15.0°cFeels Like:10.0°Wind:NE 28km/hGusts:35km/hHumidity:78%13°Min19°MaxToday in Cape GrimCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the E, slight chance elsewhere. Winds E/NE 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23.Tomorrow13°Min19°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E 25 to 35 km/h shifting W/NW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then increasing to 30 to 45 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 20. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the E, slight chance elsewhere. Winds E/NE 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23.
Forecast for Cape Grim (40.6822°S, 144.6883°E, 94m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 13° 14° 11° 9° 10° 13° 14° Maximum 19° 16° 14° 14° 16° 17° 18° Chance of rain 60% 80% 70% 10% 20% 10% 60% Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating - - - - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 35
(km/h)35
(km/h)25
(km/h)42
(km/h)39
(km/h)37
(km/h)20
(km/h)27
(km/h)22
(km/h)22
(km/h)37
(km/h)36
(km/h)38
(km/h)32
(km/h)Wind direction ENE ENE WNW WNW WSW WSW SSW SW S SSW E E E E Relative humidity 88% 81% 89% 74% 72% 69% 67% 66% 71% 65% 75% 70% 80% 79% Dew point 14°C 14°C 13°C 10°C 8°C 7°C 6°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 12°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Cape Grim Rain Forecast
Cape Grim 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025658665665665105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Oct 1
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Cape Grim Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Nov 117.0 °C 14.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Nov 125.6 °C 18.3 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 1312.9 °C 15.1 °C 7.6 mmThursday
Nov 1410.7 °C 14.5 °C 0.4 mmFriday
Nov 158.8 °C 16.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Cape Grim minimum temp history (40.6822°S, 144.6883°E, 94m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 20.3° 06/11/2024 Coldest this month 4.8° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 27.6° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year 2.9° 20/06/2024 Long term average 15.7° Long term average 10.7° Average this month 15.6° Average this month 9.7° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Cape Grim rainfall history (40.6822°S, 144.6883°E, 94m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 7.6mm 13/11/2024 Total This Month 10.4mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 60.2mm 16.6 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 9.6mm 2017 -
Year to Date
Cape Grim Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 842.1mm 201.0 day(s) Total For 2024 560.8mm 175.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 789.2mm 189.0 day(s) Wettest Day 32.0mm Jul20 Lowest Temperature 2.9°C Jun20 Highest Temperature 27.6°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Cape Grim Climatology
Cape Grim Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 19.6 19.7 18.9 16.6 14.5 13.0 12.5 12.5 13.3 14.3 15.7 17.7 15.7 Mean Min (°C) 13.8 13.8 13.3 11.7 10.2 8.8 8.4 8.2 8.7 9.3 10.7 12.1 10.7 Mean Rain (mm) 40.1 34.3 61.7 56.4 96.2 100.3 120.3 122.9 78.0 71.7 60.2 40.1 896.7 Mean Rain Days 10.3 9.6 15.2 18.1 22.9 21.6 23.6 24.6 20.4 18.1 16.6 13.0 215.1